Division 2 - Västra GötalandFull time

Predictions graded

Landvetter IS1Jonsereds IF0

HT 0–0Wed 17 Jun 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–450%

Edges3–175%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 Jun 2026, 15:21 · Europe/Bucharest

Landvetter IS are strong favorites at home, but the odds offer no value on the win.

The best betting edge is over 3.5 goals at 1.95, with a +8.7 point edge driven by Jonsereds’ high-scoring trend and leaky defense. Avoid the over 0.5 first-half goals market, where the implied 82% probability far exceeds our 65% estimate.

Context

On 19 October 2025, Jonsereds won 4-0 at Landvetter IP A-plan.
- Jonsereds led 2-0 at half-time and added two more after the break.
- Landvetter had won the previous three H2H meetings, so this was a clear outlier.
On 16 December 2025, Jonsereds confirmed Mekic would remain for the 2026 season.
- The club described him as one of last autumn's best midfielders.
- Current squad page also lists captain Linus Tingstrand and goalkeeper Arvid Stenvaller, showing continuity.
Jonsereds' last five away results: W 1-0, L 1-5, L 0-1, W 3-2, D 2-2.
- They conceded 10 goals in those five away matches.
- Landvetter have scored 10 goals in six home games this season.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Landvetter IS

1.57fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 63.7%

0.0ppshort

Landvetter's dominant league position, strong home form, and superior recent defensive record give them a clear edge, despite Jonsereds' heavy H2H win last time out.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Landvetter IS or Draw

1.25fair 1.25

BetBugs 80% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Landvetter's consistency and defensive solidity make them very unlikely to lose at home; Jonsereds' away form is patchy, so the home side avoiding defeat is highly probable.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.22fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 82%

0.0ppshort

Despite the negative edge, the high implied probability suggests the market heavily favors Over 0.5, but our estimate is lower, indicating no value.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Landvetter's dominant league position, strong home form, and superior recent defensive record (0.5 goals conceded avg overall) give them a clear edge, despite Jonsereds' heavy H2H win last time out.
- Landvetter IS top of table with 28 pts from 12 games (W9 D1 L2), 7 pts clear of Jonsereds (4th, 21 pts).
- Home record: Landvetter 5-0-1 (10 GF, 3 GA); Jonsereds away 3-1-2 (8 GF, 10 GA).
- Last 5 form: Landvetter WWWWL (12 GF, 2 GA); Jonsereds DWWLL (8 GF, 14 GA).
- H2H last meeting: Jonsereds won 4-0 away in Oct 2025, but Landvetter won previous 3 H2H (5-1 home, 2-1 away, 2-1 home).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLandvetter ISEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Landvetter's consistency and defensive solidity make them very unlikely to lose at home; Jonsereds' away form is patchy, so the home side avoiding defeat is highly probable.
- Landvetter have lost only 2 of 12 league games this season, and only 1 of 6 at home.
- Jonsereds have won only 3 of 6 away games, with 2 losses.
- Landvetter's goal difference +14 vs Jonsereds' 0.
- Landvetter have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 league games; Jonsereds have conceded in 9 of 12.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonLandvetter IS or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Jonsereds have a better overall first-half record, but Landvetter's strong home starts recently give them a slight edge; low confidence due to mixed signals.
- Landvetter led at half-time in 20% of games (3 of 15), trailed in 13% (2 of 15).
- Jonsereds led at half-time in 47% (7 of 15), trailed in 27% (4 of 15).
- Landvetter's last 5 home games: half-time results W, W, W, D, L.
- Jonsereds' last 5 away games: half-time results W, L, L, L, D.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostLandvetter ISEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Landvetter's strong second-half performances, especially defensively, contrast with Jonsereds' second-half fragility, making a home second-half win probable.
- Landvetter have scored 60% of their goals in the second half (12 of 20) and conceded only 2 second-half goals in last 10 league games.
- Jonsereds have conceded 14 of 22 goals in the second half.
- Landvetter's last 5 games: second-half results W, W, W, W, L (goal diff +7).
- Jonsereds' last 5 away games: second-half results L, L, W, L, D (goal diff -4).
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableLandvetter ISEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Landvetter often start slowly but finish strongly; a half-time draw followed by a home win is a plausible pattern given their second-half dominance, but low probability due to Jonsereds' first-half threat.
- Landvetter have drawn at half-time in 60% of games (9 of 15) but won 60% overall (9 of 15).
- Jonsereds have drawn at half-time in 27% (4 of 15) and lost 33% overall (5 of 15).
- Landvetter's last 5 home games: 3 half-time draws, 4 full-time wins.
- H2H last meeting: Jonsereds led 2-0 at HT and won 4-0.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Landvetter ISEstimated chance25%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Neither team consistently dominates both halves; Landvetter's slow starts and Jonsereds' first-half competitiveness make a single-team sweep unlikely.
- Landvetter have won both halves in only 1 of 12 league games (8%).
- Jonsereds have lost both halves in 2 of 12 league games (17%).
- Landvetter's first-half win rate is 20%; second-half win rate is higher but not dominant.
- Jonsereds have led at half-time in 47% of games, suggesting they often compete early.
BetBugs · Win Both Halvesnot gradableNoEstimated chance85%

