Palmeiras11 – 0Chapecoense0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Palmeiras' tendency to start strong, especially at home, gives them a good chance to be ahead at the break against a struggling Chapecoense side.

• Palmeiras lead at halftime in 53% of their matches overall.
• Chapecoense trail at halftime in only 13% of matches, but their away first-half record is weaker.
• Palmeiras average 0.9 first-half goals per game, while conceding only 0.3.
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, Palmeiras led at halftime in 3 of them.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostPalmeirasEstimated chance55%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Palmeiras' strong home attack and Chapecoense's leaky away defense, along with a high-scoring H2H history, suggest a good chance of at least 3 goals.

• Palmeiras average 1.5 goals per match overall, but at home they average 1.88 goals per game (15 in 8).
• Chapecoense concede 1.4 goals per match on average, and away they concede 1.71 per game.
• 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings have seen over 2.5 goals.
• Palmeiras' recent home matches have seen 2+ goals in 6 of 8 league games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Given the overall goal expectation and the tendency for matches to open up in the second half, over 1.5 second-half goals is plausible.

• Palmeiras score 0.6 second-half goals on average, while Chapecoense concede 0.8 second-half goals.
• In 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings, there were 2+ second-half goals.
• Palmeiras' home matches average 2.63 total goals, with many coming after the break.
• Chapecoense's away matches see an average of 2.29 total goals.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Palmeiras' high corner count and Chapecoense's tendency to concede corners could push the total over 9.5, though confidence is low due to Chapecoense's low corner numbers.

• Palmeiras average 8 corners per match overall, and at home they often exceed that.
• Chapecoense concede an average of 5.6 corners per away match.
• In recent Palmeiras home matches, total corners have been 10+ in 4 of the last 6.
• Chapecoense's away matches average 9.4 total corners.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Chapecoense's high card count and the competitive nature of the match could lead to over 4.5 cards, though Palmeiras' discipline keeps confidence low.

• Palmeiras average 1.9 yellow cards per match, while Chapecoense average 3.4.
• Chapecoense have received 4+ cards in 4 of their last 6 matches.
• In H2H meetings, cards have been relatively high, with 4+ in 3 of the last 5.
• The match has high stakes, which could increase disciplinary actions.