Raja Casablanca11 – 1UTS Rabat1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Raja's strong home form and UTS's inability to win at home or beat Raja historically make a Raja win or draw highly likely.

• Raja home record: 7W-3D-2L, only 2 losses in 12 home matches
• UTS away record: 3W-4D-4L, 7 non-losses in 11 away matches
• H2H last 5: 2 Raja wins, 3 draws, 0 UTS wins
• UTS have not beaten Raja in last 5 meetings

BetBugs · Double ChancewonRaja Casablanca or DrawEstimated chance80%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Raja's ability to hold leads and UTS's poor record when behind make this possible, but the coaching change and low-scoring nature reduce probability.

• Raja led at half-time and won in 5 of 12 home matches
• UTS trailed at half-time and lost in 2 of 11 away matches
• Raja's win rate when leading at half-time: 80%
• UTS's loss rate when trailing at half-time: 100%

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableRaja Casablanca / Raja CasablancaEstimated chance25%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Raja's defensive solidity at home and historically low-scoring H2H encounters strongly support under 2.5 goals.

• Raja home goals per match: 1.25, conceded 0.33
• UTS away goals per match: 1.09, conceded 1.36
• H2H last 5: 4 matches with under 2.5 goals
• Raja last 15 matches: 1.1 goals for, 0.6 against on average

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Raja's modest home scoring output and UTS's reasonable away defense point to Raja scoring under 1.5 goals.

• Raja home goals: 15 in 12 matches, average 1.25
• Raja scored 1 or fewer in 7 of 12 home matches
• UTS away conceded: 15 in 11 matches, average 1.36
• H2H: Raja scored 1 or fewer in 4 of last 5 meetings

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonRaja Casablanca under 1.5Estimated chance60%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to score more in the second half, and with UTS's defensive vulnerabilities, at least one second-half goal is likely.

• Raja second-half goals: 0.4 per match on average (1.1 total - 0.7 first half)
• UTS second-half goals: 0.6 per match on average (1.1 total - 0.5 first half)
• Raja conceded 0.5 second-half goals per match
• UTS conceded 0.8 second-half goals per match

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

UTS's high card count and the tense stakes of the match (survival pressure) increase the likelihood of a card-heavy game.

• Raja average yellow cards: 2.0 per match in last 15
• UTS average yellow cards: 3.8 per match in last 15
• UTS received 4+ yellow cards in 7 of last 15 matches
• Raja received 2+ yellow cards in 8 of last 15 matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

UTS's disciplinary issues are consistent, and away from home under pressure, they are likely to accumulate at least 2 cards.

• UTS average yellow cards: 3.8 per match
• UTS received 2+ cards in 12 of last 15 matches
• UTS away cards: 2+ in 8 of 11 away matches
• Raja opponents average 2.1 yellow cards at home

BetBugs · Away Cards Over/Undernot gradableUTS Rabat over 1.5Estimated chance65%