Primera NacionalFull time

Predictions graded

CA Temperley1San Martin de Tucuman1

HT 1–0Sat 20 Jun 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–443%

Edges2–250%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 19 Jun 2026, 00:55 · Europe/Bucharest

Expect a tight, low-scoring match where CA Temperley’s strong home form and San Martín’s away struggles point to a home win or draw, but the betting value is thin.

The under 2.5 goals and under 1.5 first-half goals are highly probable but priced too short to back. The home win at 2.30 offers a marginal edge, though San Martín’s coaching instability adds risk.

Context

San Martín lost 2-0 at Colegiales, 2-0 at Midland, 1-0 at Gimnasia y Tiro, and 2-0 at Agropecuario in their last five away matches.
- They failed to score in all four of those defeats, managing only a 1-1 draw at Deportivo Madryn in that stretch.
- Temperley have won four of seven home matches this season, including a 4-1 win over Güemes and a 2-1 win over San Martín S.J.
San Martín's last six results: 0-2 L at Colegiales, 0-0 D vs Quilmes, 0-2 L at Midland, 0-1 L vs Atlanta, 0-1 L at Gimnasia y Tiro, 2-0 W vs Gimnasia Jujuy.
- The only goal they scored in that run was a 2-0 home win over Gimnasia Jujuy on 13 May.
- Temperley kept clean sheets at home against Patronato (0-0) and Los Andes (1-0 away, but also a home clean sheet vs Atlanta in March).
Club records show Ariel Martos was head coach in January 2025, Mariano Campodónico was quoted after a September 2025 match, and Andrés Yllana is listed on current 2026 team pages.
- Frequent coaching changes can disrupt playing style and player roles, especially for a team already struggling for goals.
- There is no public confirmation of a recent change, but the pattern suggests instability in the technical area.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

CA Temperley or Draw

1.28fair 1.33

BetBugs 75% · Market 78%

0.0ppshort

CA Temperley's home resilience (4W-2D-1L) and San Martín's away struggles (2W-2D-4L) make a home win or draw highly probable.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Under 2.5

1.30fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

San Martin's away matches average 1.75 total goals with 6 of 8 under 2.5, and H2H history shows 4 of last 5 meetings under 2.5.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
CA Temperley's strong home form and San Martin's poor recent away results, combined with a positive H2H trend at home, give the hosts a clear edge.
- CA Temperley home record: 4W-2D-1L, 12 goals scored, 11 conceded in 7 matches
- San Martin de Tucuman away record: 2W-2D-4L, 5 goals scored, 9 conceded in 8 matches
- CA Temperley last 5 form: W-W-W-D-L (10 points), San Martin last 5 form: L-D-L-L-L (1 point)
- H2H last 5: CA Temperley 2 wins, San Martin 2 wins, 1 draw; CA Temperley won last meeting 1-0 at home
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCA TemperleyEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
CA Temperley's resilience at home and San Martin's struggles on the road make a home win or draw highly probable.
- CA Temperley home record: 4W-2D-1L, only 1 loss in 7 home games
- San Martin away record: 2W-2D-4L, lost 4 of 8 away games
- CA Temperley overall record: 6W-8D-3L, only 3 losses in 17 matches
- San Martin last 5 form: L-D-L-L-L, no wins in last 5
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCA Temperley or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Despite CA Temperley's recent first-half leads, San Martin's tendency to draw at half-time and the overall low-scoring first halves suggest a stalemate at the break.
- CA Temperley half-time results: led 40%, trailed 13%, drawn 47% in last 15
- San Martin half-time results: led 20%, trailed 27%, drawn 53% in last 15
- CA Temperley last 5 first halves: W-W-W-W-D (led in 4, drew 1)
- San Martin last 5 first halves: D-D-L-D-D (led in 0, drew 4, lost 1)
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
CA Temperley's home matches often open up after the break, and San Martin's away fragility could be exposed, but the evidence is thin, so confidence is low.
- CA Temperley second half performance: scored 0.4 goals per second half on average (1.1 total - 0.7 first half)
- San Martin second half performance: scored 0.5 goals per second half on average (0.9 total - 0.4 first half)
- CA Temperley home matches: 5 of 7 had more goals in second half than first half
- San Martin away matches: 4 of 8 had more goals in second half
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableCA TemperleyEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a CA Temperley win is a plausible scenario given the hosts' second-half strength and San Martin's tendency to fade, but the specific combination is low probability.
- CA Temperley half-time draws: 7 of last 15 matches
- CA Temperley full-time wins: 6 of last 15 matches
- San Martin half-time draws: 8 of last 15 matches
- San Martin full-time losses: 5 of last 15 matches
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / CA TemperleyEstimated chance25%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low-scoring trends, especially San Martin away, and H2H history strongly supports a low-scoring match.
- CA Temperley home matches average 3.29 total goals, but 4 of 7 home games had under 2.5 goals
- San Martin away matches average 1.75 total goals, with 6 of 8 away games under 2.5 goals
- San Martin overall: 14 goals scored, 14 conceded in 17 matches (1.65 total goals per game)
- H2H last 5: 4 of 5 meetings had under 2.5 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
San Martin's attacking struggles, especially away, combined with a H2H pattern of low-scoring games, suggest at least one team will fail to score.
- San Martin failed to score in 5 of last 6 matches
- San Martin away: scored only 5 goals in 8 matches, failed to score in 4 of those
- CA Temperley home: conceded in 5 of 7 matches, but kept 2 clean sheets
- H2H last 5: both teams scored in only 2 of 5 meetings
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
CA Temperley's consistent home scoring and San Martin's leaky away defense make an away clean sheet unlikely.
- San Martin away: conceded in 6 of 8 matches, kept only 2 clean sheets
- CA Temperley home: scored in 6 of 7 matches, averaging 1.71 goals per home game
- San Martin overall: conceded in 11 of 17 matches
- CA Temperley last 5 home matches: scored in 4 of 5
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonCA Temperley to scoreEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring rates, with San Martin particularly blunt before the break, pointing to a quiet first half.
- CA Temperley first half goals: 0.7 per game, first half conceded: 0.6 per game
- San Martin first half goals: 0.4 per game, first half conceded: 0.5 per game
- CA Temperley last 5 matches: first half goals total 6 in 5 games (1.2 per game), but 3 of 5 had under 1.5
- San Martin last 5 matches: first half goals total 1 in 5 games (0.2 per game)
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Without specific corner stats, the low-scoring match context and typical league averages suggest a moderate corner count, but confidence is low due to missing data.
- Corner data unavailable for both teams in recent matches
- Primera Nacional average corners per game typically around 8-10
- Low-scoring match expectation reduces corner likelihood
- Both teams lack dominant possession or shot data to suggest high corner counts
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

