La Liga 2Full timeFeatured

Predictions graded

Deportivo La Coruna1Las Palmas2

HT 1–2Sun 31 May 2026, 16:30 Predictions graded

Predictions4–544%

Edges2–340%

PossPossession 44%–56%ShotsShots 6–5On targetOn target 3–2CornersCorners 1–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 27 May 2026, 18:23 · Europe/Bucharest

Deportivo La Coruna or Draw at 1.55 is the top value bet, with a 10-point edge over the implied probability.

The hosts' strong home record and title motivation, combined with Las Palmas' moderate away form, make a home defeat unlikely. Avoid the Over 0.5 First Half Goals market, where the odds are heavily juiced against historical data.

Context

Deportivo are on 77 points, Racing lead with 79, and Almeria are third on 71.
- A home win keeps the pressure on Racing, who face Cadiz simultaneously.
- The Riazor is sold out for the season finale, creating a strong home atmosphere.
Las Palmas have 70 points, with Castellon and Burgos on 69 and Eibar on 67.
- All playoff rivals play at the same time, so scoreboard pressure is real.
- A defeat combined with wins for others would end their promotion hopes.
Last five results: W-W-W-W-D, with the draw away at Burgos.
- They have kept three clean sheets in that run.
- At home, they have won three of the last four, scoring seven goals.
Away record: 7W-7D-6L, with 22 goals scored and 25 conceded.
- They lost 5-1 at FC Andorra and 3-1 at Eibar in recent away trips.
- Only three away wins in their last ten on the road.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Deportivo's strong home form and motivation to win the title, combined with Las Palmas' inconsistent away record, give the hosts a moderate edge.
- Deportivo home record: 11W-5D-4L (20 matches), 30 goals scored, 20 conceded.
- Las Palmas away record: 7W-7D-6L (20 matches), 22 goals scored, 25 conceded.
- Deportivo last 5 matches: 4W-1D, scoring 8 and conceding 3.
- Las Palmas last 5 matches: 3W-1D-1L, scoring 8 and conceding 9.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDeportivo La CorunaEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Deportivo's strong home resilience and Las Palmas' moderate away win rate make a home win or draw highly likely.
- Deportivo home losses: only 4 in 20 matches.
- Las Palmas away wins: only 7 in 20 matches.
- H2H last 5: Deportivo 2W-2D-1L, with the only loss at home in 2019.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDeportivo La Coruna or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Las Palmas often leads at half-time away, but Deportivo's resilience and H2H patterns suggest a drawn first half is plausible.
- Deportivo home first-half record: led at HT in 20% of matches, trailed in 27%.
- Las Palmas away first-half record: led at HT in 47% of matches, trailed in 13%.
- H2H last 5: 3 draws at HT.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Deportivo's superior second-half record at home and Las Palmas' struggles after the break give the hosts a slight edge.
- Deportivo home second-half performance: outscored opponents 18-10 in 20 games.
- Las Palmas away second-half performance: outscored 8-16 in 20 games.
- Deportivo's strong finish in recent home games.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableDeportivo La CorunaEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A drawn first half followed by a Deportivo win has occurred in some home matches and H2H, but the probability remains low.
- Deportivo home: 5 draws at HT, 3 of which ended in wins.
- Las Palmas away: 7 draws at HT, 2 ended in losses.
- H2H: 3 draws at HT, with Deportivo winning 2 of those matches.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Deportivo La CorunaEstimated chance25%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent home games for Deportivo have been high-scoring, and Las Palmas' away games often see goals, suggesting a decent chance for over 2.5 goals.
- Deportivo home matches: 30 goals in 20 games (1.5 per game), but 5 of last 6 home games had over 2.5 goals.
- Las Palmas away matches: 47 goals in 20 games (2.35 per game), with 11 of 20 away games having over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of last 5 Deportivo home games.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistent scoring and conceding records, especially in recent matches, making both teams scoring likely.
- Deportivo home: scored in 17 of 20, conceded in 13 of 20.
- Las Palmas away: scored in 15 of 20, conceded in 16 of 20.
- Both teams scored in 4 of last 5 Deportivo home games.
- Both teams scored in 3 of last 5 Las Palmas away games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score or concede in the first half, and H2H history supports early goals.
- Deportivo first-half goals at home: 0.6 per game, conceded 0.5.
- Las Palmas first-half goals away: 0.7 per game, conceded 0.4.
- In last 5 H2H, 4 matches had a first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined second-half goal average is slightly below 1.5, but the open nature of the match could push it over.
- Deportivo home second-half goals: average 0.9 scored, 0.5 conceded.
- Las Palmas away second-half goals: average 0.4 scored, 0.8 conceded.
- Combined second-half average: 1.3 goals per game.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a decent number of corners, and the combined average exceeds 9.5.
- Deportivo home corners: average 6.0 per game, opponent corners 4.5.
- Las Palmas away corners: average 4.9 per game, opponent corners 5.1.
- Combined average corners: 10.9 per game.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The match has high stakes, and the combined card average is above 4.5, suggesting a physical contest.
- Deportivo home yellow cards: 2.6 per game, opponent 2.4.
- Las Palmas away yellow cards: 1.3 per game, opponent 2.7.
- Combined average cards: 5.0 per game.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

