Sandefjord Fotball11 – 1Fredrikstad FK1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Sandefjord's home resilience and Fredrikstad's instability after a coaching change make a home win or draw highly likely.

• Sandefjord have lost only 1 of 4 home league matches this season.
• Fredrikstad have lost 4 of 5 away league matches this season.
• Last 5 H2H: Sandefjord 0W-2D-3L, but both draws were at home.
• Fredrikstad's new coach had only 5 days with the squad before this match.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonSandefjord Fotball or DrawEstimated chance72%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams rarely lead at half-time in their respective splits, and H2H first halves are often level, making a draw the most probable outcome.

• Sandefjord led at half-time in only 1 of 4 home league matches (trailed in 1, drew 2).
• Fredrikstad led at half-time in 1 of 5 away league matches (trailed in 3, drew 1).
• Last 5 H2H first-half results: 3 draws, 1 Fredrikstad lead, 1 Sandefjord lead.
• Sandefjord average 0.6 first-half goals overall; Fredrikstad average 0.8.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Historical H2H trends and Sandefjord's low-scoring home matches suggest a tight, low-scoring affair, despite Fredrikstad's leaky away defense.

• Sandefjord home league matches average 1.25 total goals (5 goals in 4 matches).
• Fredrikstad away league matches average 3.6 total goals, but 4 of 5 saw over 2.5.
• Last 4 competitive H2H: 0-0, 3-1, 1-0, 1-0 – three matches under 2.5 goals.
• Sandefjord scored only 3 goals in 4 home league matches; Fredrikstad scored 5 in 5 away.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Fredrikstad's away defensive frailty after the break and Sandefjord's tendency to score late create a plausible scenario for a more open second half, though evidence is mixed.

• Sandefjord home matches: 2 of 4 had over 1.5 second-half goals.
• Fredrikstad away matches: 4 of 5 had over 1.5 second-half goals.
• Fredrikstad concede heavily in second halves away (8 of 13 away goals conceded after HT).
• Sandefjord score 67% of home goals in second half (2 of 3).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches consistently produce high corner counts, especially at Sandefjord's home, making over 9.5 corners a strong likelihood.

• Sandefjord home matches average 11.3 total corners (45 in 4 matches).
• Fredrikstad away matches average 9.6 total corners (48 in 5 matches).
• Sandefjord average 5.9 corners per match overall; Fredrikstad average 4.4.
• Last 5 competitive H2H with corner data: 3 of 5 had over 9.5 corners.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Sandefjord's strong corner-winning record at home, combined with Fredrikstad's tendency to concede corners away, supports the hosts exceeding 5.5 corners.

• Sandefjord average 6.5 corners per home match this season (26 in 4 matches).
• Sandefjord won 5+ corners in 3 of 4 home matches.
• Fredrikstad concede 6.2 corners per away match on average (31 in 5 matches).
• Sandefjord overall average 5.9 corners per match.

BetBugs · Home CornerswonSandefjord Fotball over 5.5Estimated chance55%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams have moderate disciplinary records, and Fredrikstad's away matches often see multiple cards, but the lack of referee data and borderline averages limit confidence.

• Sandefjord home matches average 3.0 yellow cards (12 in 4 matches).
• Fredrikstad away matches average 4.0 yellow cards (20 in 5 matches).
• Fredrikstad received 2+ cards in all 5 away matches; Sandefjord received 2+ in 3 of 4 home matches.
• Referee not assigned, so no referee-specific card tendency available.