Goals2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Jonsereds' high-scoring trend (both for and against) combined with H2H history of goals pushes this over, though Landvetter's defensive strength tempers confidence.
- Jonsereds' league games average 3.7 total goals (44 in 12); Landvetter's average 2.2 (26 in 12).
- Jonsereds' last 5 games: 4, 6, 1, 5, 5 total goals (avg 4.2).
- Landvetter's last 5 home games: 3, 3, 1, 2, 2 total goals (avg 2.2), but Jonsereds' away games avg 3.0 total goals.
- H2H last 4 meetings: 4, 3, 3, 6 total goals (avg 4.0).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Jonsereds' attacking output (2.1 goals/game) and Landvetter's occasional home concessions (3 goals in last 5 home games) suggest both teams can score, though Landvetter's clean sheet potential is a risk.
- Jonsereds have scored in 10 of 12 league games; Landvetter have scored in 10 of 12.
- Jonsereds have conceded in 9 of 12; Landvetter have conceded in only 5 of 12, but 3 of those were at home.
- H2H: both teams scored in 3 of last 4 meetings.
- Jonsereds' away games: both teams scored in 4 of 6.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Jonsereds' consistent scoring record, especially away from home, makes a Landvetter clean sheet unlikely despite the home side's overall defensive strength.
- Landvetter have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 league games, but only 3 of 6 at home.
- Jonsereds have failed to score in only 2 of 12 league games, and in only 1 of 6 away games.
- Jonsereds average 1.3 goals per away game.
- H2H: Jonsereds scored 4 in last meeting at this venue.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostJonsereds IF to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Jonsereds' high first-half scoring rate (1.1 avg) and Landvetter's tendency to score early at home (0.5 avg) make a first-half goal likely.
- Landvetter average 0.5 first-half goals, concede 0.3; Jonsereds average 1.1 first-half goals, concede 0.7.
- Jonsereds' last 5 games: first-half goals in 4 of 5 (2, 2, 1, 1, 0).
- Landvetter's last 5 home games: first-half goals in 3 of 5 (2, 2, 1, 0, 0).
- H2H last 4: first-half goals in 3 of 4 (2, 1, 1, 0).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Landvetter's low first-half concession rate (0.3) and Jonsereds' inconsistent away first-half scoring make it likely that at least one team fails to score before the break.
- Landvetter average 0.5 first-half goals, concede 0.3; Jonsereds average 1.1 first-half goals, concede 0.7.
- Landvetter's last 5 home games: both teams scored in first half in 1 of 5.
- Jonsereds' last 5 away games: both teams scored in first half in 2 of 5.
- H2H last 4: both teams scored in first half in 1 of 4.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Without concrete corner data, this is a neutral estimate based on league averages; low confidence due to missing evidence.
- Corner data unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- Typical Division 2 matches average around 9-10 corners based on general league trends.
- No specific corner stats to adjust probability.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 6 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 3W

L0-4Landvetter ISvJonseredOct 19, 2025DIV

L2-1JonseredvLandvetter ISApr 12, 2025DIV

L2-1JonseredvLandvetter ISSep 6, 2024DIV

W5-1Landvetter ISvJonseredMay 10, 2024DIV

4 goals/game avg

League Table

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
1	Landvetter IS Promotion	12	9	1	2	20-6	28	WWWWL
4	Jonsereds IF	12	6	3	3	22-22	21	DWWLL

7pt gap between teamsLandvetter IS leads the league

Recent Form

Landvetter IS

W2-0ÅstorpJun 14DIV

W3-0Västra FrölundaJun 5DIV

W2-1Qviding FIFMay 29DIV

W2-0AstrioMay 24DIV

L0-1BöljanMay 14DIV

L0-1DalstorpsMay 8DIV

D1-1KongahällaMay 1DIV

W2-0HestraforApr 24DIV

W1-0GaltabacksApr 18DIV

W1-0OnsalaApr 10DIV

W4-1TorslandaApr 2DIV

W2-1LindomeMar 27DIV

L0-1Orgryte ISMar 10FRI

D1-1Norrby IFFeb 10FRI

D0-0TrollhättanJan 31FRI

Jonsereds IF

D2-2Qviding FIFJun 13DIV

W4-2GaltabacksJun 5DIV

W1-0TorslandaMay 31DIV

L1-5HestraforMay 22DIV

L0-5LindomeMay 17DIV

L0-1KongahällaMay 8DIV

D1-1DalstorpsMay 1DIV

W3-2OnsalaApr 26DIV

W3-0BöljanApr 17DIV

W1-0AstrioApr 11DIV

W4-2ÅstorpApr 3DIV

D2-2Västra FrölundaMar 28DIV

W4-0Landvetter ISOct 19DIV

W1-0ÅstorpOct 11DIV

W5-3Varbergs GIFOct 6DIV

Squad & Injuries

Landvetter IS

0 available

Attackers0

Midfielders0

Defenders0

Goalkeeper0

Jonsereds IF

1 available

Attackers0

Midfielders1

Defenders0

Goalkeeper0

Landvetter IS1Jonsereds IF0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 3.5

Landvetter IS

Landvetter IS or Draw

Landvetter IS

Over 0.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Draw

Jonsereds IF, draw no bet

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Landvetter IS

Jonsereds IF

Squad & Injuries

Landvetter IS

Jonsereds IF