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World Cup 2026
Portugal

Portugal - Congo DR

Congo DR
World Cup World Cup 2026FinishedFeatured
Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 17:00

Finished Snapshot

FT1-1
FinishedSettled

Halftime

1-1

Predictions

3W · 6L · 0P

Edges

2W · 3L · 0P

Match Stats

Possession

75%-25%

Shots

7-8

Shots on Target

1-2

Corners

5-4
World Cup match read

Quick Take

Start here for the short read and the strongest priced leans.

Portugal are strong favorites to win and score at least twice, with a high-confidence edge on over 1.5 team goals (+7.5 points value). Avoid the first-half goals market and short-priced match winner bets, as DR Congo's early defensive solidity and the odds leave no margin for error.

Context 7/10 DR Congo's late federation leadership change and the high-stakes World Cup opener create meaningful off-field and motivational context that could shape the match.
Total Goals HomeOver 1.580%+7.5pp
Match WinnerPortugal72%Fair price
1 St Half Goals Over/UnderOver 0.570%Fair price

Context Signals

The match conditions that matter before looking at the prices.

Betting Edges

Markets where the model and price are far enough apart.

Model probabilities

The model view before price and edge filtering.

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

League Table

World Cup 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGF-GAPts
1
PortugalPortugal
Advancing to the Round of 32
00000-00
2
Congo DRCongo DR
Advancing to the Round of 32
00000-00

Recent Form

Portugal

Portugal

W2-1NigeriaJun 10FRI
W2-1ChileJun 6FRI
W2-0USAMar 31FRI
D0-0MexicoMar 29FRI
W9-1ArmeniaNov 16WOR
L0-2Rep. Of IrelandNov 13WOR
D2-2HungaryOct 14WOR
W1-0Rep. Of IrelandOct 11WOR
W3-2HungarySep 9WOR
W5-0ArmeniaSep 6WOR
W2-1GermanyJun 4UEF
L0-1DenmarkMar 20UEF
D1-1CroatiaNov 18UEF
W5-1PolandNov 15UEF
D0-0ScotlandOct 15UEF
Congo DR

Congo DR

L1-2ChileJun 9FRI
D0-0DenmarkJun 3FRI
W2-0BermudaMar 25FRI
W3-0BotswanaDec 30AFR
D1-1SenegalDec 27AFR
W1-0BeninDec 23AFR
W2-0ZambiaDec 16FRI
W1-0CameroonNov 13WOR
W1-0SudanOct 14WOR
W1-0TogoOct 10WOR
L2-3SenegalSep 9WOR
W4-1South SudanSep 5WOR
L1-3MoroccoAug 17AFR
W2-0AngolaAug 14AFR
W2-0ZambiaAug 7AFR

Squad & Injuries

Portugal

26 available
Attackers4
Midfielders11
Defenders8
Goalkeeper3

Congo DR

26 available
Attackers7
Midfielders8
Defenders8
Goalkeeper3
Portugal enter their World Cup 2026 opener against DR Congo as heavy favorites, and the data supports a controlled, high-scoring performance from Roberto Martinez's side. Over their last 15 matches, Portugal have averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded, with a dominant 64.8% possession share and 17.6 shots per game. They've scored two or more goals in 11 of those 15 outings, including emphatic wins in qualifying. DR Congo, by contrast, have faced weaker opposition and struggled when stepping up in class, losing to Chile and Senegal while averaging just 1.