L1-0TemperleyvSan Martin TucumanJul 8, 2023PRI

D1-1San Martin TucumanvTemperleyMar 5, 2023PRI

W1-2TemperleyvSan Martin TucumanFeb 12, 2022PRI

L2-1San Martin TucumanvTemperleyOct 19, 2021PRI

W0-1TemperleyvSan Martin TucumanJun 23, 2021PRI

2 goals/game avg

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
5	CA Temperley Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	17	6	8	3	17-16	26	WWWDL
7	San Martin de Tucuman Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	17	5	7	5	14-14	22	LDLLL

4pt gap between teams

Recent Form

CA Temperley

W4-1Club Atlético GüemesJun 14PRI

W1-0Chacarita JuniorsJun 7PRI

W2-1San Martin S.J.May 31PRI

D1-1Nueva ChicagoMay 23PRI

L0-1Gimnasia JujuyMay 17PRI

L0-5Deportivo MaipuMay 9PRI

D1-1AlmagroMay 3PRI

D0-0PatronatoApr 25PRI

D1-1ColegialesApr 19PRI

D3-3QuilmesApr 12PRI

D0-0MidlandApr 4PRI

W1-0Los AndesMar 29PRI

W2-1AtlantaMar 22PRI

D0-0Gimnasia Y TiroMar 15PRI

L0-1Atletico DE RafaelaMar 1PRI

San Martin de Tucuman

L0-2ColegialesJun 13PRI

D0-0QuilmesJun 7PRI

L0-2MidlandMay 31PRI

L0-1AtlantaMay 24PRI

L0-1Gimnasia Y TiroMay 17PRI

W2-0Gimnasia JujuyMay 13PRI

W2-1Atletico DE RafaelaMay 2PRI

L0-2AgropecuarioApr 26PRI

D0-0Tristan SuarezApr 19PRI

W2-0Club Atlético GüemesApr 12PRI

D1-1Chacarita JuniorsApr 4PRI

D1-1Deportivo MadrynMar 29PRI

D1-1San Martin S.J.Mar 21PRI

W2-0Nueva ChicagoMar 15PRI

D2-2Deportivo MaipuMar 1PRI

Squad & Injuries

CA Temperley

29 available

Attackers9

Midfielders7

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

San Martin de Tucuman

32 available

Attackers9

Midfielders10

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

CA Temperley

CA Temperley or Draw

Under 2.5

Under 1.5

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

No

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

CA Temperley

San Martin de Tucuman

Squad & Injuries

CA Temperley

San Martin de Tucuman