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Predictions graded

Wydad Casablanca1Olympic Safi0

HT 0–0Mon 8 Jun 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–460%

Edges3–175%

Yellow CardsYellow Cards 3–2Red CardsRed Cards 0–0

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 7 Jun 2026, 16:32 · Europe/Bucharest

Despite a 25-point table gap, recent H2H draws and Wydad’s coaching chaos make this a live contest.

Top value bets: both teams to score (2.05, +11pt edge), first-half draw (2.10, +7pt edge), and over 3.5 cards (3.50, +31pt edge). Avoid the short-priced home win and low-goal markets.

Context

Carteron was removed on May 1, with Benchrifa appointed until season end, as reported by AfricanFootball.
- The coaching change was triggered by the March 22 CAF Confederation Cup exit to Safi, per H24info.
- Wydad have lost three of their last six league matches, including a 2-1 home defeat to Yacoub El Mansour.
Safi are 16th in Botola Pro, one point behind 15th-placed Yacoub El Mansour and two behind 14th-placed US Touarga.
- They have scored in 8 of 11 away matches this season, showing they can threaten even on the road.
- In the last five H2H meetings, both teams scored in four, including the two CAF Confederation Cup ties in March.
Last five H2H results: 2-2, 1-1, 2-1 Wydad, 1-1, 1-0 Wydad.
- Both teams scored in the last four meetings, including the two cup ties in March 2026.
- Safi advanced from the CAF Confederation Cup quarter-final on away goals after a 2-2 draw at Wydad.
Wydad have 40 points, four behind leaders AS FAR and Maghreb Fes (44 points).
- The top four teams are separated by just four points with six rounds remaining.
- Wydad's home record is 6W-2D-2L, but only two wins were by more than one goal.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Wydad's strong home form and Safi's poor away record, combined with a 25-point table gap, give Wydad a clear edge, but recent H2H draws and coaching turmoil reduce confidence from high to medium.
- Wydad home record: 6W-2D-2L, 15 goals scored, 8 conceded in 10 Botola Pro matches this season.
- Olympic Safi away record: 1W-5D-5L, 10 goals scored, 17 conceded in 11 away matches.
- Wydad are 5th with 40 points, Safi are 16th with 15 points; 25-point gap.
- Last 5 H2H: Wydad unbeaten (2W-3D), but 3 draws in last 4 meetings.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonWydad CasablancaEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Wydad's strong home record and Safi's inability to win away, coupled with Wydad's unbeaten H2H run, make a home win or draw highly probable.
- Wydad have lost only 2 of 10 home league matches this season.
- Olympic Safi have won only 1 of 11 away matches, losing 5.
- Last 5 H2H: Wydad unbeaten, with 3 draws.
- Safi's away goal difference: -7; Wydad's home goal difference: +7.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonWydad Casablanca or DrawEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The perfect record of half-time draws in the last 5 H2H meetings, combined with both teams' tendency to start cautiously, strongly points to a draw at the break.
- Wydad led at half-time in only 27% of matches; trailed in 7%.
- Safi led at half-time in 33% of matches; trailed in 27%.
- Last 5 H2H: half-time results were D, D, D, D, D (all draws).
- Wydad's last 5 home matches: half-time draws in 3 of 5.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Wydad have edged the second half in recent H2H, but both teams have poor second-half goal differences, making a home win only slightly more likely than a draw.
- Wydad's second-half goal difference: -0.2 per match; Safi's: -0.2.
- Last 5 H2H: second-half results were D, D, Wydad, D, Wydad (2 Wydad wins, 3 draws).
- Wydad's home second-half record: 4W-3D-3L in last 10 league matches.
- Safi's away second-half record: 2W-5D-4L in last 11 away matches.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableWydad CasablancaEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The H2H pattern of half-time draws followed by Wydad second-half wins is notable, but the low frequency in both teams' season records keeps confidence low.
- Last 5 H2H: 3 draws at half-time, with Wydad winning 2 of those in the second half.
- Wydad's home matches: 2 of 10 had a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time.
- Safi's away matches: 1 of 11 had a draw at half-time and an away loss at full-time.
- Wydad's overall HT-FT pattern: 4 of 22 matches were draw/win.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Wydad CasablancaEstimated chance30%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Wydad rarely lead at half-time, and Safi have a slightly better first-half record; combined with H2H draws, Safi or draw is a marginal favorite, but confidence is low due to small sample.
- Wydad led at half-time in only 27% of matches; Safi led in 33%.
- Last 5 H2H: half-time results were all draws.
- Wydad's last 5 home matches: half-time results were D, L, D, D, W (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss).
- Safi's last 5 away matches: half-time results were L, L, W, W, D (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses).
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDraw or Olympic SafiEstimated chance55%

