Botola ProFull time

Predictions graded

KAC Marrakech2Raja Casablanca0

HT 0–0Tue 9 Jun 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–538%

Edges3–175%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 9 Jun 2026, 23:32 · Europe/Bucharest

A low-scoring Botola Pro clash is expected, with Raja Casablanca's elite defense (9 goals conceded all season) likely to keep a clean sheet and edge a narrow win.

The best betting value is on 'Over 0.5 Second Half Goals' at 1.57, offering a +11.3% edge given Raja's strong post-break scoring record and Kawkab's second-half vulnerabilities. Avoid short-priced favorites like 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'Both Teams to Score – No' due to minimal value.

Context

Raja were 4th on 42 points before Round 23, with the top two earning CAF Champions League berths and 3rd a Confederation Cup slot.
- Botola uses head-to-head as the first tiebreaker in two-team ties, so every point matters for Raja's continental ambitions.
- Kawkab sat 9th on 27 points, nine above the relegation-playoff line with eight matches left, giving them less urgency but still needing points for safety.
Kawkab drew 0-0 at home with FAR Rabat (3rd in the league) and 0-0 with Wydad AC (2nd) in recent months.
- They also drew 0-0 with Difaa EL Jadida and 1-1 with Olympique Safi at home, showing a pattern of low-scoring stalemates against competitive opponents.
- Kawkab's home record is 5W-4D-2L, with the draws often coming against sides in the top half.
Raja's away record: 5W-3D-2L, with just 5 goals conceded in 10 matches.
- They kept clean sheets in 5 of those 10 away games, including against Olympique Dcheïra, Maghreb Fès, and Hassania Agadir.
- Overall, Raja have conceded only 9 goals in 22 league matches, the best defensive record in Botola Pro.
Raja beat Kawkab 1-0 on 4 November 2025, with Ayoub Maamouri converting a penalty in the 98th minute.
- The match was goalless until that late spot-kick, highlighting how close the contest was.
- Kawkab have lost only one of their last five home matches against Raja in Botola Pro (W1 D2 L2), suggesting they are often competitive in Marrakech.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancelostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Raja Casablanca

1.14fair 1.33

BetBugs 75% · Market 88%

0.0ppshort

Combining KAC Marrakech's tendency to draw at home (4 draws in 11) with Raja Casablanca's strong away form and historical dominance makes a Raja win or draw highly likely.

HT/FTnot gradableUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Draw at half-time / Raja Casablanca at full-time

2.38fair 3.33

BetBugs 30% · Market 42%

0.0ppshort

A pattern of KAC Marrakech holding firm in the first half before Raja Casablanca's quality shows in the second half is supported by recent form and the previous H2H encounter.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Raja Casablanca's superior away form and higher league position (4th vs 9th) give them a slight edge, but KAC Marrakech's solid home record and Raja's recent inconsistency (2 losses in last 5) cap the probability.
- Raja Casablanca away record: 5W-3D-2L, goals 11:5 in 10 matches (Botola Pro 2025/26).
- KAC Marrakech home record: 5W-4D-2L, goals 15:9 in 11 matches (Botola Pro 2025/26).
- Raja Casablanca last 5 matches: 3W-0D-2L, including away wins vs Olympique Dcheïra and Maghreb Fès.
- KAC Marrakech last 5 matches: 2W-1D-2L, with home wins vs CODM Meknès and Olympique Dcheïra.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostRaja CasablancaEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Combining KAC Marrakech's tendency to draw at home (4 draws in 11) with Raja Casablanca's strong away form and historical dominance makes a Raja win or draw highly likely.
- KAC Marrakech home record: 5W-4D-2L, meaning they failed to win in 6 of 11 home matches (Botola Pro 2025/26).
- Raja Casablanca away record: 5W-3D-2L, losing only 2 of 10 away matches (Botola Pro 2025/26).
- H2H last 5 meetings: Raja Casablanca won 4, KAC Marrakech won 1, with Raja winning the most recent league meeting 1-0.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or Raja CasablancaEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Raja Casablanca's strong first-half performance and tendency to lead at halftime contrasts with KAC Marrakech's solid first-half defense, but Raja's overall quality gives them a slight edge to lead at the break.
- Raja Casablanca led at halftime in 67% of their matches (14 of 21 with known halftime results).
- KAC Marrakech led at halftime in only 33% of their matches (5 of 15 with known halftime results).
- Raja Casablanca scored first-half goals in 12 of their last 15 matches, averaging 0.7 first-half goals per game.
- KAC Marrakech conceded first-half goals in only 2 of their last 15 matches, averaging 0.1 first-half goals conceded per game.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostRaja CasablancaEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A pattern of KAC Marrakech holding firm in the first half before Raja Casablanca's quality shows in the second half is supported by recent form and the previous H2H encounter.
- KAC Marrakech drew at halftime in 9 of 15 recent matches (60%).
- Raja Casablanca won the second half in 10 of their last 15 matches.
- H2H last meeting: 0-0 at halftime, Raja won 1-0 with a late goal.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Raja CasablancaEstimated chance30%

