Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Shamrock Rovers' strong home form and Derry's poor away record, combined with Derry's short rest from a Friday away match, give the home side a clear edge.
- Shamrock Rovers home record: 8W-1D-1L, 18 goals for, 7 against in 10 matches this season.
- Derry City away record: 1W-5D-4L, 9 goals for, 12 against in 10 matches.
- Shamrock Rovers won last home H2H 2-0 (Aug 2025) and 1-0 (Mar 2026).
- Derry City are on a 4-day double-away run (played Galway away on Friday).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostShamrock RoversEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Shamrock Rovers are extremely hard to beat at home, while Derry rarely win on the road, making a home win or draw highly likely.
- Shamrock Rovers home record: only 1 loss in 10 home matches this season.
- Derry City away record: only 1 win in 10 away matches.
- Shamrock Rovers have lost only 1 of last 5 home H2H meetings (W3 D1 L1).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonShamrock Rovers or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Shamrock Rovers' tendency to lead at halftime at home, combined with Derry's low first-half scoring, gives the hosts a first-half edge.
- Shamrock Rovers led at halftime in 6 of 10 home matches (60%).
- Derry City trailed at halftime in only 2 of 10 away matches (20%).
- Shamrock Rovers average 0.9 first-half goals at home, conceding 0.3.
- Derry City average 0.5 first-half goals away, conceding 0.3.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostShamrock RoversEstimated chance50%

Goals1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches and H2H history show a tendency for low-scoring affairs, especially with Derry's struggles to score away.
- Shamrock Rovers home matches average 2.5 total goals (18 for, 7 against in 10 games).
- Derry City away matches average 2.1 total goals (9 for, 12 against in 10 games).
- Last 5 H2H: 3 of 5 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Shamrock Rovers last 5 home matches: 3 had under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Shamrock Rovers' solid home defense and Derry's low away scoring output suggest at least one team will fail to score.
- Shamrock Rovers home clean sheets: 5 in 10 home matches this season.
- Derry City away failed to score: 4 in 10 away matches.
- Last 5 H2H: both teams scored in only 1 match.
- Derry City scored only 9 goals in 10 away matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Shamrock Rovers' strong home defensive record and Derry's away scoring difficulties make a home clean sheet probable.
- Shamrock Rovers kept clean sheets in 5 of 10 home matches this season.
- Derry City failed to score in 4 of 10 away matches.
- Shamrock Rovers kept clean sheets in 2 of last 3 home H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostDerry City not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Shamrock Rovers consistently score at home, and Derry's away defense has been leaky, supporting over 1.5 home goals.
- Shamrock Rovers scored 2+ goals in 6 of 10 home matches this season.
- Shamrock Rovers average 1.8 goals per home match.
- Derry City conceded 2+ goals in 4 of 10 away matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostShamrock Rovers over 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring rates, and H2H history shows few early goals, making under 1.5 first-half goals likely.
- Shamrock Rovers home first-half goals: 0.9 for, 0.3 against on average.
- Derry City away first-half goals: 0.5 for, 0.3 against on average.
- Last 5 H2H: 4 matches had 0 or 1 first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and recent H2H meetings have seen totals near or above 9.5, suggesting a slight lean to the over.
- Shamrock Rovers average 4.5 corners per match overall, but 5.0 at home in recent matches.
- Derry City average 5.4 corners per match overall, with 5.0+ in 6 of last 10 matches.
- Last 5 H2H: total corners were 10, 9, 7, 11, 9 (average 9.2).
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Derry's high card count and the competitive nature of this fixture push the expected total cards above 4.5.
- Shamrock Rovers average 2.4 yellow cards per match overall, but 2.8 at home in recent matches.
- Derry City average 3.3 yellow cards per match overall, with 3+ in 7 of last 10 matches.
- Last 5 H2H: total cards were 5, 4, 6, 5, 3 (average 4.6).
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
1	Shamrock Rovers Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)	21	12	4	5	32-19	40	LWWLL
6	Derry City	21	5	10	6	26-24	25	WLDDD

Shamrock Rovers1Derry City1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Shamrock Rovers

No

Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers or Draw

Under 1.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

@ 1.15

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Shamrock Rovers

Derry City

Squad & Injuries

Shamrock Rovers

Derry City