Goals2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The recent H2H pattern of both teams scoring, combined with Wydad's occasional defensive lapses at home and Safi's need to attack for survival, supports BTTS.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
- Wydad conceded in 6 of their last 10 home league matches.
- Safi scored in 8 of their last 11 away matches across all competitions.
- Wydad's last 5 matches: 3 clean sheets, but 2 of those were against lower-tier cup opponents.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Mixed evidence: H2H and Wydad's recent home games lean over, but Safi's away matches are typically low-scoring; the survival pressure could open the game, but confidence is low.
- Last 5 H2H: 2-2, 1-1, 2-1, 1-1, 1-0; 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
- Wydad's home league matches average 2.3 total goals; Safi's away matches average 2.45.
- Safi's last 5 away matches: 1-1, 1-2, 1-1, 3-1, 1-1; only 1 over 2.5.
- Wydad's last 5 home matches: 2-0, 1-2, 1-1, 2-2, 1-2; 3 of 5 over 2.5.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average over 0.5 first-half goals, and recent H2H and home form suggest a first-half goal is more likely than not, though not a certainty.
- Wydad's first-half goals per match: 0.6; conceded: 0.3; 34% of matches had a first-half lead.
- Safi's first-half goals per match: 0.6; conceded: 0.4; 33% of matches had a first-half lead.
- Last 5 H2H: first-half goals in 3 of 5 (2-2 had 1, 1-1 had 0, 2-1 had 1, 1-1 had 0, 1-0 had 0).
- Wydad's last 5 home matches: first-half goals in 3 of 5.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is common in this fixture, but both teams' averages are below 1.5, making this a borderline call with low confidence.
- Wydad's second-half goals: 0.7 per match; conceded: 0.9.
- Safi's second-half goals: 0.7 per match; conceded: 0.9.
- Last 5 H2H: second-half goals in 4 of 5, with 3 having over 1.5.
- Wydad's last 5 home matches: second-half over 1.5 in 3 of 5.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Low first-half scoring rates for both teams and the H2H pattern of cautious starts make it unlikely both teams will score before the break.
- Wydad's first-half goals: 0.6 per match; conceded: 0.3.
- Safi's first-half goals: 0.6 per match; conceded: 0.4.
- Last 5 H2H: both teams scored in the first half in only 1 of 5 matches.
- Wydad's last 5 home matches: both teams scored in the first half in 1 of 5.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance65%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Recent matches for both teams and H2H data show corner counts around 10, but the limited sample size and lack of consistent corner data reduce confidence.
- Wydad average 6.5 corners per match; Safi average 5.8.
- Last 2 H2H (CAF CC): total corners were 10 and 12.
- Wydad's last 5 matches with corner data: 10, 12, 10, 9, 8 (average 9.8).
- Safi's last 5 matches with corner data: 9, 10, 9, 10, 12 (average 10.0).
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Safi's high card average and the competitive nature of this relegation-pressure match, combined with H2H history, suggest over 3.5 cards is likely.
- Wydad average 1.8 yellow cards per match; Safi average 2.6.
- Last 5 H2H: total cards were 5, 2, 5, 3, 3 (average 3.6).
- Safi's last 5 matches: 4, 3, 2, 2, 5 yellow cards (average 3.2).
- Wydad's last 5 matches: 2, 2, 3, 2, 2 yellow cards (average 2.2).
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

1W · 3D · 1W

D2-2Wydad ACvOlympique SafiMar 22, 2026CAF

D1-1Olympique SafivWydad ACMar 15, 2026CAF

W1-2Olympique SafivWydad ACNov 9, 2025BOT

D1-1Olympique SafivWydad ACApr 23, 2025BOT

L1-0Wydad ACvOlympique SafiNov 29, 2024BOT

2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Botola Pro 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
5	Wydad Casablanca	22	12	4	6	34-20	40	LWWWL
16	Olympic Safi Relegation	22	2	9	11	19-34	15	LDDDL

25pt gap between teamsOlympic Safi in relegation zone

Recent Form

Wydad Casablanca

L1-2Ittihad TangerJun 3BOT

W3-2Hassania AgadirMay 23BOT

W2-0Raja Beni MellalMay 17CUP

W1-0Raja CasablancaMay 9BOT

W2-0CODM MeknèsMay 6BOT

L0-1CR Khemis ZemamraMay 3BOT

L1-2Yacoub El MansourApr 29BOT

D0-0Kawkab MarrakechApr 25BOT

L0-1Maghreb FèsApr 12BOT

D1-1Difaa EL JadidaApr 6BOT

L0-1FUS RabatApr 3BOT

D2-2Olympique SafiMar 22CAF

D1-1Olympique SafiMar 15CAF

W4-3UTS RabatMar 8BOT

L1-2FAR RabatMar 4BOT

Olympic Safi

L1-2Maghreb FèsJun 1BOT

D1-1Difaa EL JadidaMay 23BOT

W3-0Olympique DcheïraMay 16CUP

D1-1FUS RabatMay 11BOT

D1-1FAR RabatMay 7BOT

L1-2Hassania AgadirMay 4BOT

L1-2Ittihad TangerApr 29BOT

D1-1UTS RabatApr 25BOT

L1-3CR Khemis ZemamraApr 22BOT

D1-1USM AlgerApr 19CAF

D0-0USM AlgerApr 11CAF

W3-1Yacoub El MansourApr 4BOT

D1-1Renaissance BerkaneApr 1BOT

D2-2Wydad ACMar 22CAF

D1-1Wydad ACMar 15CAF

Squad & Injuries

Wydad Casablanca

32 available

Attackers6

Midfielders14

Defenders8

Goalkeeper4

Olympic Safi

30 available

Attackers5

Midfielders11

Defenders10

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Yes

Over 3.5

Wydad Casablanca or Draw

Over 0.5

Result3 of 4 landed

Goals2 of 5 landed

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Markets to Avoid

Wydad Casablanca

No

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Wydad Casablanca

Olympic Safi

Squad & Injuries

Wydad Casablanca

Olympic Safi