Botola ProFull time

Predictions graded

FUS Rabat1Maghreb Fez1

HT 1–0Fri 12 Jun 2026, 15:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–538%

Edges3–350%

Yellow CardsYellow Cards 7–4Red CardsRed Cards 0–0

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 10 Jun 2026, 09:22 · Europe/Bucharest

Maghreb Fez's title-race motivation and unbeaten away record give them a clear edge over a FUS Rabat side stuck in a drawing rut.

The best betting value lies in Under 0.5 first-half goals (+22 points edge) and Over 4.5 cards (+5.4 points edge), while the Match Winner and Double Chance markets are already efficiently priced.

Context

Maghreb Fez away record: 6 wins, 6 draws, 0 losses.
- Only 6 goals conceded in 12 away matches.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets on the road.
Last 5 Botola Pro results: DDDDD.
- Only 1 win in their last 8 league matches.
- They have scored just 3 goals in those 5 draws.
Maghreb Fez are 3rd with 44 points, tied with 2nd and 1 point above 4th.
- Botola tie-break rules prioritize head-to-head goal difference, making goal swings critical.
- FUS Rabat are 8th with 28 points, 10 clear of relegation danger and with no upside pressure.
Last 5 H2H: Maghreb Fez 3 wins, 2 draws.
- Maghreb Fez won 4-2 at home in January 2026.
- FUS Rabat have not beaten Maghreb Fez since 2010.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Maghreb Fez

1.21fair 1.33

BetBugs 75% · Market 83%

0.0ppshort

Maghreb Fez's unbeaten away record and FUS Rabat's drawing habit make a Maghreb Fez win or draw highly probable.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Maghreb Fez's strong away form and title-race motivation give them a clear edge over a FUS Rabat side stuck in a drawing rut with nothing to play for.
- Maghreb Fez are 3rd with 45 points, in a tight title race, while FUS Rabat are 9th with 29 points and no upside stakes.
- Maghreb Fez have the best away record in the league: 6 wins, 6 draws, 0 losses in 12 away matches (goals 14:6).
- FUS Rabat's last 5 league matches are all draws (DDDDD), showing an inability to win even against mid-table sides.
- H2H last 5: Maghreb Fez won 3, drew 2, including a 4-2 home win in January 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostMaghreb FezEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Combining Maghreb Fez's unbeaten away record with FUS Rabat's drawing habit and H2H dominance makes a Maghreb Fez win or draw highly probable.
- Maghreb Fez are unbeaten away all season (W6 D6 L0).
- FUS Rabat have drawn 5 consecutive league matches.
- H2H last 5: Maghreb Fez have not lost to FUS Rabat (3 wins, 2 draws).
- FUS Rabat's home record is modest: 4 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses in 11 home games.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Maghreb FezEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start cautiously, with a high frequency of halftime draws in their recent matches and H2H history.
- FUS Rabat have been drawing at halftime in 8 of their last 15 matches (53%).
- Maghreb Fez have been drawing at halftime in 7 of their last 15 matches (47%).
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 were draws at halftime.
- Both teams average less than 0.5 first-half goals conceded per match over the last 15.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Maghreb Fez tend to grow into away games and could edge the second half against a FUS Rabat side that has shown vulnerability after the break at home.
- Maghreb Fez have scored 60% of their away goals in the second half (8 of 14).
- FUS Rabat have conceded 55% of their home goals in the second half (6 of 11).
- Maghreb Fez have won the second half in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
- FUS Rabat have lost the second half in 2 of their last 5 home matches.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableMaghreb FezEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A pattern of Maghreb Fez being level at the break before pulling away aligns with their away form and FUS Rabat's tendency to fade late.
- Maghreb Fez have been drawing at halftime in 7 of their last 15 matches.
- Maghreb Fez have won 6 of their 12 away matches this season.
- FUS Rabat have drawn 5 consecutive league matches, with 3 of those being draws at halftime.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 2 matches were draws at halftime with Maghreb Fez eventually winning.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/Maghreb FezEstimated chance30%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Maghreb Fez's elite defense and low-scoring away matches, combined with FUS Rabat's modest home attack, point to a tight, low-scoring affair.
- Maghreb Fez have the best defense in the league: only 12 goals conceded in 23 matches.
- FUS Rabat average 1.3 goals scored per match over the last 15, but only 1.09 goals per home game this season.
- Maghreb Fez away matches average only 1.67 total goals (14 scored, 6 conceded in 12 away games).
- 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings had under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Maghreb Fez's stingy away defense and FUS Rabat's inconsistent home scoring suggest at least one side will fail to find the net.
- Maghreb Fez have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 away matches this season.
- FUS Rabat failed to score in 2 of their last 5 home matches.
- Maghreb Fez have conceded only 6 goals in 12 away games.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, both teams scored in only 2 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Maghreb Fez's defensive solidity on the road gives them a decent chance of a clean sheet against a FUS Rabat attack that has been inconsistent at home.
- Maghreb Fez have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their away matches this season (6 out of 12).
- FUS Rabat have been shut out in 2 of their last 5 home games.
- Maghreb Fez have the best defensive record in the league (12 goals conceded in 23 matches).
- FUS Rabat average only 1.09 goals per home game this season.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostFUS Rabat not to scoreEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The low first-half scoring averages of both teams, especially Maghreb Fez's defensive approach away from home, make a goalless first half likely.
- FUS Rabat average 0.6 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded over the last 15 matches.
- Maghreb Fez average 0.3 first-half goals scored and 0.3 conceded over the last 15 matches.
- In 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings, the first half had 0 or 1 goal.
- Maghreb Fez away matches see only 0.5 first-half goals on average (6 in 12 away games).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The disciplinary records of both teams and the competitive nature of this fixture historically lead to a high card count.
- FUS Rabat average 2.7 yellow cards per match over the last 15.
- Maghreb Fez average 2.3 yellow cards per match over the last 15.
- In 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings, total cards exceeded 4.5.
- Both teams have seen over 4.5 cards in 60% of their recent matches.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

