AV Alta FC
Market 28% · BetBugs 45%
AV Alta FC's superior league position and recent form (W6 D1 L0 in last 7) contrast with Corpus Christi's inconsistency, but the odds imply only a 28% chance, significantly below our 45% estimate.
USL League OneFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
AV Alta FC's strong form and superior league position make them the value pick at 3.60, with our model giving them a 45% win probability versus the market's implied 28%.
Corpus Christi's home resilience adds uncertainty, but the compressed travel schedule for the visitors hasn't derailed their consistency. Expect both teams to score in an open match, but the best betting edge is backing the away win.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
AV Alta FCMarket 28% · BetBugs 45%
AV Alta FC's superior league position and recent form (W6 D1 L0 in last 7) contrast with Corpus Christi's inconsistency, but the odds imply only a 28% chance, significantly below our 45% estimate.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 55% · Market 80%
Corpus Christi's strong home record (W3 D2 L1) and AV Alta FC's compressed travel schedule make a home win or draw likely, but the odds heavily favor this outcome, leaving no value.
BetBugs 55% · Market 59.9%
Both teams show attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, with Corpus home games averaging 3.17 total goals and AV Alta scoring in 11 of 13 matches.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Corpus Christi | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17-23 | 14 |
| 4 | AV Alta FCPromotion - USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21-14 | 23 |

