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Holland Park Hawks

Holland Park Hawks - St George Willawong

St George Willawong
🇦🇺 Queensland Premier LeagueFinished
Friday, June 19, 2026 at 10:30

Finished Snapshot

FT2-1
FinishedSettled

Halftime

1-1

Predictions

7W · 2L · 0P

Edges

3W · 1L · 0P

Quick Take

Start here for the short read and the strongest priced leans.

Holland Park Hawks are strong favorites against a St George Willawong side that has lost five straight and rarely scores, but the best value is Both Teams to Score 'No' at 2.50—our 65% estimate dwarfs the market's 40% implied probability. Avoid Over 2.5 goals (1.33) and Over 0.5 first-half goals (1.14), where odds are too short given Willawong's attacking struggles and tight H2H history.

Context 5/10 St George Willawong's extreme scoring drought and defensive fragility create a clear mismatch, but the match lacks major table pressure or off-pitch disruption.
Double ChanceHolland Park Hawks or Draw85%+5.0pp
Both Teams To ScoreNo65%+25.0pp
Total Goals HomeOver 1.565%Fair price

Context Signals

The match conditions that matter before looking at the prices.

Betting Edges

Markets where the model and price are far enough apart.

Model probabilities

The model view before price and edge filtering.

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 0W
W0-1St George WillawongvHolland Park HawksMar 15, 2026QUE
1 goals/game avg

League Table

Queensland Premier League 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGF-GAPts
8
Holland Park HawksHolland Park Hawks
1351720-2316
12
St George WillawongSt George Willawong
1411125-374
12pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Holland Park Hawks

Holland Park Hawks

L0-1Robina CityJun 13QUE
L0-1Broadbeach UnitedJun 6QUE
W3-2SC WanderersMay 23QUE
L2-3Brisbane StrikersMay 16QUE
L3-5CabooltureMay 9QUE
W2-1CapalabaApr 17QUE
W2-1North StarApr 12QUE
L1-3IpswichMar 28QUE
L2-3Redlands UnitedMar 20QUE
W1-0St George WillawongMar 15QUE
L1-2Broadbeach UnitedMar 7QUE
D1-1SC WanderersFeb 28QUE
W2-0Logan LightningFeb 20QUE
W3-0Brisbane KnightsJan 10FRI
W5-2SWQ ThunderAug 24QUE
St George Willawong

St George Willawong

L1-4Broadbeach UnitedJun 13QUE
L0-3Redlands UnitedJun 7QUE
L0-8SC WanderersJun 3QUE
L0-4IpswichMay 24QUE
L0-2Logan LightningMay 10QUE
L0-2Brisbane StrikersApr 24QUE
D1-1CabooltureApr 18QUE
L0-4Robina CityApr 11QUE
L0-1CapalabaMar 28QUE
L0-1North StarMar 20QUE
L0-1Holland Park HawksMar 15QUE
W2-0Redlands UnitedMar 6QUE
L0-1IpswichFeb 27QUE
L1-5Broadbeach UnitedFeb 21QUE
D1-1Peninsula PowerAug 23QUE

Squad & Injuries

Holland Park Hawks

0 available
Attackers0
Midfielders0
Defenders0
Goalkeeper0

St George Willawong

1 available
Attackers1
Midfielders0
Defenders0
Goalkeeper0
Holland Park Hawks host bottom-side St George Willawong in a Queensland Premier League clash where the stakes remain live for both ends of the table. The Hawks won the reverse fixture 1-0 in March and sit comfortably mid-table, while Willawong have lost their last five league matches, conceding 19 goals in that span. With the FQPL 1 finals race still open and every point carrying weight for promotion or survival, this is far from a dead rubber.