1W · 2D · 2W

L4-2Maghreb FèsvFUS RabatJan 24, 2026BOT

L1-0Maghreb FèsvFUS RabatApr 12, 2025BOT

D1-1FUS RabatvMaghreb FèsNov 25, 2024BOT

W1-2Maghreb FèsvFUS RabatFeb 10, 2024BOT

D0-0FUS RabatvMaghreb FèsSep 3, 2023BOT

Maghreb Fez: 2 clean sheets2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Botola Pro 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	FUS Rabat	23	7	8	8	25-27	29	DDDDD
3	Maghreb Fez CAF Confederation Cup	23	12	9	2	31-12	45	DWLWL

16pt gap between teams

Recent Form

FUS Rabat

D0-0Difaa EL JadidaJun 8BOT

D0-0Hassania AgadirJun 4BOT

D1-1FAR RabatMay 30BOT

W4-0Rachad BernoussiMay 16CUP

D1-1Olympique SafiMay 11BOT

D1-1Ittihad TangerMay 6BOT

W2-0UTS RabatMay 3BOT

W1-0CODM MeknèsApr 29BOT

L1-4Raja CasablancaApr 26BOT

W1-0Wydad ACApr 3BOT

W3-1Yacoub El MansourMar 6BOT

W3-2CR Khemis ZemamraMar 1BOT

L0-1Renaissance BerkaneFeb 22BOT

D1-1Kawkab MarrakechFeb 15BOT

D1-1Olympique DcheïraFeb 7BOT

Maghreb Fez

D0-0FAR RabatJun 9BOT

W2-1Olympique SafiJun 1BOT

L0-1Ittihad TangerMay 22BOT

L0-1Yacoub El MansourMay 17CUP

W1-0UTS RabatMay 10BOT

L0-2Raja CasablancaMay 6BOT

D0-0CODM MeknèsMay 2BOT

W4-0Hassania AgadirApr 29BOT

W2-1CR Khemis ZemamraApr 26BOT

W1-0Wydad ACApr 12BOT

D1-1Renaissance BerkaneApr 5BOT

W2-0Olympique DcheïraMar 7BOT

D1-1Kawkab MarrakechFeb 27BOT

W2-1Yacoub El MansourFeb 20BOT

D0-0Difaa EL JadidaJan 31BOT

Squad & Injuries

FUS Rabat

27 available

Attackers3

Midfielders12

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Maghreb Fez

26 available

Attackers2

Midfielders13

Defenders9

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 0.5

Over 4.5

Draw or Maghreb Fez

Maghreb Fez

Under 2.5

No

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Markets to Avoid

No

Under 4.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

FUS Rabat

Maghreb Fez

Squad & Injuries

FUS Rabat

Maghreb Fez