IR Tanger11 – 0RCA Zemamra0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

IR Tanger's strong home resilience (only 2 losses all season) contrasts with Zemamra's poor away form (7 losses), making a home win or draw highly likely.

• IR Tanger home record: only 2 losses in 12 (17% loss rate).
• RCA Zemamra away record: 7 losses in 12 (58% loss rate).
• IRT unbeaten in 5 of last 6 home matches (2W, 3D).
• Zemamra lost 5 of last 7 away matches.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonIR Tanger or DrawEstimated chance70%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The high frequency of first-half draws for both teams (46% and 54%) and the H2H pattern of four draws in five first halves strongly point to a level score at half-time.

• IR Tanger half-time results: 27% lead, 27% trail, 46% draw.
• RCA Zemamra half-time results: 13% lead, 33% trail, 54% draw.
• Last 5 H2H first halves: 4 draws, 1 away lead (IRT led once).
• Combined first-half draw probability based on averages: ~50%.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

While a first-half draw is very likely, the full-time draw probability is lower due to Zemamra's all-or-nothing away record, making the exact Draw/Draw combo a low-confidence but plausible outcome given the tiebreak stakes.

• IR Tanger home draws: 7 of 12 (58%), but only 2 were 0-0 at half-time.
• RCA Zemamra away draws: 0 of 12, so no historical away draw pattern.
• Last 5 H2H: only 1 draw (1-1), which was 0-0 at half-time.
• Combined probability of first-half draw (~70%) and full-time draw (~40%) = ~28%.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The H2H psychology strongly favors a low-scoring affair, with four of the last five meetings producing two goals or fewer, and both teams' season-long scoring averages support a tight, tactical match.

• Last 5 H2H: 1-0, 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 4-1 – four of five had ≤2 goals.
• IR Tanger home record: 12 matches, 11 goals for, 12 against – avg 1.92 total goals.
• RCA Zemamra away record: 12 matches, 14 goals for, 20 against – avg 2.83 total goals, but recent H2H pattern overrides.
• Both teams average <1.5 goals per game overall this season (IRT 0.92, RCA 1.00).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The H2H pattern of low-scoring, often one-sided results, combined with both teams' inconsistent scoring form, makes a clean sheet for at least one side more likely than both finding the net.

• Last 3 H2H: 1-0, 1-0, 1-1 – only one match saw both teams score.
• IR Tanger failed to score in 3 of last 5 home matches (0-1, 0-0, 0-2).
• RCA Zemamra failed to score in 4 of last 7 away matches.
• IRT clean sheet in 4 of last 10 overall; RCA clean sheet in 3 of last 10.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

With both teams heavily reliant on second-half scoring and the H2H trend of late goals, at least one goal after the break is highly probable, even in a low-scoring overall match.

• IR Tanger second-half goals: 0.6 per game (1.0 - 0.4 first half).
• RCA Zemamra second-half goals: 0.9 per game (1.2 - 0.3 first half).
• Last 5 H2H: all goals scored in second half in 3 of 5 matches (1-0, 1-0, 1-1).
• Both teams score 60%+ of their goals after half-time.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Zemamra's poor away defensive record (only 2 clean sheets) and IR Tanger's consistent home scoring (67%) suggest the visitors are unlikely to keep a clean sheet.

• RCA Zemamra away clean sheets: 2 in 12 (17%).
• IR Tanger scored in 8 of 12 home matches (67%).
• IRT failed to score in only 4 home games.
• Zemamra conceded in 10 of 12 away matches.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonIR Tanger to scoreEstimated chance60%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams average over 2 yellow cards per game, and the high-stakes tiebreak context is likely to increase intensity and disciplinary actions, pushing the total cards above 3.5.

• IR Tanger average yellow cards: 2.2 per game (last 15 matches).
• RCA Zemamra average yellow cards: 2.7 per game (last 15 matches).
• Combined average: 4.9 cards per game.
• Recent H2H (Feb 2026): 4 yellow cards total (2 each).