Over 3.5
Market 56.2% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams average over 3.3 total goals in recent matches, and 4 of last 5 H2H exceeded 2.5 goals, suggesting value on the higher line.
Svenska CupenFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Avoid the heavily favored Both Teams to Score (Yes) and Over 0.5 First Half Goals markets—our data shows significantly lower probabilities than the odds imply.
The Over 3.5 Goals line offers a slight edge, but the safest play is to expect a tight, low-scoring cup tie given the recent 0-0 H2H and defensive focus from both sides.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 56.2% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams average over 3.3 total goals in recent matches, and 4 of last 5 H2H exceeded 2.5 goals, suggesting value on the higher line.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 55% · Market 72.5%
Despite both teams' defensive vulnerabilities, the odds imply a 72.5% probability, far above our estimate, suggesting no value.
BetBugs 70% · Market 90.1%
While both teams see first-half goals in 73% of matches, the odds leave no margin for error.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 6 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

