Oakland Roots00 – 0Miami0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Oakland's explicit league-response motivation and stronger home form (3 wins in 6) contrast with Miami's poor away record (1 win in 7) and recent away scoring struggles, giving the Roots a clear edge.

• Oakland home record: 3W-1D-2L, 9 goals for, 7 against in 6 USL Championship matches this season
• Oakland last 5 home matches: W-D-L-W-L, scoring 2+ goals in 3 of those 5
• Miami away record: 1W-3D-3L, 6 goals for, 10 against in 7 USL Championship matches this season
• Miami last 5 away matches: L-L-D-D-L, failing to score in 3 of those 5

BetBugs · Match WinnerlostOakland RootsEstimated chance45%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Oakland's higher half-time lead rate (40% vs 27%) and Miami's low away half-time lead rate (14%) give Oakland a slight edge, but the high draw rate at half-time limits confidence.

• Oakland leading at half-time in 40% of last 15 matches, trailing in only 20%
• Miami leading at half-time in 27% of last 15 matches, trailing in 27%
• Oakland home matches this season: led at half-time in 2 of 6 (33%), drew in 3, trailed in 1
• Miami away matches this season: led at half-time in 1 of 7 (14%), drew in 4, trailed in 2

BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostOakland RootsEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' recent form shows a tendency for higher-scoring games, with Oakland's home matches averaging 2.67 total goals and Miami's away matches seeing 2.29, making over 2.5 goals likely.

• Oakland's last 15 matches: 1.7 goals for, 1.3 goals against per game, with 9 of 15 seeing over 2.5 goals
• Miami's last 15 matches: 1.4 goals for, 1.6 goals against per game, with 8 of 15 seeing over 2.5 goals
• Oakland home matches this season: 9 goals for, 7 against in 6 games, averaging 2.67 total goals
• Miami away matches this season: 6 goals for, 10 against in 7 games, averaging 2.29 total goals

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have a consistent record of both teams scoring, with Oakland at 67% in home games and Miami at 57% in away games, suggesting a high likelihood of goals at both ends.

• Oakland's last 15 matches: both teams scored in 10 of 15 (67%)
• Miami's last 15 matches: both teams scored in 8 of 15 (53%)
• Oakland home matches this season: both teams scored in 4 of 6 (67%)
• Miami away matches this season: both teams scored in 4 of 7 (57%)

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams consistently see first-half goals, with Oakland at 87% overall and Miami at 73%, making over 0.5 first-half goals a high-probability outcome.

• Oakland's last 15 matches: first-half goals in 13 of 15 (87%), averaging 0.9 first-half goals for
• Miami's last 15 matches: first-half goals in 11 of 15 (73%), averaging 0.7 first-half goals for
• Oakland home matches this season: first-half goals in 5 of 6 (83%)
• Miami away matches this season: first-half goals in 5 of 7 (71%)

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to see more goals in the second half, with Oakland averaging 1.4 and Miami 1.3 second-half goals overall, making over 1.5 second-half goals a reasonable expectation.

• Oakland's last 15 matches: second-half goals in 12 of 15 (80%), averaging 1.4 second-half goals per game
• Miami's last 15 matches: second-half goals in 11 of 15 (73%), averaging 1.3 second-half goals per game
• Oakland home matches this season: second-half goals in 5 of 6 (83%), averaging 1.5 goals
• Miami away matches this season: second-half goals in 5 of 7 (71%), averaging 1.3 goals