FC Arlanda or Draw
BetBugs 75% · Market 82%
FC Arlanda's low loss rate and Assyriska's struggle to win, combined with a H2H trend favoring the home side, make a FC Arlanda win or draw highly probable.
Ettan - NorraFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
FC Arlanda are clear favorites based on form and H2H dominance, but their draw-heavy home record and Assyriska's relegation fight suggest a tight contest.
The best betting angle is to avoid the short-priced home win and consider the over 2.5 goals or BTTS markets, though neither offers a clear edge at current odds.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 75% · Market 82%
FC Arlanda's low loss rate and Assyriska's struggle to win, combined with a H2H trend favoring the home side, make a FC Arlanda win or draw highly probable.
FC ArlandaBetBugs 45% · Market 59%
FC Arlanda's superior league form and recent H2H dominance give them the edge, despite a modest home record, while Assyriska's poor run and relegation pressure make an away win unlikely.
BetBugs 55% · Market 61.7%
Assyriska's league matches average 4.0 total goals with 7 of 10 going over 2.5, and their defense has conceded 23 in 10, making a high-scoring game likely despite H2H history.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Arlanda | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16-8 | 17 |
| 14 | Assyriska Relegation | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17-23 | 10 |

