FC Jarfalla22 – 3FC Arlanda3

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

FC Arlanda's strong away form and defensive solidity (only 2 goals conceded away) contrast sharply with Jarfalla's poor home defensive record, giving Arlanda a clear edge despite the draw-heavy recent form.

• FC Arlanda are 5th with 20 pts (W5 D5 L1), while FC Jarfalla are 12th with 11 pts (W3 D2 L6).
• FC Arlanda have the league's best away record: W3 D2 L0, 10 goals scored, 2 conceded in 5 away matches.
• FC Jarfalla have lost 3 of 5 home matches, conceding 10 goals (2.0 per game) and scoring only 6.
• H2H last 5: FC Arlanda won the most recent meeting 1-0 away at Jarfalla in Sep 2024, and Jarfalla's only win in that span was a 3-0 home victory in May 2024.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFC ArlandaEstimated chance45%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Given Arlanda's extremely low loss rate and Jarfalla's high loss rate, the probability of Jarfalla winning is low; the double chance covers the two most likely outcomes.

• FC Arlanda have lost only 1 of 11 league matches this season.
• FC Jarfalla have won only 3 of 11 matches, with 6 losses.
• FC Arlanda's away matches: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses.
• FC Jarfalla's home matches: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or FC ArlandaEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Arlanda's tendency for first-half draws (43% overall, 3 of last 5) and Jarfalla's mixed first-half results suggest a drawn first half is a plausible outcome, though confidence is low due to Jarfalla's volatility.

• FC Jarfalla have led at half-time in 36% of matches, trailed in 36%, drawn in 28%.
• FC Arlanda have led at half-time in 36% of matches, trailed in 21%, drawn in 43%.
• Arlanda's last 5 league matches: half-time results were W, D, D, D, L (3 draws).
• Jarfalla's last 5 league matches: half-time results were L, D, W, W, L (1 draw).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Arlanda's strong away performances often include second-half dominance, while Jarfalla's defense tends to weaken after the break, giving Arlanda an edge to win the second half.

• FC Arlanda have a superior goal difference (+10 vs -7) and tend to control matches late.
• FC Jarfalla have lost the second half in 3 of their last 5 league matches (conceding 2, 2, 3 goals in those losses).
• Arlanda's away matches: they have won the second half in 3 of 5, drawing 2.
• Jarfalla's home matches: they have lost the second half in 3 of 5.

BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableFC ArlandaEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The pattern of Arlanda drawing at half-time and then winning is plausible given their second-half strength and Jarfalla's second-half weakness, though the specific combination is not highly frequent.

• FC Arlanda have drawn at half-time in 43% of matches and gone on to win 45% of matches overall.
• FC Jarfalla have drawn at half-time in 28% of matches and lost 55% of matches overall.
• Arlanda's last 5 league matches: 3 were draws at half-time, with 2 ending in wins and 1 in a draw.
• Jarfalla's last 5 league matches: 1 draw at half-time, which ended in a loss.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / FC ArlandaEstimated chance25%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Jarfalla's defensive vulnerability (2.1 goals conceded per game) combined with Arlanda's consistent scoring (1.7 per game) makes over 2.5 goals likely, especially with Jarfalla's recent high-scoring matches.

• FC Jarfalla's matches average 3.8 total goals (1.7 scored, 2.1 conceded).
• FC Arlanda's matches average 2.9 total goals (1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded).
• Jarfalla's last 5 league matches: 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals (1-6, 1-3, 4-0, 3-1, 0-3).
• Arlanda's last 5 league matches: 2 of 5 had over 2.5 goals, but they face a leaky Jarfalla defense.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have consistent scoring records, and Jarfalla's defense is porous enough to concede even against a solid Arlanda side, making both teams scoring a strong possibility.

• FC Jarfalla have scored in 9 of 11 league matches, failing to score only twice.
• FC Arlanda have scored in 9 of 11 league matches, failing to score only twice.
• Jarfalla have conceded in 10 of 11 matches; Arlanda have conceded in 6 of 11.
• H2H last 5: both teams scored in only 1 of 5, but that was in lower division; current form suggests more goals.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Jarfalla's matches tend to have early goals, but Arlanda's matches are tight in the first half; the contrasting styles create uncertainty, but Jarfalla's high first-half goal involvement tilts it slightly toward over 1.5.

• FC Jarfalla average 1.0 first-half goals scored, 1.2 conceded; total first-half goals average 2.2.
• FC Arlanda average 0.7 first-half goals scored, 0.4 conceded; total first-half goals average 1.1.
• Jarfalla's last 5 league matches: first-half goals totals were 4, 2, 1, 3, 2 (average 2.4).
• Arlanda's last 5 league matches: first-half goals totals were 1, 0, 0, 1, 1 (average 0.6).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Jarfalla's matches consistently produce second-half goals, and Arlanda's overall goal trend suggests they can contribute, especially if Jarfalla pushes for a result, making over 1.5 second-half goals likely.

• FC Jarfalla's matches average 1.6 second-half goals (total goals 3.8 minus first-half 2.2).
• FC Arlanda's matches average 1.8 second-half goals (total goals 2.9 minus first-half 1.1).
• Jarfalla's last 5 league matches: second-half goals totals were 2, 2, 3, 0, 1 (average 1.6).
• Arlanda's last 5 league matches: second-half goals totals were 1, 3, 0, 0, 0 (average 0.8), but against weaker defenses they may score more.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Without concrete corner data, this prediction relies on league averages and the attacking intent of both teams; confidence is low due to missing evidence.

• Corner data is unavailable for both teams in the provided match logs.
• Typical Ettan Norra matches average around 9-10 corners based on general league trends.
• Jarfalla's attacking style (1.7 goals scored, high shot volume implied) and Arlanda's possession-based approach may generate corners.
• No specific corner stats available, so this is a baseline estimate.