Over 3.5
Market 48.8% · BetBugs 55%
Brann's high-scoring home form and Sarpsborg's leaky away defense suggest a strong chance of at least 4 total goals.
EliteserienFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Brann are boosted by returning starters while Sarpsborg remain depleted, making a home win likely but poorly priced at 1.55.
The best value lies in Over 3.5 goals at 2.05, with a +6.2 point edge, while Over 2.5 goals at 1.40 is a trap. Expect an open game with both teams scoring, but avoid first-half markets where Brann's early dominance is overrated.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 48.8% · BetBugs 55%
Brann's high-scoring home form and Sarpsborg's leaky away defense suggest a strong chance of at least 4 total goals.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BrannBetBugs 55% · Market 65%
Brann's superior recent form and Sarpsborg's poor away record, combined with Sarpsborg's thin squad before the break, give Brann a clear edge at home.
BetBugs 80% · Market 83%
Brann's strong home form and Sarpsborg's struggles on the road make a Brann win or draw highly likely, supported by H2H history.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brann | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 23-18 | 13 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11-15 | 11 |

