Bohemians11 – 2Dundalk2

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The combination of Bohemians' high home draw rate and Dundalk's high away draw rate, along with a history of tight first halves in this fixture, supports a low-probability but plausible half-time/full-time draw scenario.

• Bohemians home: 5 draws in 10 matches, with 3 being 0-0 or 1-1 at half-time.
• Dundalk away: 6 draws in 10 matches, with 4 level at half-time.
• Last 2 H2H at Bohemians' ground: 1-1 draw (half-time 0-0) and 1-1 draw (half-time 1-0 to Bohemians).
• Both teams have drawn 7+ matches this season, indicating a pattern of stalemates.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams show consistent goal involvement in recent form and H2H, with a majority of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, driven by attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities in key splits.

• Bohemians average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match over last 15; 60% of those matches had over 2.5 goals.
• Dundalk average 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match over last 15; 53% of those matches had over 2.5 goals.
• Last H2H meeting: 4 goals (3-1); 3 of last 5 H2H had over 2.5 goals.
• Both teams have scored in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

High BTTS rates in both teams' recent form and respective home/away splits, reinforced by H2H history, indicate a strong likelihood that each side finds the net in this competitive fixture.

• Bohemians have scored in 13 of last 15 matches; conceded in 11 of last 15.
• Dundalk have scored in 13 of last 15 matches; conceded in 10 of last 15.
• Both teams scored in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings.
• Bohemians home: both teams scored in 7 of 10 home games; Dundalk away: both teams scored in 8 of 10 away games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams frequently produce first-half goals, with Dundalk's strong early scoring record and Bohemians' tendency to concede early, making over 0.5 first-half goals highly probable.

• Bohemians first half: scored in 9 of last 15, conceded in 9 of last 15; average 0.6 scored, 0.7 conceded per first half.
• Dundalk first half: scored in 10 of last 15, conceded in 7 of last 15; average 0.8 scored, 0.4 conceded per first half.
• Last 5 H2H: first-half goals in 4 of 5 meetings.
• Dundalk led at half-time in 47% of recent matches; Bohemians trailed at half-time in 33%.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

While second-half goal averages hover around 1.7, the variability in H2H and the potential for late-game urgency in a close match give a moderate chance of exceeding 1.5 second-half goals.

• Bohemians second-half goals: average 0.9 scored, 0.8 conceded over last 15; total 1.7 per match.
• Dundalk second-half goals: average 0.9 scored, 0.8 conceded over last 15; total 1.7 per match.
• Last 5 H2H: second-half goals of 2, 1, 2, 1, 2 (average 1.6).
• Both teams tend to score more in second halves, with 60% of Bohemians' goals and 53% of Dundalk's goals coming after half-time.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams generate high corner counts individually and in their respective splits, with recent H2H meetings often exceeding 9 corners, suggesting a total above 9.5 is likely.

• Bohemians average 6.1 corners per match, concede 4.5 corners per match over last 15; total average 10.6.
• Dundalk average 6.2 corners per match, concede 5.3 corners per match over last 15; total average 11.5.
• Last 5 H2H: total corners of 12, 7, 8, 12, 9 (average 9.6).
• Bohemians home matches average 10.2 total corners; Dundalk away matches average 10.8 total corners.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Consistent card averages above 4 per match for both teams, combined with the intense context of a top-four swing game, supports a prediction of over 3.5 total cards.

• Bohemians average 1.9 yellow cards per match, opponents average 2.3; total average 4.2 cards per match over last 15.
• Dundalk average 2.3 yellow cards per match, opponents average 2.5; total average 4.8 cards per match over last 15.
• Last 5 H2H: total cards of 5, 5, 4, 3, 5 (average 4.4).
• High-stakes match with direct rivalry implications likely to increase disciplinary actions.