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Predictions graded

St Patrick's2Sligo Rovers0

HT 0–0Fri 19 Jun 2026, 18:45 Predictions graded

Predictions8–280%

Edges5–183%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 15 Jun 2026, 16:11 · Europe/Bucharest

St Patrick's are heavy favorites at home against a struggling Sligo side, with a dominant H2H record and title-chasing motivation.

The best betting value is on St Patrick's to score over 1.5 goals (1.40) and over 9.5 total corners (1.85), while the straight home win is too short to back. Avoid the over 2.5 total goals and first-half over 0.5 goals markets due to poor value.

Context

St Pat's announced on 2 June that Anang would travel to the World Cup with Ghana.
- Anang has been a key part of a defense conceding only 0.6 goals per home game.
- No other goalkeeper absence is noted, but the replacement will lack Anang's familiarity with the backline.
In the 12 June preview, Russell stated Rovers were 'down bodies again' and may need 'switching around'.
- Kevin Zefi and James McManus are available but lack match fitness or integration.
- Sligo have conceded 15 goals in 10 away games, and a patched-up defense may worsen that record.
The six home wins include scores of 4-1, 3-0, 4-3, 3-2, 3-0, and 1-0.
- St Pat's have scored at least three goals in four of those six wins.
- Sligo have not won at Richmond Park in the league since before May 2023.
St Pat's are 2nd on 35 points, five behind Shamrock Rovers with a game in hand.
- Sligo are 9th on 19 points, only five above bottom-placed Waterford.
- Sligo manager Russell called their last game a 'huge chance' to move up, highlighting survival pressure.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
St Patrick's dominant home form, strong H2H record at Richmond Park, and title-chasing motivation against a struggling Sligo side with poor away results make a home win highly likely.
- St Patrick's have won 7 of 10 home league games this season (W7 D1 L2), scoring 22 and conceding only 6.
- Sligo Rovers have lost 6 of 10 away league games (W2 D2 L6), scoring just 6 goals and conceding 15.
- St Patrick's have won their last 6 home league meetings against Sligo Rovers, outscoring them 18-6 in those matches.
- St Patrick's are 2nd in the table with a live title incentive, while Sligo are 9th and only 5 points above the relegation zone.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSt Patrick'sEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given St Patrick's strong home resilience and Sligo's poor away record, the probability of the home side avoiding defeat is very high, supported by both form and H2H trends.
- St Patrick's have lost only 2 of 10 home league games this season, with 8 unbeaten (W7 D1).
- Sligo Rovers have won only 2 of 10 away league games, failing to win in 8 (D2 L6).
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, St Patrick's have won 3 and drawn 1, with Sligo's only win coming at home.
- St Patrick's have a +16 goal difference at home, while Sligo have a -9 goal difference away.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonSt Patrick's or DrawEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
St Patrick's tendency to start strongly at home, combined with Sligo's frequent first-half deficits, gives the home side a moderate edge to lead at the break.
- St Patrick's have led at half-time in 40% of their matches this season, compared to Sligo's 13%.
- At home, St Patrick's average 0.8 first-half goals and concede 0.6, while Sligo average 0.4 first-half goals away and concede 0.8.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, St Patrick's led at half-time in 2 of the 3 home wins.
- Sligo have trailed at half-time in 47% of their matches overall.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostSt Patrick'sEstimated chance50%