1W · 2D · 2W

D1-1Las PalmasvDeportivo La CorunaJan 10, 2026SEG

W2-1Deportivo La CorunavLas PalmasFeb 1, 2020SEG

L3-0Las PalmasvDeportivo La CorunaOct 13, 2019SEG

L0-1Deportivo La CorunavLas PalmasMar 10, 2019SEG

D1-1Las PalmasvDeportivo La CorunaNov 3, 2018SEG

Las Palmas: 2 clean sheets2.2 goals/game avg

League Table

Segunda División 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	Deportivo La Coruna Promotion	41	22	11	8	64-42	77	WWWWD
5	Las Palmas Promotion Playoffs	41	19	13	9	55-39	70	DWLWW

7pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Deportivo La Coruna

W2-0ValladolidMay 24SEG

W2-1FC AndorraMay 17SEG

W1-0CadizMay 8SEG

W2-1LeganesMay 1SEG

D1-1BurgosApr 25SEG

W3-1MirandesApr 20SEG

D1-1HuescaApr 12SEG

D1-1MalagaApr 4SEG

W2-0CordobaMar 31SEG

D1-1Sporting GijonMar 28SEG

W2-1ZaragozaMar 21SEG

W2-1AD Ceuta FCMar 14SEG

L0-2Granada CFMar 8SEG

W3-2Real Sociedad IIMar 1SEG

W1-0EibarFeb 21SEG

Las Palmas

D1-1ZaragozaMay 24SEG

W2-1AlmeriaMay 16SEG

L1-5FC AndorraMay 10SEG

W2-1ValladolidMay 3SEG

W2-1CadizApr 27SEG

W2-0LeganesApr 17SEG

L0-2MalagaApr 11SEG

W2-1HuescaApr 5SEG

W2-0Granada CFApr 2SEG

L1-3EibarMar 29SEG

W1-0Sporting GijonMar 22SEG

L1-2AlbaceteMar 16SEG

W4-0AD Ceuta FCMar 8SEG

W3-0Cultural LeonesaMar 1SEG

D1-1CastellónFeb 21SEG

Squad & Injuries

Deportivo La Coruna

30 available

Attackers8

Midfielders8

Defenders11

Goalkeeper3

Las Palmas

31 available

Attackers8

Midfielders9

Defenders10

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Deportivo La Coruna or Draw

Deportivo La Coruna

Yes

Over 4.5

Over 0.5

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals4 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Draw at half-time / Deportivo La Coruna at full-time

Over 0.5

Over 9.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Deportivo La Coruna

Las Palmas

Squad & Injuries

Deportivo La Coruna

Las Palmas