9 de Octubre vs Vinotinto FC Ecuador: result, stats and head-to-head

Result3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Strong home form and a recent H2H away win give 9 de Octubre the edge, amplified by high promotion stakes where they lead the table.
- 9 de Octubre have won 5 of 7 home matches this season, scoring 14 goals and conceding 8.
- Vinotinto have won only 1 of 6 away matches, scoring 4 and conceding 5.
- 9 de Octubre won the most recent H2H 1-0 away on 8 Apr 2026.
- 9 de Octubre are top of the table with 25 points, 5 ahead of Vinotinto in 3rd.
BetBugs · Match Winnerwon9 de OctubreEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
9 de Octubre's home resilience and Vinotinto's poor away win rate make a home win or draw highly likely, supported by both teams' draw tendencies.
- 9 de Octubre have lost only 1 of 7 home matches this season.
- Vinotinto have won only 1 of 6 away matches, with 3 draws.
- 9 de Octubre are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 overall (W4 D1).
- Vinotinto have drawn 5 of 13 matches this season.
BetBugs · Double Chancewon9 de Octubre or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
9 de Octubre's recent first-half scoring form gives them a slight edge, but Vinotinto's strong first-half defensive record limits confidence.
- 9 de Octubre led at halftime in 33% of matches this season.
- Vinotinto trailed at halftime in only 7% of matches.
- 9 de Octubre scored first-half goals in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Vinotinto conceded first-half goals in only 2 of their last 5 matches.
BetBugs · First Half Winnerwon9 de OctubreEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
9 de Octubre tend to be stronger after halftime, while Vinotinto's away second-half defensive record is weaker, giving a marginal edge.
- 9 de Octubre scored in the second half in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Vinotinto conceded in the second half in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
- 9 de Octubre have a +3 goal difference in the second half over the last 5 matches.
- Vinotinto have a -1 goal difference in the second half over the last 5 away matches.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradable9 de OctubreEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A common pattern of halftime draws and 9 de Octubre's second-half strength supports this combination, though specific HT-FT outcomes are inherently low probability.
- 9 de Octubre drew at halftime in 47% of matches this season.
- Vinotinto drew at halftime in 57% of matches this season.
- 9 de Octubre won the second half in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Vinotinto lost the second half in 2 of their last 5 away matches.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / 9 de OctubreEstimated chance25%

Goals0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams show low-scoring patterns recently, especially Vinotinto away, and the high-stakes context often leads to tighter games.
- 9 de Octubre's last 5 matches: 3 had under 2.5 goals.
- Vinotinto's last 5 away matches: 4 had under 2.5 goals.
- Vinotinto have conceded only 5 goals in 6 away matches this season.
- The most recent H2H ended 1-0.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
9 de Octubre's recent defensive solidity and Vinotinto's away scoring struggles suggest at least one team may fail to score.
- 9 de Octubre kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Vinotinto failed to score in 2 of their last 5 away matches.
- Vinotinto have scored only 4 goals in 6 away matches this season.
- The most recent H2H saw only one team score.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring averages and recent trends, making a quiet first half likely.
- 9 de Octubre's last 5 matches: 4 had under 1.5 first-half goals.
- Vinotinto's last 5 matches: 4 had under 1.5 first-half goals.
- Vinotinto conceded only 0.3 first-half goals per game on average this season.
- 9 de Octubre scored 0.7 first-half goals per game on average.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
In the absence of corner data, the expected low-scoring nature of the match suggests fewer corners, but confidence is low due to missing stats.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- Serie B matches typically average around 8-9 corners.
- Low-scoring, tight matches often produce fewer corners.
- No team-specific corner trends can be identified.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 8.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
1	9 de Octubre Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)	13	7	4	2	16-9	25
3	Vinotinto FC Ecuador Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)	13	5	5	3	18-9	20

9 de Octubre2Vinotinto FC Ecuador1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

9 de Octubre or Draw

9 de Octubre

Under 2.5

No

Under 1.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result3 of 3 landed

Goals0 of 3 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 1.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

9 de Octubre

Vinotinto FC Ecuador

Squad & Injuries

9 de Octubre

Vinotinto FC Ecuador