Primera NacionalFull timeFeatured

Predictions graded

Deportivo Madryn2CA Los Andes1

HT 2–1Sun 21 Jun 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions1–713%

Edges0–50%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 18 Jun 2026, 16:54 · Europe/Bucharest

A promotion battle between 6th-placed Deportivo Madryn and 3rd-placed CA Los Andes is likely to be a low-scoring, cagey affair.

Madryn’s coaching uncertainty and Los Andes’ league-best defense (1 away goal conceded all season) make a draw the most probable outcome, with strong value on a goalless first half. Avoid backing a Madryn win or expecting goals; the under-2.5 line is correctly priced but offers no edge.

Context

OneFootball reported on 10 June 2026 that Diaz left the dugout to become sporting director, with a new coach to be named soon.
- Sofascore still lists Diaz as coach ahead of 21 June, indicating the transition may not be fully settled.
- Madryn's recent form includes three draws in their last five matches, suggesting possible instability.
Los Andes away record: 4 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses, with only 1 goal conceded in 7 matches.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in those 7 away games.
- Overall, Los Andes have conceded just 4 goals in 17 league matches this season.
Sofascore standings show Los Andes 3rd and Deportivo Madryn 6th in Group A.
- Forebet's standings segment indicates both clubs are in promotion-related bands after 17 matches.
- A draw would likely suit both sides in a tight group, reinforcing the cagey match expectation.
Deportivo Madryn won 1-0 at home in September 2025.
- Los Andes won 2-1 at home in May 2025.
- Both matches were decided by one goal, with under 2.5 goals in each.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Madryn's high draw rate at home (50%) and Los Andes' unbeaten but not dominant away record, combined with Madryn's coaching uncertainty, make a draw the most probable single outcome.
- Deportivo Madryn home record: 3W-4D-1L in 8 matches (37.5% win rate, 50% draws).
- CA Los Andes away record: 4W-3D-0L in 7 matches, but 3 of those wins were by 1 goal; 43% draws.
- H2H last 2 meetings: both home wins by 1 goal, no draws, but small sample.
- Madryn last 5 form: D-D-D-W-L (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss); Los Andes last 5: W-D-D-W-W (3 wins, 2 draws).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Los Andes' defensive solidity away (1 goal conceded in 7) and Madryn's internal disruption make the away side avoiding defeat highly likely.
- Los Andes away record: unbeaten in 7 (4W-3D), conceding only 1 goal total.
- Madryn home record: only 3 wins in 8, with 5 matches where they failed to win.
- Madryn coaching transition (Cristian Diaz stepped down 10 June) adds instability.
- Los Andes overall form: 7W-8D-2L, only 2 losses all season.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or CA Los AndesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
High draw rates at half time for both sides, especially Los Andes' 71% draw rate away, point to a stalemate at the break.
- Madryn home first half results: led at HT in 3 of 8, drew 4, lost 1.
- Los Andes away first half results: led in 2 of 7, drew 5, lost 0.
- Los Andes overall first half: led in 33% of matches, drew 60%.
- Madryn overall first half: led in 40%, drew 53%.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance65%

