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Predictions graded

Cod Meknes3AS FAR Rabat2

HT 1–1Thu 2 Jul 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions1–811%

Edges0–50%

PossPossession 42%–58%ShotsShots 8–17On targetOn target 4–6CornersCorners 3–7

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 1 Jul 2026, 08:17 · Europe/Bucharest

AS FAR Rabat's unbeaten league record and title pressure make them strong favorites against a struggling Cod Meknes side under a caretaker coach.

The best value is in the Half-Time/Full-Time market: Draw/AS FAR at 3.80, where our 40% estimate offers a +14-point edge over the implied 26%. Expect a tight first half before the visitors' quality secures a narrow win.

Context

AS FAR are top of the table with 52 points, two clear of second-placed RS Berkane as of 23 June 2026.
- The league season runs through July 2026, so this match is part of the decisive run-in.
- AS FAR are unbeaten in 28 league matches this season, showing they can handle pressure.
The coaching change was confirmed on 25 May 2026, with Mohamed Aziz taking over as caretaker.
- Cod Meknes have lost their last three league matches and are winless in five since the change.
- Late-season managerial upheaval often disrupts team organization and morale.
As of 23 June 2026, Cod Meknes were 9th on 31 points, seven clear of 13th-placed UTS Rabat.
- With four matches remaining, a couple of wins would guarantee survival, but a losing run could still drag them into danger.
- The home side will likely set up defensively to frustrate AS FAR and grind out a result.
AS FAR won 3-0 at home in the most recent meeting on 27 February 2026.
- In the last three H2H matches, AS FAR have two wins and one draw, with a 9-2 goal difference.
- Cod Meknes have failed to score in two of those three encounters.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Strong lean

AS FAR Rabat

1.54fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 65%

0.0ppshort

AS FAR Rabat are unbeaten in the league this season (13W 15D 0L) and have the best defensive record (19 goals conceded in 28 matches), while Cod Meknes have lost their last 3 league matches and are winless in their last 5 (0W 2D 3L).

Double ChancelostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or AS FAR Rabat

1.11fair 1.18

BetBugs 85% · Market 90%

0.0ppshort

Given AS FAR Rabat's unbeaten league record and Cod Meknes' struggles, the away side avoiding defeat is extremely probable.

Both Teams To ScorelostUncertainty band: Lean

No

1.60fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 62.5%

0.0ppshort

Cod Meknes have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 league matches, and AS FAR Rabat have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 games.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Under 1.5

1.30fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

Cod Meknes average only 0.2 first-half goals per match, and 8 of their last 10 matches had under 1.5 first-half goals.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
AS FAR Rabat's title motivation and superior form, combined with Cod Meknes' poor recent results and caretaker coach instability, make an away win highly likely.
- AS FAR Rabat are unbeaten in the league this season (13W 15D 0L) and have the best defensive record (19 goals conceded in 28 matches).
- Cod Meknes have lost their last 3 league matches and are winless in their last 5 (0W 2D 3L).
- In the last H2H meeting (Feb 2026), AS FAR Rabat won 3-0 at home; overall H2H last 3: AS FAR Rabat 2 wins, 1 draw, goal difference 9-2.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAS FAR RabatEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given AS FAR Rabat's unbeaten league record and Cod Meknes' struggles, the away side avoiding defeat is extremely probable.
- AS FAR Rabat have not lost a league match all season (28 matches).
- Cod Meknes have only 1 win in their last 10 league matches (1W 4D 5L).
- AS FAR Rabat's away record: 4W 10D 0L, conceding only 10 goals in 14 away matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or AS FAR RabatEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cod Meknes' tendency to start slowly and AS FAR Rabat's ability to take early leads suggest the away side could be ahead at the break.
- AS FAR Rabat lead at half-time in 27% of their matches, while Cod Meknes lead at half-time in only 13%.
- Cod Meknes trail at half-time in 40% of their matches, the highest rate in the league.
- In the last 5 matches, Cod Meknes have been losing at half-time in 3 of them.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostAS FAR RabatEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A tight first half is expected given both teams' half-time records, but AS FAR Rabat's superior quality and motivation should see them win the second half and the match.
- AS FAR Rabat have drawn at half-time in 60% of their matches (based on leading/trailing percentages).
- Cod Meknes have drawn at half-time in 47% of their matches.
- AS FAR Rabat have won 46% of their matches overall, often breaking deadlocks in the second half.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / AS FAR RabatEstimated chance40%

