Deportivo Cuenca Juniors00 – 1CSD Macara1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

CSD Macara's superior league level and more consistent underlying stats (shots, possession) give them an edge, though Cuenca Juniors' home cup upset history adds risk.

• CSD Macara averages 1.1 goals for and 1.2 goals against over last 15 matches, with 13.1 shots total and 3.3 shots on target per game.
• Deportivo Cuenca Juniors averages 1.1 goals for and 1.3 goals against over last 15 matches, but shot data is unavailable.
• CSD Macara plays in Liga Pro (top tier), while Cuenca Juniors plays in Serie B (second tier), indicating a quality gap.
• Cuenca Juniors' last 5 matches: W-D-L-L-D, with 2 clean sheets but also 2 heavy defeats (0-3 twice).

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCSD MacaraEstimated chance45%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Cuenca Juniors' low win rate and high draw frequency make a home win unlikely, while CSD Macara's solid form and tier advantage support a double chance covering draw or away win.

• Cuenca Juniors have won only 3 of their last 15 matches (20% win rate), with 7 draws.
• CSD Macara have lost only 4 of their last 15 matches, with 5 draws.
• In cup competitions, Cuenca Juniors have 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss in last 4, including a 2-0 win over Barcelona SC in 2025.
• CSD Macara's away form in last 5: D-D-L-W-W, showing resilience on the road.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or CSD MacaraEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams have a strong tendency for drawn first halves, with Cuenca Juniors' 60% draw rate and CSD Macara's 53% supporting a stalemate at the break.

• Cuenca Juniors led at half-time in only 33% of last 15 matches, with 60% drawn at half-time.
• CSD Macara led at half-time in 20% and trailed in 27% of last 15 matches, with 53% drawn.
• Cuenca Juniors' last 5 first halves: W-D-L-D-D, with 3 draws.
• CSD Macara's last 5 first halves: D-D-L-D-D, with 4 draws.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A draw at half-time followed by a CSD Macara win is a plausible scenario given both teams' half-time draw tendencies and CSD Macara's ability to edge second halves.

• Cuenca Juniors drew at half-time in 60% of last 15 matches, with full-time results: 3 wins, 7 draws, 5 losses.
• CSD Macara drew at half-time in 53% of last 15 matches, with full-time results: 5 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses.
• CSD Macara won 2 of last 5 matches when drawing at half-time.
• Cuenca Juniors lost 2 of last 5 matches when drawing at half-time.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / CSD MacaraEstimated chance30%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have moderate scoring averages and recent low-scoring trends, suggesting a tight cup tie with fewer than 3 goals, despite Cuenca Juniors' occasional high-scoring cup games.

• Cuenca Juniors' last 15 matches: 7 had under 2.5 goals, including 4 of last 5.
• CSD Macara's last 15 matches: 8 had under 2.5 goals, with 3 of last 5 under.
• Cuenca Juniors average 1.1 goals for and 1.3 against; CSD Macara average 1.1 for and 1.2 against.
• In cup matches, Cuenca Juniors' last 4: 3 had over 2.5, but those were against varied opposition.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams show inconsistent scoring, with Cuenca Juniors particularly blunt recently, making a clean sheet for at least one side plausible in a cautious cup tie.

• Cuenca Juniors failed to score in 6 of last 15 matches (40%), including 3 of last 5.
• CSD Macara kept clean sheets in 5 of last 15 matches, including 2 of last 5.
• Cuenca Juniors' home matches: 3 clean sheets in last 7 home games.
• CSD Macara's away matches: 3 clean sheets in last 7 away games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

CSD Macara's high corner involvement suggests a total above 8.5 is likely, though missing Cuenca Juniors' corner data adds uncertainty.

• CSD Macara average 6.2 corners per game over last 15 matches, with opponents averaging 4.1.
• Cuenca Juniors' corner data is unavailable, but CSD Macara's matches average 10.3 total corners.
• CSD Macara's last 5 matches: total corners of 8, 12, 7, 8, 10, averaging 9.0.
• In cup competitions, CSD Macara's matches have seen 8, 8, 13, 10 corners in last 4.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

CSD Macara's card accumulation and the competitive nature of a knockout cup tie suggest a total cards above 3.5, despite missing Cuenca Juniors' data.

• CSD Macara average 2.1 yellow cards and 0.5 red cards per game over last 15 matches.
• Cuenca Juniors' card data is unavailable, but cup ties often see increased discipline issues.
• CSD Macara's last 5 matches: total cards (yellows+reds) of 4, 5, 3, 5, 2, averaging 3.8.
• In CONMEBOL Sudamericana matches, CSD Macara averaged 4.2 cards per game.