Kitzbuhel or Draw
Market 68% · BetBugs 75%
Kitzbuhel are unbeaten in 64% of home matches this season while St. Johann have won only 21% of away games, making the home-or-draw double chance a strong value at odds implying just 68%.
Regionalliga - WestFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back Kitzbuhel or Draw (Double Chance) at 1.48 for a 7-point edge, driven by their 64% home unbeaten rate and St.
Johann's poor away form. The first-half Over 0.5 goals at 1.29 is also solid, but avoid the straight Kitzbuhel win and Both Teams to Score markets due to thin or negative value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 68% · BetBugs 75%
Kitzbuhel are unbeaten in 64% of home matches this season while St. Johann have won only 21% of away games, making the home-or-draw double chance a strong value at odds implying just 68%.
KitzbuhelMarket 36% · BetBugs 40%
Kitzbuhel led at halftime in 53% of recent matches and in 5 of their last 7 home games with known halftime results, while St. Johann trailed at the break in 47% of their matches.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 75% · Market 77.5%
Both teams average 0.7–0.9 first-half goals and have a combined 80% rate of first-half goal involvement across their last 15 matches, making Over 0.5 highly probable.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kitzbuhel | 29 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 37-41 | 39 |
| 12 | TSV St Johann | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 43-53 | 31 |