Goals1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have strong defensive records relative to their attacking output, and Cod Meknes' low scoring rate at home points to a low-scoring affair.
- Cod Meknes average only 0.7 goals per match overall and 0.86 goals per home match (12 goals in 14 home games).
- AS FAR Rabat concede just 0.68 goals per match overall and 0.71 goals per away match.
- In 5 of Cod Meknes' last 6 matches, total goals were under 2.5.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Cod Meknes' attacking struggles and AS FAR Rabat's defensive solidity make it likely that at least one team fails to score.
- Cod Meknes have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 league matches.
- AS FAR Rabat have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 league matches and concede only 0.68 goals per game.
- In the last 3 H2H meetings, Cod Meknes scored only 2 goals total, failing to score in 2 of those matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Cod Meknes' poor attacking form and AS FAR Rabat's defensive strength away from home support a clean sheet for the visitors.
- AS FAR Rabat have kept clean sheets in 32% of their league matches (9/28).
- Cod Meknes have failed to score in 43% of their home matches (6/14).
- AS FAR Rabat's away goals conceded average is 0.71 per game, with 4 clean sheets in 14 away matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostCod Meknes not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to have low-scoring first halves, with Cod Meknes particularly slow starters, making under 1.5 first-half goals likely.
- Cod Meknes average only 0.2 first-half goals per match, and AS FAR Rabat average 0.7 first-half goals per match.
- In Cod Meknes' last 10 matches, 8 had under 1.5 first-half goals.
- AS FAR Rabat's first-half goals conceded average is 0.5, indicating few early goals against them.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
AS FAR Rabat's tendency to score later in matches and Cod Meknes' second-half defensive vulnerabilities could lead to more goals after the break.
- AS FAR Rabat score 60% of their goals in the second half (based on first-half vs total goals averages).
- Cod Meknes concede 0.7 goals per second half on average (total conceded 1.2 minus first-half conceded 0.5).
- In the last H2H, all 3 goals came in the second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
With Cod Meknes likely to defend deep and AS FAR Rabat not a high-corner team, total corners may stay under 9.5, though data is limited.
- AS FAR Rabat average 4.5 corners per match in the limited data available.
- Cod Meknes' corner data is unavailable, but their low possession and attacking output suggest few corners.
- In the only match with corner data (AS FAR Rabat vs Mamelodi Sundowns), total corners were 8.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

0W · 1D · 2W

L3-0FAR RabatvCODM MeknèsFeb 27, 2026BOT

D2-2CODM MeknèsvFAR RabatJan 23, 2025BOT

L4-0FAR RabatvCODM MeknèsSep 25, 2024BOT

AS FAR Rabat unbeaten in 3 meetingsAS FAR Rabat: 2 clean sheets3.7 goals/game avg

League Table

Botola Pro 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
10	Cod Meknes	28	8	9	11	20-29	33	DDLLL
2	AS FAR Rabat CAF CL group stage	28	13	15	0	43-19	54	DDWDW

21pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Cod Meknes

D2-2Olympique SafiJun 28BOT

D0-0Hassania AgadirJun 25BOT

L1-2Raja CasablancaJun 21BOT

L0-2UTS RabatJun 17BOT

L1-2CR Khemis ZemamraJun 12BOT

D1-1Yacoub El MansourJun 9BOT

W2-1Olympique DcheïraJun 1BOT

L1-3Kawkab MarrakechMay 22BOT

W2-0Chabab Atl. KhenifraMay 17CUP

L0-1Renaissance BerkaneMay 10BOT

L0-2Wydad ACMay 6BOT

D0-0Maghreb FèsMay 2BOT

L0-1FUS RabatApr 29BOT

L0-1Difaa EL JadidaApr 25BOT

W1-0Ittihad TangerMar 6BOT

AS FAR Rabat

D2-2UTS RabatJun 28BOT

D2-2Renaissance BerkaneJun 25BOT

W2-0Kawkab MarrakechJun 21BOT

D1-1Olympique DcheïraJun 18BOT

W2-1Wydad ACJun 14BOT

D0-0Maghreb FèsJun 9BOT

W2-1Difaa EL JadidaJun 4BOT

D1-1FUS RabatMay 30BOT

D1-1Mamelodi SundownsMay 24CAF

L0-1Mamelodi SundownsMay 17CAF

W3-2Hassania AgadirMay 10BOT

D1-1Olympique SafiMay 7BOT

D0-0Ittihad TangerMay 3BOT

W2-1Raja CasablancaApr 30BOT

D2-2Yacoub El MansourApr 26BOT

Squad & Injuries

Cod Meknes

28 available

Attackers7

Midfielders14

Defenders4

Goalkeeper3

AS FAR Rabat

28 available

Attackers6

Midfielders10

Defenders8

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw at half-time / AS FAR Rabat at full-time

Under 2.5

AS FAR Rabat

Draw or AS FAR Rabat

No

Under 1.5

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Markets to Avoid

Draw or AS FAR Rabat

No

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Cod Meknes

AS FAR Rabat

Squad & Injuries

Cod Meknes

AS FAR Rabat