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St Patrick's

St Patrick's - Sligo Rovers

Sligo Rovers
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Premier DivisionLiveFeatured
Friday, June 19, 2026 at 18:45

Quick Take

Start here for the short read and the strongest priced leans.

St Patrick's are heavy favorites at home against a struggling Sligo side, with a dominant H2H record and title-chasing motivation. The best betting value is on St Patrick's to score over 1.5 goals (1.40) and over 9.5 total corners (1.85), while the straight home win is too short to back. Avoid the over 2.5 total goals and first-half over 0.5 goals markets due to poor value.

Context 7/10 The match combines a title-chasing home side with a dominant H2H record against a relegation-threatened away team missing key players, including the home goalkeeper on international duty.
Double ChanceSt Patrick's or Draw85%Fair price
Total Goals HomeOver 1.575%+3.6pp
Match WinnerSt Patrick's65%Fair price

Context Signals

The match conditions that matter before looking at the prices.

  • St Pat's announced on 2 June that Anang would travel to the World Cup with Ghana.
  • Anang has been a key part of a defense conceding only 0.6 goals per home game.
  • No other goalkeeper absence is noted, but the replacement will lack Anang's familiarity with the backline.

Social Angles

Fresh chatter, news, and whether it changes the read.

2

Irish broadcasters' result updates show St Patrick's coming off a 2-0 win over Drogheda, while Sligo were beaten 4-0 by Waterford on the same night. Earlier broadcaster posts in the set also had Sligo losing to Bohemians and Drogheda, while St Patrick's at least took a draw at Galway, so the recent-results mood is clearly leaning home side.

Compared to our analysis

This matches our main read that St Patrick's are in the stronger spot and should control the game at home. It supports the same home-lean, but it does not change the fact that the straight home win price already looks too short.

Treat this as confirmation of the St Patrick's lean, not a reason to force the Match Winner price. It fits better with St Patrick's to score twice and with home-pressure angles like corners.

Betting Edges

Markets where the model and price are far enough apart.

Model probabilities

The model view before price and edge filtering.

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Head-to-Head

1W ยท 1D ยท 3W
D1-1Sligo RoversvSt Patrick's Athl.May 4, 2026PRE
L4-1St Patrick's Athl.vSligo RoversApr 3, 2026PRE
L1-0Sligo RoversvSt Patrick's Athl.Sep 27, 2025PRE
L3-0St Patrick's Athl.vSligo RoversAug 10, 2025PRE
W0-1Sligo RoversvSt Patrick's Athl.May 30, 2025PRE
Sligo Rovers: 2 clean sheets2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Premier Division 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGF-GAPts
2
St Patrick'sSt Patrick's
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
20105533-1735
9
Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
Premier Division (Relegation)
20541115-3119
16pt gap between teamsSligo Rovers in relegation zone

Recent Form

St Patrick's

St Patrick's

W2-0Drogheda UnitedJun 12PRE
L0-1Shamrock RoversMay 29PRE
D0-0Derry CityMay 22PRE
L0-1ShelbourneMay 15PRE
W4-1WaterfordMay 8PRE
D1-1Sligo RoversMay 4PRE
D2-2Galway UnitedMay 1PRE
W3-1BohemiansApr 24PRE
W3-1Drogheda UnitedApr 17PRE
L0-1Shamrock RoversApr 10PRE
L0-2DundalkApr 6PRE
W4-1Sligo RoversApr 3PRE
W2-0WaterfordMar 20PRE
D0-0Derry CityMar 16PRE
W4-1Drogheda UnitedMar 13PRE
Sligo Rovers

Sligo Rovers

L0-4WaterfordJun 12PRE
L1-3BohemiansMay 29PRE
W2-1Shamrock RoversMay 22PRE
L1-4Galway UnitedMay 16PRE
D0-0ShelbourneMay 8PRE
D1-1St Patrick's Athl.May 4PRE
L0-1Drogheda UnitedMay 1PRE
W2-0DundalkApr 25PRE
W2-0WaterfordApr 18PRE
W2-1BohemiansApr 10PRE
D0-0Derry CityApr 6PRE
L1-4St Patrick's Athl.Apr 3PRE
L0-1ShelbourneMar 21PRE
L0-1DundalkMar 16PRE
L0-2Shamrock RoversMar 13PRE

Squad & Injuries

St Patrick's

30 available
Attackers6
Midfielders13
Defenders8
Goalkeeper3

Sligo Rovers

29 available
Attackers2
Midfielders15
Defenders8
Goalkeeper4
St Patrick's Athletic host Sligo Rovers at Richmond Park in a Premier Division clash with major implications at both ends of the table. Stephen Kenny's side sit second on 35 points, just five behind leaders Shamrock Rovers with a game in hand, and a win would tighten the title race. Sligo, meanwhile, are ninth on 19 points, only five above bottom-placed Waterford, making this a must-win for survival. The home side's form is formidable: they've won seven of ten home league games, scoring 22 and conceding just six.