Goals3 of 5 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have strong defensive records, especially Raja Casablanca (only 9 goals conceded all season), and their matches tend to be low-scoring, making under 2.5 goals the most probable outcome.
- Raja Casablanca away matches: 6 of 10 had under 2.5 goals (Botola Pro 2025/26).
- KAC Marrakech home matches: 7 of 11 had under 2.5 goals (Botola Pro 2025/26).
- Raja Casablanca overall: 22 matches, only 26 goals scored and 9 conceded, averaging 1.59 total goals per game.
- KAC Marrakech overall: 22 matches, 21 goals scored and 19 conceded, averaging 1.82 total goals per game.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Raja Casablanca's defensive solidity and KAC Marrakech's occasional scoring struggles at home suggest a higher likelihood of at least one team failing to score.
- Raja Casablanca kept clean sheets in 13 of 22 league matches (59%).
- KAC Marrakech failed to score in 7 of 22 league matches (32%), including 3 of last 5 home matches.
- H2H last 5 meetings: both teams scored in only 1 of 5 matches.
- Raja Casablanca away clean sheets: 5 in 10 away matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Raja Casablanca's exceptional away defensive record and KAC Marrakech's occasional home scoring droughts make a Raja clean sheet a plausible outcome.
- Raja Casablanca kept clean sheets in 5 of 10 away matches (Botola Pro 2025/26).
- KAC Marrakech failed to score in 3 of 11 home matches, including against strong defenses like FAR Rabat and Wydad AC.
- Raja Casablanca conceded only 5 goals in 10 away matches, the best away defensive record in the league.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostKAC Marrakech not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have strong first-half defensive records, with KAC Marrakech often involved in goalless first halves and Raja Casablanca rarely conceding early, making a 0-0 halftime scoreline likely.
- KAC Marrakech first-half goals: 0.5 per game, with 0-0 at halftime in 7 of 15 recent matches.
- Raja Casablanca first-half goals conceded: 0.1 per game, with 0-0 at halftime in 3 of 15 recent matches.
- H2H last meeting: 0-0 at halftime.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Raja Casablanca's tendency to score after the break and KAC Marrakech's vulnerability in the second half, it is highly probable that at least one goal will be scored in the second half.
- Raja Casablanca scored in the second half in 11 of their last 15 matches.
- KAC Marrakech conceded in the second half in 8 of their last 15 matches.
- H2H last meeting: the only goal came in the 90+8th minute (second half).
- Raja Casablanca's away matches: 8 of 10 had at least one second-half goal.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance75%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
With Raja Casablanca's above-average card count and the competitive nature of the fixture, the total cards are likely to exceed 3.5, though the lack of KAC Marrakech card data introduces uncertainty.
- Raja Casablanca averaged 1.9 yellow cards per match in their last 15 matches.
- KAC Marrakech card data is unavailable, but Botola Pro matches average around 3.5-4 cards per game.
- Raja Casablanca received 3+ yellow cards in 3 of their last 5 matches with card data.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

2W · 0D · 3W

L1-0Raja CasablancavKawkab MarrakechNov 4, 2025BOT

W1-2Kawkab MarrakechvRaja CasablancaApr 3, 2019BOT

L2-0Raja CasablancavKawkab MarrakechNov 11, 2018BOT

W0-3Kawkab MarrakechvRaja CasablancaFeb 25, 2018BOT

L4-0Raja CasablancavKawkab MarrakechSep 23, 2017BOT

Raja Casablanca: 3 clean sheets2.6 goals/game avg

League Table

Botola Pro 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	KAC Marrakech	22	6	9	7	21-19	27	DWLLW
4	Raja Casablanca	22	12	6	4	26-9	42	LWLWW

15pt gap between teams

Recent Form

KAC Marrakech

D0-0UTS RabatJun 1BOT

W3-1CODM MeknèsMay 22BOT

W3-1Riadi SalmiMay 15CUP

L1-2Yacoub El MansourMay 11BOT

L1-2CR Khemis ZemamraMay 8BOT

W2-1Olympique DcheïraMay 4BOT

W1-0Renaissance BerkaneApr 30BOT

D0-0Wydad ACApr 25BOT

D0-0FAR RabatApr 5BOT

W2-1Hassania AgadirMar 7BOT

D1-1Olympique SafiMar 4BOT

D1-1Maghreb FèsFeb 27BOT

D0-0Difaa EL JadidaFeb 21BOT

D1-1FUS RabatFeb 15BOT

D0-0Ittihad TangerFeb 1BOT

Raja Casablanca

L0-1Renaissance BerkaneJun 3BOT

W1-0Olympique DcheïraMay 24BOT

W2-0El MassiraMay 16CUP

L0-1Wydad ACMay 9BOT

W2-0Maghreb FèsMay 6BOT

W1-0Difaa EL JadidaMay 3BOT

L1-2FAR RabatApr 30BOT

W4-1FUS RabatApr 26BOT

W2-0Olympique SafiMar 7BOT

W1-0Hassania AgadirMar 1BOT

D1-1Renaissance BerkaneFeb 25BOT

W2-0Ittihad TangerFeb 22BOT

D0-0Yacoub El MansourFeb 13BOT

L0-1CODM MeknèsFeb 8BOT

W3-0CR Khemis ZemamraFeb 1BOT

Squad & Injuries

KAC Marrakech

29 available

Attackers10

Midfielders8

Defenders9

Goalkeeper2

Raja Casablanca

25 available

Attackers3

Midfielders12

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 0.5

Draw or Raja Casablanca

Draw at half-time / Raja Casablanca at full-time

Under 2.5

No

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Raja Casablanca

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

KAC Marrakech

Raja Casablanca

Squad & Injuries

KAC Marrakech

Raja Casablanca