Goals6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
St Patrick's attacking output at home combined with Sligo's defensive vulnerabilities on the road suggests a decent chance of at least 3 goals, though Sligo's low scoring away tempers the confidence.
- St Patrick's home league games average 2.8 total goals (22 scored, 6 conceded in 10 matches).
- Sligo Rovers' away league games average 2.1 total goals, but they have conceded 15 in 10 away matches (1.5 per game).
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 matches had over 2.5 goals, including a 4-1 St Patrick's win in the most recent home fixture.
- St Patrick's have scored at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 10 home league games.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
St Patrick's solid home defense and Sligo's away scoring struggles make a clean sheet for the home side plausible, though Sligo's occasional away goals prevent higher confidence.
- St Patrick's have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 10 home league games this season.
- Sligo Rovers have failed to score in 5 of their 10 away league games, netting only 6 goals total.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, both teams scored in only 2 matches.
- St Patrick's have conceded only 6 goals in 10 home games, averaging 0.6 per game.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combination of St Patrick's strong home defensive record and Sligo's away scoring drought supports a home clean sheet, though the absence of goalkeeper Anang introduces some uncertainty.
- St Patrick's have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home league games this season (5 out of 10).
- Sligo Rovers have failed to score in 50% of their away league games (5 out of 10).
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, St Patrick's kept a clean sheet in 2 of the 3 home wins.
- Sligo average only 0.6 goals per away game this season.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSligo Rovers not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
St Patrick's consistent home scoring, averaging over 2 goals per game, and Sligo's leaky away defense make it highly probable the home side will score at least twice.
- St Patrick's have scored at least 2 goals in 7 of their 10 home league games this season.
- They average 2.2 goals per home game, with a total of 22 goals in 10 matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings at Richmond Park, St Patrick's scored 2+ goals in 4 of them.
- Sligo Rovers have conceded 2+ goals in 6 of their 10 away league games.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonSt Patrick's over 1.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Sligo's poor away scoring record and St Patrick's solid home defense suggest a strong chance the visitors will be held scoreless, though Sligo's recent away win at Shamrock Rovers shows they can score occasionally.
- Sligo Rovers have failed to score in 5 of their 10 away league games this season.
- They average only 0.6 goals per away game, with just 6 goals in 10 matches.
- St Patrick's have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 10 home league games.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, Sligo failed to score in 3 matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonSligo Rovers under 0.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent patterns show a high frequency of first-half goals, making it likely that at least one goal will be scored before the interval.
- St Patrick's home games have seen a first-half goal in 8 of 10 matches this season.
- Sligo Rovers' away games have had a first-half goal in 7 of 10 matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 4 matches had a first-half goal.
- St Patrick's average 0.8 first-half goals at home, while Sligo concede 0.8 first-half goals away.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While second-half goals are common in this fixture, the low overall scoring rate of Sligo away from home makes this a borderline call, hence the low confidence.
- St Patrick's home games average 1.4 second-half goals (total goals minus first-half goals).
- Sligo Rovers' away games average 1.3 second-half goals.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 matches had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- St Patrick's have scored 60% of their home goals in the second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner stats and recent H2H trends point toward a moderately high corner count, with St Patrick's likely to dominate possession and force corners.
- St Patrick's home games average 10.2 total corners (6.0 for, 4.2 against).
- Sligo Rovers' away games average 9.8 total corners (4.3 for, 5.5 against).
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 matches had over 9.5 corners.
- St Patrick's average 6 corners per game overall, while Sligo concede 5.5 corners per away game.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
St Patrick's consistent corner-winning rate at home, coupled with Sligo's tendency to concede corners on the road, supports a moderate probability of the home side exceeding 5.5 corners.
- St Patrick's average 6.0 corners per home game this season.
- They have earned 6+ corners in 6 of their 10 home league matches.
- Sligo Rovers concede an average of 5.5 corners per away game.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, St Patrick's had 6+ corners in 3 matches.
BetBugs · Home Cornersnot gradableSt Patrick's over 5.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The card data is not strongly indicative of a high-card affair, but the competitive nature of the match with stakes at both ends could push the total slightly above the line, though confidence is low.
- St Patrick's home games average 3.2 total cards (1.5 for, 1.7 against).
- Sligo Rovers' away games average 3.4 total cards (1.7 for, 1.7 against).
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 2 matches had over 3.5 cards.
- Both teams average under 2 cards per game individually.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 7 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 3W

D1-1Sligo RoversvSt Patrick's Athl.May 4, 2026PRE

L4-1St Patrick's Athl.vSligo RoversApr 3, 2026PRE

L1-0Sligo RoversvSt Patrick's Athl.Sep 27, 2025PRE

L3-0St Patrick's Athl.vSligo RoversAug 10, 2025PRE

W0-1Sligo RoversvSt Patrick's Athl.May 30, 2025PRE

Sligo Rovers: 2 clean sheets2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Premier Division 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	St Patrick's Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	20	10	5	5	33-17	35	WLDLW
9	Sligo Rovers Premier Division (Relegation)	20	5	4	11	15-31	19	LLWLD

16pt gap between teamsSligo Rovers in relegation zone

Recent Form

St Patrick's

W2-0Drogheda UnitedJun 12PRE

L0-1Shamrock RoversMay 29PRE

D0-0Derry CityMay 22PRE

L0-1ShelbourneMay 15PRE

W4-1WaterfordMay 8PRE

D1-1Sligo RoversMay 4PRE

D2-2Galway UnitedMay 1PRE

W3-1BohemiansApr 24PRE

W3-1Drogheda UnitedApr 17PRE

L0-1Shamrock RoversApr 10PRE

L0-2DundalkApr 6PRE

W4-1Sligo RoversApr 3PRE

W2-0WaterfordMar 20PRE

D0-0Derry CityMar 16PRE

W4-1Drogheda UnitedMar 13PRE

Sligo Rovers

L0-4WaterfordJun 12PRE

L1-3BohemiansMay 29PRE

W2-1Shamrock RoversMay 22PRE

L1-4Galway UnitedMay 16PRE

D0-0ShelbourneMay 8PRE

D1-1St Patrick's Athl.May 4PRE

L0-1Drogheda UnitedMay 1PRE

W2-0DundalkApr 25PRE

W2-0WaterfordApr 18PRE

W2-1BohemiansApr 10PRE

D0-0Derry CityApr 6PRE

L1-4St Patrick's Athl.Apr 3PRE

L0-1ShelbourneMar 21PRE

L0-1DundalkMar 16PRE

L0-2Shamrock RoversMar 13PRE

Squad & Injuries

St Patrick's

30 available

Attackers6

Midfielders13

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Sligo Rovers

29 available

Attackers2

Midfielders15

Defenders8

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 9.5

St Patrick's over 5.5

St Patrick's

St Patrick's or Draw

St Patrick's

No

Over 0.5

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals6 of 7 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Draw

Sligo Rovers

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

St Patrick's

Sligo Rovers

Squad & Injuries

St Patrick's

Sligo Rovers