Dundalk22 – 3Waterford3

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Dundalk's strong home starts and Waterford's poor first halves on the road give Dundalk a clear edge to lead at halftime.

• Dundalk led at halftime in 40% of their last 15 matches overall.
• Waterford trailed at halftime in 47% of their last 15 matches.
• Dundalk's last 5 home first halves: led 2 times, drew 3 times.
• Waterford's last 5 away first halves: trailed 4 times, drew 1 time.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDundalkEstimated chance55%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

If Dundalk lead at halftime, they are very likely to hold on, and Waterford rarely recover when behind away.

• Dundalk led at halftime and won in 3 of their last 10 home matches.
• Waterford trailed at halftime and lost in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
• Dundalk's home record when leading at half: 5 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses.
• Waterford's away record when trailing at half: 0 wins, 0 draws, 6 losses.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDundalk/DundalkEstimated chance42%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

High-scoring H2H pattern combined with Waterford's leaky away defense and Dundalk's consistent home scoring makes Over 2.5 very likely.

• H2H last 2 meetings in 2026: 5-0 and 3-3, averaging 5.5 total goals.
• Dundalk home matches this season: 18 goals in 10 games (1.8 per game), Waterford away: 28 conceded in 10 (2.8 per game).
• Waterford's last 5 away games: conceded 2, 2, 4, 1, 2 goals (avg 2.2 conceded).
• Dundalk's last 5 home games: scored 2, 1, 2, 2, 1 (avg 1.6), with 4 of 5 seeing Over 2.5.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Dundalk's strong home scoring and Waterford's ability to find the net on the road, plus recent H2H, support both teams scoring.

• Dundalk have scored in 9 of their last 10 home matches.
• Waterford have scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches, including against top sides.
• H2H last meeting: 3-3 draw, both scored.
• Waterford's away record: 11 goals scored in 10 games, but only 2 clean sheets.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Waterford's tendency to concede early away goals and Dundalk's ability to score in the first half at home suggest Over 1.5 first-half goals is plausible.

• Dundalk's last 5 home first halves: scored 1, 0, 1, 0, 2 (avg 0.8), conceded 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 (avg 0.0).
• Waterford's last 5 away first halves: conceded 1, 1, 1, 1, 1 (avg 1.0), scored 0, 1, 2, 0, 0 (avg 0.6).
• H2H last meeting: 2-1 first half (3 goals).
• Dundalk average 0.7 first-half goals at home, Waterford concede 0.9 first-half goals away.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to be involved in higher-scoring second halves, and the overall goal expectation supports Over 1.5 in the second half.

• Dundalk's last 5 home second halves: total goals 2, 1, 1, 2, 1 (avg 1.4).
• Waterford's last 5 away second halves: total goals 2, 1, 2, 0, 2 (avg 1.4).
• H2H last meeting: second half had 3 goals.
• Dundalk average 1.5 goals per game overall, Waterford concede 1.9 per game.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Dundalk rarely keep clean sheets at home, and Waterford have been finding the net consistently on the road.

• Dundalk kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
• Waterford scored in 7 of their last 10 away matches.
• Dundalk conceded in 8 of 10 home games this season.
• H2H: Waterford scored 3 in the last meeting.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonWaterford to scoreEstimated chance70%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Dundalk's home matches often see high corner counts, and the last H2H had an extreme total, but Waterford's away corner numbers are inconsistent.

• Dundalk average 6.0 corners per game overall, Waterford average 4.4.
• Dundalk's last 5 home matches: corners 6, 4, 7, 6, 4 (avg 5.4), opponent corners 5, 5, 7, 0, 6 (avg 4.6) -> total avg 10.0.
• Waterford's last 5 away matches: corners 6, 2, 5, 3, 2 (avg 3.6), opponent corners 2, 3, 7, 6, 4 (avg 4.4) -> total avg 8.0.
• H2H last meeting: 21 corners total (10-11).