Haiti11 – 2Peru2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Haiti's strong recent form and World Cup preparation urgency contrast with Peru's experimental rebuild, giving Haiti a slight edge despite neutral venue.

• Haiti won 4 of last 5 matches (4W-1D-0L), scoring 12 goals and conceding 2.
• Peru won only 2 of last 15 matches, with 7 losses and 6 draws.
• Haiti averaged 1.7 goals scored vs Peru's 0.7 over last 15 matches.
• Peru conceded 1.3 goals per game on average; Haiti conceded 1.1.

BetBugs · Match WinnerlostHaitiEstimated chance40%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Haiti's superior form and motivation, combined with Peru's poor win rate, make Haiti avoiding defeat highly probable.

• Haiti lost only 1 of last 5 matches (4W-1D-0L).
• Peru failed to win 13 of last 15 matches (2W-6D-7L).
• Haiti's last 5 matches: 4 wins, 1 draw; Peru's last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses.
• Haiti led at halftime in 40% of recent matches vs Peru's 20%.

BetBugs · Double ChancelostHaiti or DrawEstimated chance70%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams have moderate first-half win rates and a tendency for draws, suggesting a balanced start.

• Haiti led at halftime in 40% of recent matches, trailed in 33%, drew in 27%.
• Peru led at halftime in 20%, trailed in 33%, drew in 47%.
• Haiti's last 5 first-half results: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss; Peru's: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses.
• H2H: 0-0 at halftime.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Peru's low scoring output and Haiti's recent defensive solidity (2 conceded in last 5) point to a low-scoring affair, reinforced by the historical 1-0 H2H.

• Haiti's last 5 matches averaged 2.2 total goals; Peru's averaged 1.8.
• Peru scored 0 or 1 goal in 13 of last 15 matches.
• H2H: only meeting was 1-0 to Peru.
• Both teams scored in only 2 of Haiti's last 5 matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Haiti's strong defensive form and Peru's goal-scoring struggles suggest at least one team will fail to score.

• Both teams scored in only 2 of Haiti's last 5 matches.
• Peru failed to score in 7 of last 15 matches.
• Haiti kept 3 clean sheets in last 5 matches.
• H2H: Peru kept a clean sheet in the only meeting.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to start slowly, with low first-half scoring averages, making a quiet opening 45 minutes likely.

• Haiti averaged 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded over last 15 matches.
• Peru averaged 0.3 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded over last 15 matches.
• In last 5 matches, Haiti's first halves: 3 goals for, 1 against; Peru's: 2 for, 2 against.
• H2H: 0-0 at halftime in the only meeting.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Low card averages and a friendly setting suggest a calm match with few bookings.

• Haiti averaged 1.4 yellow cards per game over last 15; Peru averaged 2.3.
• Haiti's last 5 matches: 1.2 yellows per game; Peru's: 2.0.
• Friendly context may reduce card intensity.
• No red cards for Peru in last 15; Haiti had 0.5 reds per game but none in last 5.