Draw or Union Omaha
Market 74% · BetBugs 75%
Union Omaha have avoided defeat in 10 of 13 league matches, while Sarasota have lost 9 of 14 overall and 4 of 8 at home.
USL League OneFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Union Omaha's league-leading form and Sarasota's defensive frailties make the visitors strong favorites to avoid defeat, but the short turnaround and travel load level the playing field slightly.
The best value lies in fading first-half Omaha markets—their slow starts (13% HT lead rate) make the 2.63 odds on an Omaha HT lead and the 3.25 on HT/FT Omaha-Omaha poor bets. Expect both teams to score, but the over 2.5 goals line is too tight to back confidently.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 74% · BetBugs 75%
Union Omaha have avoided defeat in 10 of 13 league matches, while Sarasota have lost 9 of 14 overall and 4 of 8 at home.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 60% · Market 60.6%
Both teams have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, and Union Omaha have only 2 clean sheets in their last 10 league games.
BetBugs 70% · Market 75.2%
Sarasota have scored in 6 of 8 home matches this season, and Union Omaha have conceded in 4 of 6 away games.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 6 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14-24 | 13 |
| 1 | Union OmahaPromotion - USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 22-14 | 28 |

