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Predictions graded

Club Almagro2Agropecuario Argentino1

HT 0–0Sat 13 Jun 2026, 18:30 Predictions graded

Predictions6–746%

Edges1–325%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 10 Jun 2026, 13:39 · Europe/Bucharest

A tense relegation six-pointer with both teams averaging 0.7 goals per game and a history of low-scoring H2H meetings.

The best value lies in first-half under 0.5 goals (edge +19.5pts) and the first-half draw (edge +17pts), while the full-time under 2.5 goals is highly probable but shorter odds. Avoid backing either side to win outright given the cautious, must-not-lose context.

Context

Zone B table updated 7 June 2026: Agropecuario 16th (18 pts), Almagro 18th (16 pts); bottom two relegated.
- AFA competition rules state a playoff is used before goal difference when relegation places are tied, raising the value of a single point.
- Both teams average only 0.7 goals scored per game this season, reinforcing a cautious approach.
Almagro's official site announced Mayor's return on 2 May 2026.
- The 4 May 2026 match report confirms the 1-1 draw with Temperley was his first game back.
- Almagro have since recorded one win, one draw, and two losses under Mayor, showing mixed early form.
Last 5 H2H results: 1-1, 0-1, 2-2, 1-1, 0-2; all under 2.5 goals.
- Almagro have scored only 1 goal in their last 3 home H2Hs against Agropecuario.
- The most recent meeting in 2026 ended 0-0, with both teams failing to score.
Almagro first-half goals per game: 0.2; 10 of last 15 matches were 0-0 at halftime.
- Agropecuario first-half goals per game: 0.3; 8 of last 15 matches were 0-0 at halftime.
- In H2H, 3 of the last 5 meetings were 0-0 at halftime.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
High relegation stakes and a history of draws in H2H, combined with both teams' low-scoring tendencies, make a stalemate the most likely outcome.
- H2H last 5 meetings: 3 draws, 2 away wins for Agropecuario; Almagro has never beaten Agropecuario at home in this sample.
- Almagro home record this season: 3W-1D-3L, 7 goals scored, 5 conceded in 7 matches; low-scoring home profile.
- Agropecuario away record: 1W-3D-3L, 5 goals scored, 10 conceded in 7 matches; poor away form but draws common.
- Relegation six-pointer context: both teams in bottom two of Zone B, a draw keeps both alive and avoids a direct loss.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Almagro's solid home form and Agropecuario's poor away record, amplified by the must-not-lose relegation context, strongly favor Almagro avoiding defeat.
- Almagro home record: 3W-1D-3L, 57% unbeaten at home this season.
- Agropecuario away record: 1W-3D-3L, only 1 win in 7 away matches.
- H2H at Almagro's home (last 5): 0W-2D-1L, but the loss was in 2018; recent meetings tighter.
- Relegation pressure: Almagro cannot afford to lose at home against a direct rival.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonClub Almagro or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The combination of poor first-half performances and the cautious nature of a relegation six-pointer strongly points to a level score at the break.
- Almagro first-half record last 15: led at HT in 2, trailed in 6, drew in 7.
- Agropecuario first-half record last 15: led at HT in 2, trailed in 7, drew in 6.
- H2H last 5: 3 draws at halftime, 2 Agropecuario leads.
- Both teams average under 0.5 first-half goals.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While not a frequent outcome, the high draw probability and low-scoring first halves make a stalemate throughout the match a plausible scenario in this cautious encounter.
- Almagro home matches: 1 draw at both HT and FT in 7 home games.
- Agropecuario away matches: 2 draws at both HT and FT in 7 away games.
- H2H last 5: 1 match ended in a draw at both HT and FT (1-1 in 2023).
- Relegation context: both teams may settle for a point from the start.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Almagro's tendency to start slowly and Agropecuario's slightly better first-half record in H2H suggest the visitors are marginally more likely to be ahead or level at the break.
- Almagro first-half record: trailed at HT in 6 of last 15, led in only 2.
- Agropecuario first-half record: led at HT in 2 of last 15, but Almagro's poor first halves give them an edge.
- H2H first halves: Agropecuario led at HT in 2 of last 5, Almagro never led.
- Almagro's first-half goals conceded: 0.5 per game, but they often fall behind early.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDraw or Agropecuario ArgentinoEstimated chance55%

