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Gold Coast Knights

Gold Coast Knights - Magic United

Magic United
πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Queensland NPLFinished
Friday, June 19, 2026 at 09:30

Finished Snapshot

FT2-1
FinishedSettled

Halftime

0-0

Predictions

3W Β· 4L Β· 0P

Edges

2W Β· 3L Β· 0P

Quick Take

Start here for the short read and the strongest priced leans.

Gold Coast Knights are heavily favored after a 7-0 away win over Magic United this season, but the 1.09 odds offer no value. The top actionable edge is 'Both Teams to Score: No' at 2.05, with Magic's poor away scoring (0.83 goals per game) and Knights' defensive solidity pointing to a home clean sheet. Avoid the outright and over 3.5 goals lines due to negative expected value.

Context 4/10 The match features a clear form and quality gap, with Gold Coast Knights dominant at home and Magic United conceding heavily away, but no major absences or unusual external factors.
Match WinnerGold Coast Knights78%Fair price
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.565%Fair price
Both Teams To ScoreNo60%+11.2pp

Context Signals

The match conditions that matter before looking at the prices.

Betting Edges

Markets where the model and price are far enough apart.

Model probabilities

The model view before price and edge filtering.

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 6 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

1W Β· 0D Β· 0W
W0-7Magic UnitedvGold Coast KnightsMar 8, 2026QUE
7 goals/game avg

League Table

Queensland NPL 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGF-GAPts
7
Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights
1162329-1720
11
Magic UnitedMagic United
14311014-4210
10pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Gold Coast Knights

Gold Coast Knights

W5-2OlympicJun 5QUE
L0-2Peninsula PowerMay 15QUE
W3-2Brisbane Roar IIMay 10QUE
W4-0WDSC WolvesApr 17QUE
D1-1Rochedale RoversApr 10QUE
L0-1OlympicMar 28QUE
W2-1Eastern SuburbsMar 20QUE
W4-2Brisbane CityMar 14QUE
W7-0Magic UnitedMar 8QUE
D2-2LionsFeb 27QUE
L1-4Moreton City ExcelsiorFeb 20QUE
L2-5Brisbane KnightsJan 25FRI
W5-0Brisbane KnightsJan 17FRI
W2-1SC WanderersAug 23QUE
L0-4Moreton City ExcelsiorAug 15QUE
Magic United

Magic United

W2-1Brisbane Roar IIJun 6QUE
L0-4Rochedale RoversJun 3QUE
L3-5LionsMay 31QUE
L2-3Peninsula PowerMay 23QUE
L1-3WDSC WolvesMay 10QUE
L0-2OlympicApr 24QUE
L0-2Eastern SuburbsApr 18QUE
D2-2Brisbane CityApr 12QUE
L0-5Moreton City ExcelsiorApr 7QUE
W1-0Brisbane Roar IIMar 29QUE
L0-4LionsMar 22QUE
L0-7Gold Coast KnightsMar 8QUE
L0-3Peninsula PowerFeb 28QUE
W3-1Gold Coast UnitedFeb 21QUE
W2-1Rochedale RoversSep 13QUE

Squad & Injuries

Gold Coast Knights

17 available
Attackers3
Midfielders8
Defenders4
Goalkeeper2

Magic United

0 available
Attackers0
Midfielders0
Defenders0
Goalkeeper0
Gold Coast Knights enter this Queensland NPL clash as heavy favorites, and the data strongly supports their dominance. They dismantled Magic United 7-0 away in March, and their home form this season (2W-1D-0L, 9 goals scored) contrasts sharply with Magic's away struggles (1W-1D-4L, 15 conceded). Intel confirms this is a short local trip for Magic, not a draining travel spot, but their defensive frailties remain glaring. With new head coach Alex Morrison at the helm, Knights have maintained attacking firepower, averaging 2.5 goals per game over their last 15, while Magic concede 2.9 per match.