Assyriska or Draw
Market 60% · BetBugs 65%
Vasalund's poor away record (1W in 7) and the confirmed absence of key centre-back Degerlund weaken their defensive spine, making Assyriska avoiding defeat the safer play.
Ettan - NorraFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Vasalund's key centre-back Degerlund is out after surgery, weakening their defense for a trip where they've won just once in seven away games.
The best value is Assyriska or Draw at 1.67, with a +5 point edge, while Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score are likely but offer no betting value at current odds. Avoid backing Vasalund in any market and steer clear of Over 1.5 first-half goals, where the stats strongly contradict the implied probability.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 60% · BetBugs 65%
Vasalund's poor away record (1W in 7) and the confirmed absence of key centre-back Degerlund weaken their defensive spine, making Assyriska avoiding defeat the safer play.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 60% · Market 65.4%
Both teams show high-scoring trends in their respective home/away splits, and recent H2H history supports goals, making Over 2.5 likely despite Vasalund's defensive injury.
BetBugs 65% · Market 67.6%
Assyriska's home scoring consistency and Vasalund's away defensive frailties, compounded by Degerlund's absence, point to both teams finding the net.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Assyriska | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 19-28 | 11 |
| 10 | Vasalunds IF | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19-27 | 15 |