Goals1 of 5 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams show strong under 2.5 trends, especially Los Andes' league-best defensive record (4 conceded in 17), making a low-scoring match very probable.
- Los Andes away matches: 6 of 7 had under 2.5 goals (avg total goals 1.43).
- Madryn home matches: 5 of 8 had under 2.5 goals (avg total goals 2.25).
- H2H last 2 meetings: both ended 1-0 or 2-1, under 2.5 goals.
- Los Andes overall: 15 of 17 matches under 2.5 goals (88%).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Los Andes' exceptional defensive record, especially away, suggests they can keep a clean sheet, while Madryn's attack may struggle against the league's best defense.
- Los Andes away: kept 6 clean sheets in 7 away matches.
- Madryn home: failed to score in 2 of 8 home matches, but scored in 6.
- Los Andes overall: 13 clean sheets in 17 matches (76%).
- H2H: in 2 meetings, both teams scored only once (2-1 Los Andes win).
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Los Andes' defensive consistency, conceding only 1 away goal all season, gives them a strong chance to shut out a Madryn side that has been inconsistent at home.
- Los Andes away clean sheets: 6 in 7 matches (86%).
- Los Andes overall clean sheets: 13 in 17 (76%).
- Madryn home: scored in 6 of 8 but only 11 goals total (1.38 per game).
- Madryn failed to score in 2 of last 5 home matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostDeportivo Madryn not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with Los Andes especially cautious away, making a goalless first half a strong possibility.
- Madryn first half goals at home: 0.8 avg, but 3 of 8 home matches had 0-0 at HT.
- Los Andes away first half goals: 0.4 avg, with 5 of 7 away matches 0-0 at HT.
- Los Andes overall first half: 0.4 goals for, 0.1 against; 10 of 17 matches 0-0 at HT.
- Madryn last 5 matches: 3 had 0-0 at half time.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
While first halves are tight, both teams tend to open up after the break, with Madryn particularly more productive in the second half at home.
- Madryn home second half: 7 of 8 matches had at least 1 goal (87.5%).
- Los Andes away second half: 4 of 7 had at least 1 goal (57%).
- Combined, 11 of 15 home/away matches had a second-half goal (73%).
- Madryn score 60% of their home goals in the second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance68%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Given the expected low-scoring, cautious nature of the match, corner counts are likely to be below average, though data is limited.
- Corner data unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- Primera Nacional average corners typically range 8-10 per match.
- Low-scoring, defensive matchups often produce fewer corners.
- No specific corner trends available; estimate based on match style.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Without specific card data, a typical low-card affair is assumed, but the stakes could push it slightly higher; confidence is low.
- Card data unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- Primera Nacional average cards typically 4-5 per match.
- No history of high-card encounters in H2H (no card data).
- Promotion clash may increase intensity but not necessarily cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableUnder 4.5Estimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 1W

W1-0Deportivo MadrynvLos AndesSep 7, 2025PRI

L2-1Los AndesvDeportivo MadrynMay 3, 2025PRI

2 goals/game avg

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
6	Deportivo Madryn Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	17	6	7	4	22-17	25	DDDWL
3	CA Los Andes Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	17	7	8	2	15-4	29	WDDWW

4pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Deportivo Madryn

D2-2San MiguelJun 14PRI

D0-0San TelmoJun 7PRI

D0-0AcassusoMay 31PRI

W2-1Chaco For EverMay 24PRI

L0-1Ferro Carril OesteMay 17PRI

W3-2Central NorteMay 10PRI

D2-2Racing CordobaMay 3PRI

W2-1Defensores De BelgranoApr 26PRI

L0-1Ciudad de BolívarApr 18PRI

W2-1Almirante BrownApr 12PRI

W3-1Atletico MitreApr 5PRI

D1-1San Martin TucumanMar 29PRI

W3-0CA EstudiantesMar 21PRI

L0-1All BoysMar 14PRI

D0-0Godoy CruzMar 1PRI

CA Los Andes

W3-0Atletico MitreJun 14PRI

D0-0CA EstudiantesJun 6PRI

D0-0All BoysMay 30PRI

W2-0Racing CordobaMay 23PRI

W1-0Godoy CruzMay 16PRI

D0-0Deportivo MoronMay 9PRI

D1-1Colon Santa FeMay 2PRI

W2-0San MiguelApr 25PRI

D0-0San TelmoApr 18PRI

W1-0AcassusoApr 12PRI

W2-0Chaco For EverApr 5PRI

L0-1TemperleyMar 29PRI

W2-0Ferro Carril OesteMar 21PRI

D0-0Central NorteMar 14PRI

L0-1Defensores De BelgranoFeb 28PRI

Squad & Injuries

Deportivo Madryn

28 available

Attackers13

Midfielders5

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

CA Los Andes

27 available

Attackers8

Midfielders6

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Draw

Under 0.5

Draw or CA Los Andes

Under 2.5

No

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 1.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Deportivo Madryn

CA Los Andes

Squad & Injuries

Deportivo Madryn

CA Los Andes