3. DivisionFull time

Predictions graded

Nykobing FC0Vanlose IF0

Sat 13 Jun 2026, 12:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–550%

Edges3–350%

Yellow CardsYellow Cards 0–0Red CardsRed Cards 0–0

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 12 Jun 2026, 23:11 · Europe/Bucharest

Nykobing's promotion party and farewell-game emotions create a risky backdrop for the short favorite, making the 1.25 Match Winner line a clear avoid.

Instead, target first-half markets: the 1st Half Double Chance (Nykobing or Draw) at 1.57 offers a massive +26-point edge, while Both Teams to Score? No at 1.91 provides solid value given Vanlose's scoring struggles.

Context

Nykobing's official site called the match an 'oprykningsfest' after the 2-1 win at Brønshøj on 6 June.
- The club trailed a 'five players say goodbye' item on the homepage, adding farewell emotions.
- Promotion was already secured, removing the need for a result.
Vanlose have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, conceding 10 goals.
- They are in the relegation zone of the promotion stage, needing points to survive.
- Their last away win was on 2 May against Hørsholm-Usserød.
Nykobing won 3-0 away on 9 May 2026, leading 2-0 at half-time.
- Nykobing won 2-1 at home on 28 March 2026, with the winner coming in the second half.
- Vanlose have not beaten Nykobing in the last five meetings (0W, 3D, 2L).
Nykobing average 1.4 first-half goals per game over the last 15.
- Vanlose average 0.2 first-half goals per game over the last 15.
- Nykobing led at half-time in both H2H meetings this season.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 2 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nykobing's dominant form and H2H superiority, combined with Vanlose's poor recent results, make a home win highly likely.
- Nykobing FC are unbeaten in their last 15 matches (W14 D1), with 5 straight wins in the last 5.
- Vanlose IF have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, conceding 10 goals in that span.
- Nykobing FC won the last two H2H meetings 3-0 and 2-1, outscoring Vanlose 5-1.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostNykobing FCEstimated chance75%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nykobing's habit of taking early leads and Vanlose's tendency to fall behind early point to a home lead at the break.
- Nykobing FC have led at half-time in 10 of their last 15 matches (67%).
- Vanlose IF have trailed at half-time in 5 of their last 15 matches (33%), including 3 of the last 5.
- Nykobing led at half-time in both of the last two H2H meetings.
BetBugs · First Half Winnernot gradableNykobing FCEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Nykobing's second-half performance edge and Vanlose's late-game struggles make a home second-half win likely.
- Nykobing FC have won the second half in 9 of their last 15 matches.
- Vanlose IF have lost the second half in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Nykobing's superior fitness and depth should dominate as the game progresses.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableNykobing FCEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Nykobing's pattern of controlling matches from start to finish supports a home HT/FT double.
- Nykobing FC have led at half-time and won the match in 9 of their last 15 matches.
- Vanlose IF have trailed at half-time and lost the match in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Nykobing achieved HT/FT double in both of the last two H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableNykobing FC / Nykobing FCEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While not a regular occurrence, Nykobing's superiority and Vanlose's poor form give a reasonable chance of winning both halves.
- Nykobing FC have won both halves in 5 of their last 15 matches.
- Vanlose IF have lost both halves in 2 of their last 5 matches.
- Nykobing's dominance at home could lead to a complete performance.
BetBugs · Win Both Halvesnot gradableYesEstimated chance35%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nykobing's strong first-half record and Vanlose's inability to take early leads make a home win or draw at half-time almost certain.
- Nykobing FC have led or drawn at half-time in 14 of their last 15 matches.
- Vanlose IF have trailed at half-time in only 5 of their last 15 matches, but rarely lead (7%).
- Nykobing's first-half dominance makes a Vanlose lead highly unlikely.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonNykobing FC or DrawEstimated chance90%

