Phoenix Rising33 – 4Oakland Roots4

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams have inconsistent first-half performances, and the most recent H2H was level at the break, suggesting a draw is the most probable half-time result.

• Phoenix Rising led at halftime in only 20% of last 15 matches, trailed in 47%.
• Oakland Roots led at halftime in 33% of last 15 matches, trailed in 20%.
• Last H2H (March 2026) was 0-0 at halftime.
• Oakland's recent away matches often see first-half draws (e.g., 0-0 at Miami, 1-1 at Loudoun).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A tight first half followed by a Phoenix surge after the break is plausible given Oakland's schedule and Phoenix's home resilience, but the exact sequence is low probability.

• Phoenix Rising have come from behind to win or draw in 3 of last 5 home matches.
• Oakland Roots have drawn at halftime in 5 of last 10 matches.
• Phoenix Rising's home record shows 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, often scoring late.
• Fatigue may cause Oakland to fade in second half.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Phoenix RisingEstimated chance25%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams consistently find the net, and the H2H trend strongly supports BTTS, making it a high-confidence pick.

• Last 3 H2H meetings all saw both teams score (2-2, 3-3, 2-1).
• Oakland Roots scored in 12 of 13 league matches this season.
• Phoenix Rising scored in 11 of 13 league matches this season.
• Oakland's away matches average 3.6 total goals (9 scored, 9 conceded in 5).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The H2H trend and Oakland's high-scoring away games point to over 2.5 goals, though Phoenix's home defense occasionally keeps totals lower.

• Last 3 H2H meetings produced 4, 6, and 3 total goals.
• Oakland's away matches average 3.6 total goals.
• Phoenix Rising home matches average 2.5 total goals (9 scored, 6 conceded in 6).
• Both teams have scored in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 home matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to concede early, and H2H history shows frequent first-half goals, making over 0.5 first-half goals likely.

• Oakland Roots average 0.7 first-half goals scored, 0.5 conceded in last 15 matches.
• Phoenix Rising average 0.3 first-half goals scored, 0.9 conceded in last 15 matches.
• In last 5 H2H, first-half goals occurred in 4 matches (2-2, 3-3, 2-1, 1-0, 1-0).
• Oakland led at halftime in 33% of recent matches; Phoenix trailed at halftime in 47%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second halves in this fixture tend to be more open, and with Oakland tiring, over 1.5 second-half goals is a reasonable expectation.

• Last 3 H2H second-half goals: 2, 3, 2.
• Oakland's away matches average 2.2 second-half goals (estimated from totals).
• Phoenix Rising home matches average 1.5 second-half goals.
• Heat and fatigue likely to open up the game after halftime.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

In the absence of corner data, the league average suggests a neutral expectation, but the attacking styles of both teams could push the total slightly above average.

• Corner data unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
• USL Championship average corners per game is approximately 9.2.
• Both teams play with width and attacking intent, likely generating corners.
• No specific corner trends available; based on league average.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

With no card data, the league average is the best guide, and the competitive nature of the match could lead to a slightly higher card count.

• Card data unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
• USL Championship average cards per game is approximately 3.8.
• High-stakes match with playoff implications may increase intensity.
• No specific disciplinary trends available.