Derry City22 – 0Drogheda United0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Derry's solid home form (unbeaten in last 5 home games) and Drogheda's poor away record (6 losses in 10) give Derry an edge, but recent H2H draws and Drogheda's defensive resilience in this fixture cap confidence.

• Derry City home record: 4W-5D-2L, 17 goals for, 12 against in 11 home matches this season.
• Drogheda away record: 2W-2D-6L, 13 goals for, 22 against in 10 away matches.
• Last 5 H2H: Derry 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss; Drogheda's only win was 1-0 at home in May 2026.
• Derry's last 5 matches: 1W-2D-2L, but home form in last 5 home games: 2W-3D-0L.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDerry CityEstimated chance42%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Derry's strong home resilience (only 2 losses) and Drogheda's struggles on the road make a Derry win or draw highly probable, supported by H2H history where Drogheda rarely win at Derry.

• Derry City have lost only 2 of 11 home matches this season.
• Drogheda have won only 2 of 10 away matches.
• Last 5 H2H: 4 of 5 ended in draw or Derry win.
• Derry's home goal difference: +5; Drogheda's away goal difference: -9.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDerry City or DrawEstimated chance78%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A draw at half-time followed by a Derry win is plausible given Derry's second-half strength at home and Drogheda's away fragility, but the specific sequence is infrequent, warranting low confidence.

• Derry have drawn at half-time in 5 of 11 home matches, winning 4 of those 11 overall.
• Drogheda have drawn at half-time in 4 of 10 away matches, losing 6 of 10 overall.
• Last 5 H2H: 2 matches were draw at HT and Derry win/draw at FT.
• Derry's last 5 home games: 2 were draw at HT and Derry win at FT.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/Derry CityEstimated chance18%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Despite Drogheda's leaky away defense, Derry's home games tend to be lower-scoring (3 of last 5 under 2.5), and H2H meetings are often tight, suggesting a moderate lean toward under 2.5 goals.

• Derry home matches average 2.64 total goals (17F, 12A in 11 games).
• Drogheda away matches average 3.5 total goals (13F, 22A in 10 games), but 6 of 10 away games had over 2.5.
• Last 5 H2H: 3 of 5 had under 2.5 goals.
• Derry's last 5 home games: 3 had under 2.5 goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' home/away corner stats and recent H2H meetings consistently produce around 10 corners per game, supporting over 9.5 corners.

• Derry average 5.4 corners per game overall; at home, 5.9 corners for, 4.5 against (total 10.4).
• Drogheda average 4.1 corners per game overall; away, 3.8 corners for, 6.2 against (total 10.0).
• Last 5 H2H with corner data: total corners were 10, 8, 11, 12, 10 (average 10.2).
• Derry's last 5 home games: average total corners 10.6.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Derry's high card count at home and consistent H2H card totals above 4.5 make over 4.5 cards likely, with the fixture's competitive nature adding to card risk.

• Derry average 3.3 yellow cards per game overall; at home, 3.5 yellows.
• Drogheda average 2.2 yellow cards per game overall; away, 2.4 yellows.
• Last 5 H2H with card data: total cards were 5, 5, 4, 6, 5 (average 5.0).
• Derry's last 5 home games: total cards averaged 5.2.