Atletico Ottawa55 – 3Supra Quebec3

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Ottawa's strong home form is offset by the interim coach transition and Supra's direct playoff race motivation, making a draw the most balanced outcome.

• Atletico Ottawa home record this season: 2W-1D-0L, but only 3 matches played at home.
• Supra Quebec away record: 1W-1D-1L, balanced with 4 goals scored and 4 conceded.
• Last 5 matches form: Ottawa 2W-2D-1L, Supra 2W-2D-1L, both teams inconsistent.
• H2H only one meeting: Ottawa won 1-0 away, but sample too small to draw strong conclusions.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams rarely lead at halftime, and Ottawa's home matches have been goalless at the break, strongly favoring a halftime draw.

• Ottawa led at halftime in only 7% of matches this season, with 0 first-half leads at home.
• Supra led at halftime in 22% of matches, but only 1 of 3 away matches.
• Ottawa's last 5 matches: drawn at halftime in 4 of 5.
• H2H: 0-0 at halftime.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have shown low-scoring patterns in relevant splits, and the only H2H was a 1-0, suggesting a tight, defensive match.

• Ottawa home matches average 2.0 total goals (4 scored, 2 conceded in 3 games).
• Supra away matches average 2.67 total goals, but 2 of 3 away games had under 2.5 goals.
• Ottawa's last 5 matches: 3 of 5 had under 2.5 goals.
• H2H only meeting ended 1-0, a low-scoring affair.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Ottawa's home defensive record and Supra's away scoring struggles, combined with the low-scoring H2H, point to at least one team failing to score.

• Ottawa kept 2 clean sheets in 3 home matches this season.
• Supra failed to score in 2 of 3 away matches.
• Ottawa's last 5 matches: both teams scored in only 2 of 5.
• H2H: Supra failed to score against Ottawa in their only meeting.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Ottawa's home defensive strength gives them a chance to shut out Supra, but the low overall clean sheet rate and small sample size keep confidence low.

• Ottawa kept clean sheets in 2 of 3 home matches.
• Supra failed to score in 2 of 3 away matches.
• Ottawa's overall clean sheet rate is 22% (2 in 9 matches), but higher at home.

BetBugs · Team to ScorelostSupra Quebec not to scoreEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Ottawa's modest home scoring output and Supra's decent away defense suggest Ottawa may struggle to score more than once.

• Ottawa scored 4 goals in 3 home matches, averaging 1.33 per game.
• Ottawa's last 5 matches: scored 1 goal or fewer in 3 of 5.
• Supra conceded 4 goals in 3 away matches, averaging 1.33 conceded per away game.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostAtletico Ottawa under 1.5Estimated chance60%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Supra's away scoring inconsistency and Ottawa's strong home defense make it likely Supra scores at most one goal.

• Supra scored 4 goals in 3 away matches, but 3 of those came in one game; they failed to score in the other two.
• Ottawa conceded only 2 goals in 3 home matches.
• Supra's last 5 matches: scored 1 goal or fewer in 3 of 5.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostSupra Quebec under 1.5Estimated chance65%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have extremely low first-half scoring rates, especially Ottawa at home, making a goalless first half probable.

• Ottawa averages 0.1 first-half goals per game overall, with 0 first-half goals in 3 home matches.
• Supra averages 0.4 first-half goals per game, but only 1 first-half goal in 3 away matches.
• Ottawa's last 5 matches: 0 first-half goals in 4 of 5.
• H2H: 0-0 at halftime in the only meeting.