Goals4 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nykobing's high-scoring attack and Vanlose's leaky defense point to a match with at least 3 goals.
- Nykobing FC average 2.6 goals per match over their last 15, with 12 of 15 matches seeing over 2.5 goals.
- Vanlose IF have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- The last two H2H meetings produced 3 and 3 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Nykobing's strong defense and Vanlose's scoring struggles suggest at least one team will fail to score.
- Nykobing FC have kept 7 clean sheets in their last 15 matches, conceding only 0.6 goals per game.
- Vanlose IF have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- In the last two H2H meetings, Vanlose failed to score in one and scored just once in the other.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Nykobing's home defensive solidity and Vanlose's away scoring woes give a decent chance of a home clean sheet.
- Nykobing FC have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 home matches.
- Vanlose IF have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
- Nykobing's home defensive record is 8 goals conceded in 11 matches this season.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonVanlose IF not to scoreEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nykobing's consistent scoring output and Vanlose's defensive frailties make it very likely the hosts score at least twice.
- Nykobing FC have scored 2+ goals in 13 of their last 15 matches.
- At home, Nykobing have scored 2+ in 9 of their last 11 matches.
- Vanlose IF have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostNykobing FC over 1.5Estimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Vanlose's poor away scoring record and Nykobing's defensive strength make a goalless away performance plausible.
- Vanlose IF have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches overall.
- Away from home, Vanlose have scored only 9 goals in 11 matches this season.
- Nykobing FC have kept 7 clean sheets in their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonVanlose IF under 0.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nykobing's strong first-half scoring trend and Vanlose's early defensive lapses make a first-half goal very likely.
- Nykobing FC have scored a first-half goal in 14 of their last 15 matches, averaging 1.4 first-half goals.
- Vanlose IF have conceded a first-half goal in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- In the last two H2H meetings, there were first-half goals in both (2 and 1).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
With Nykobing likely pushing for a celebratory win and Vanlose's defense tiring, the second half could see multiple goals.
- Nykobing FC have scored in the second half in 12 of their last 15 matches.
- Vanlose IF have conceded in the second half in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- The last two H2H meetings saw 2 and 1 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vanlose's first-half scoring drought and Nykobing's early defensive strength make it unlikely both teams score before the break.
- Vanlose IF have scored a first-half goal in only 3 of their last 15 matches (0.2 average).
- Nykobing FC have conceded a first-half goal in only 4 of their last 15 matches (0.3 average).
- In the last two H2H meetings, only one team scored in the first half.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance65%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 6 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

2W · 3D · 0W

W0-3VanløsevNykobing FCMay 9, 20263.

W2-1Nykobing FCvVanløseMar 28, 20263.

D2-2VanløsevNykobing FCAug 16, 20253.

D1-1Nykobing FCvVanløseApr 5, 20212ND

D1-1VanløsevNykobing FCOct 24, 20202ND

Nykobing FC unbeaten in 5 meetings2.8 goals/game avg

League Table

3. Division 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
1	Nykobing FC Promotion round	22	17	4	1	53-17	55	WWWWW
5	Vanlose IF Promotion round	22	9	4	9	30-27	31	LDLLL

24pt gap between teamsNykobing FC leads the league

Recent Form

Nykobing FC

W2-1BrønshøjJun 63.

W3-2NæsbyMay 313.

W2-0FA 2000May 233.

W4-0Hørsholm-UsserødMay 173.

W3-0VanløseMay 93.

W5-1BrønshøjMay 33.

D0-0FA 2000Apr 263.

W2-1NæsbyApr 183.

W1-0Hørsholm-UsserødApr 113.

W5-0Vejgaard BApr 63.

W5-1Holbæk B&IApr 23.

W2-1VanløseMar 283.

W3-1OdderMar 213.

W1-0FA 2000Mar 143.

D1-1FremMar 73.

Vanlose IF

L0-2Hørsholm-UsserødJun 63.

D1-1BrønshøjMay 293.

L0-2NæsbyMay 253.

L1-2FA 2000May 163.

L0-3Nykobing FCMay 93.

W1-0Hørsholm-UsserødMay 23.

D1-1NæsbyApr 253.

D1-1BrønshøjApr 183.

W1-0FA 2000Apr 113.

L0-1SundbyApr 63.

W2-0NæsbyApr 23.

L1-2Nykobing FCMar 283.

W1-0FremMar 213.

L2-3Vejgaard BMar 143.

W1-0Hørsholm-UsserødMar 73.

Squad & Injuries

Nykobing FC

21 available

Attackers9

Midfielders3

Defenders7

Goalkeeper2

Vanlose IF

20 available

Attackers3

Midfielders9

Defenders6

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Nykobing FC

Nykobing FC or Draw

Over 0.5

No

No

Nykobing FC

Over 1.5

Result1 of 2 landed

Goals4 of 8 landed

Markets to Avoid

Nykobing FC

Nykobing FC, draw no bet

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Nykobing FC

Vanlose IF

Squad & Injuries

Nykobing FC

Vanlose IF