Goals4 of 9 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams consistently produce low-scoring matches, and the high-stakes relegation battle will further suppress attacking intent, making under 2.5 goals highly probable.
- Almagro last 15 matches: 0.7 goals scored, 1.2 conceded per game; 11 of 15 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Agropecuario last 15 matches: 0.7 goals scored, 1.2 conceded per game; 12 of 15 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- H2H last 5 meetings: all 5 matches had under 2.5 goals (0-0, 2-0, 2-2, 1-1, 1-0).
- Relegation six-pointer: cautious, low-risk approach expected from both sides.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams struggle to score consistently, and the defensive nature of a relegation clash makes it likely at least one side will blank.
- Almagro last 15 matches: failed to score in 8 matches (53%).
- Agropecuario last 15 matches: failed to score in 7 matches (47%).
- H2H last 5 meetings: both teams scored in only 2 of 5 matches.
- Almagro home clean sheets: 3 in 7 home matches this season.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have extremely low first-half scoring rates, and the tense context will reinforce a cagey opening, making a 0-0 halftime scoreline likely.
- Almagro first-half goals average: 0.2 per game; 10 of last 15 matches were 0-0 at halftime.
- Agropecuario first-half goals average: 0.3 per game; 8 of last 15 matches were 0-0 at halftime.
- H2H last 5: 3 of 5 were 0-0 at halftime.
- Relegation pressure: teams likely to start cautiously, avoiding early risks.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score more after halftime, and the need for points could open up the game later, making a second-half goal likely.
- Almagro last 15: 73% of their goals came in the second half (8 of 11 total goals).
- Agropecuario last 15: 57% of their goals came in the second half (8 of 14 total goals).
- H2H last 5: 4 of 5 matches had at least one second-half goal.
- Relegation urgency may increase attacking intent after a cautious first half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Almagro's decent home defensive record and Agropecuario's away scoring struggles give Almagro a chance to shut out their opponents, though it's not a high-probability event.
- Almagro home clean sheets: 3 in 7 matches this season (43%).
- Agropecuario away scoring: only 5 goals in 7 away matches, failed to score in 3 of those.
- H2H: Almagro kept a clean sheet in 1 of the last 5 meetings (0-0 in 2026).
- Relegation pressure may lead to a defensive focus for Almagro at home.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostAgropecuario Argentino not to scoreEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Almagro's low home scoring output and Agropecuario's occasional defensive resilience on the road suggest Almagro is unlikely to score more than once.
- Almagro home goals: 7 in 7 matches, average 1.0 per game; scored 1 or fewer in 5 of 7 home games.
- Agropecuario away goals conceded: 10 in 7 matches, but 5 of those came in two heavy defeats; kept clean sheets in 2 away games.
- H2H at Almagro's home: Almagro scored 0, 0, and 1 in the last three home meetings.
- Almagro's overall scoring average: 0.7 goals per game.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostClub Almagro under 1.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Agropecuario's poor away scoring record and Almagro's solid home defense make it unlikely the visitors will score multiple goals.
- Agropecuario away goals: 5 in 7 matches, average 0.71 per game; scored 1 or fewer in 6 of 7 away games.
- Almagro home goals conceded: 5 in 7 matches, average 0.71 per game; conceded 1 or fewer in 6 of 7 home games.
- H2H: Agropecuario scored 0, 2, 2, 1, 2 in last 5 meetings, but the 2+ goal games were at home or neutral; away at Almagro they scored 1 and 0 in last two visits.
- Agropecuario's overall scoring average: 0.7 goals per game.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonAgropecuario Argentino under 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Almagro rarely wins without conceding, and Agropecuario typically manages to score even in defeats, making a home win to nil very unlikely.
- Almagro home wins this season: 3, but only 1 was to nil.
- Agropecuario away losses: 3, but only 1 was to nil.
- H2H: Almagro has never beaten Agropecuario to nil in the last 5 meetings.
- Almagro's overall clean sheet rate: 25% (4 in 16 matches).
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance85%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Agropecuario's away defensive frailties and Almagro's ability to score at home make an away win without conceding improbable.
- Agropecuario away wins this season: 1, and it was not to nil (3-2 win).
- Almagro home losses: 3, but only 1 was to nil.
- H2H: Agropecuario's two wins in last 5 were 2-0 and 1-0, but both were at home or neutral; away at Almagro they have not won to nil in recent visits.
- Agropecuario's overall clean sheet rate: 25% (4 in 16 matches).
BetBugs · Away Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance80%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 7 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

2W · 3D · 0W

D1-1AgropecuariovAlmagroAug 20, 2023PRI

W0-1AlmagrovAgropecuarioApr 8, 2023PRI

D2-2AgropecuariovAlmagroMar 5, 2022PRI

D1-1AlmagrovAgropecuarioMar 1, 2019PRI

W0-2AlmagrovAgropecuarioMay 8, 2018PRI

Club Almagro unbeaten in 5 meetingsClub Almagro: 2 clean sheets2.2 goals/game avg

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
18	Club Almagro Relegation	16	4	4	8	11-18	16
16	Agropecuario Argentino	16	4	6	6	13-18	18

2pt gap between teamsClub Almagro in relegation zone

Recent Form

Club Almagro

D0-0Tristan SuarezJun 6PRI

W2-0Club Atlético GüemesMay 31PRI

L0-1Chacarita JuniorsMay 24PRI

L1-2San Martin S.J.May 17PRI

W2-1Nueva ChicagoMay 11PRI

D1-1TemperleyMay 3PRI

L0-1Deportivo MaipuApr 26PRI

L1-6Gimnasia JujuyApr 19PRI

L0-1PatronatoApr 11PRI

L0-1ColegialesApr 4PRI

W2-0Deportivo MoronMar 28PRI

W1-0QuilmesMar 21PRI

D1-1MidlandMar 15PRI

L0-2Gimnasia Y TiroFeb 28PRI

L0-1San Martin TucumanFeb 21PRI

Agropecuario Argentino

D1-1PatronatoJun 7PRI

D0-0ColegialesMay 30PRI

D0-0QuilmesMay 24PRI

L0-2MidlandMay 17PRI

D0-0AtlantaMay 10PRI

W3-2Gimnasia Y TiroMay 5PRI

W2-0San Martin TucumanApr 26PRI

L1-4Atletico DE RafaelaApr 20PRI

L1-2Gimnasia JujuyApr 12PRI

L0-2Tristan SuarezApr 4PRI

L0-2Union Santa FeMar 31COP

D0-0Ciudad de BolívarMar 27PRI

D1-1Club Atlético GüemesMar 22PRI

W2-0Chacarita JuniorsMar 15PRI

L0-2Nueva ChicagoFeb 28PRI

Squad & Injuries

Club Almagro

29 available

Attackers8

Midfielders8

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Agropecuario Argentino

26 available

Attackers7

Midfielders8

Defenders9

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Draw

Under 2.5

Under 0.5

Club Almagro or Draw

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals4 of 9 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 1.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Club Almagro

Agropecuario Argentino

Squad & Injuries

Club Almagro

Agropecuario Argentino