Ham-Kam22 – 0Lillestrom SK0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Lillestrom's recent H2H dominance and superior away defensive record give them a slight edge, though HamKam's strong home league form prevents higher confidence.

• Lillestrom won both 2026 H2H meetings, including a 2-0 cup win at Briskeby on 7 Mar 2026.
• Lillestrom away record this season: 3W-1D-1L, goals 6-3, showing strong defensive solidity on the road.
• HamKam home record: 4W-0D-1L, but the loss was against Lillestrom in the cup, and they conceded 7 goals in 5 home league games.
• Lillestrom rank 4th with 19 points from 10 games; HamKam rank 7th with 13 points from 8 games, but Lillestrom have a better goal difference (+8 vs -1).

BetBugs · Match WinnerlostLillestrom SKEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Combining Lillestrom's strong away form and recent H2H results with HamKam's occasional home fragility makes Draw or Lillestrom the safer outcome.

• Lillestrom have not lost to HamKam in 2026 (2 wins), and the last league meeting at Briskeby was a 5-0 HamKam win in Sep 2024, showing volatility.
• HamKam's home league form: 4 wins, 1 loss, but the loss was a heavy 1-5 vs Brann, indicating vulnerability against top-half teams.
• Lillestrom's away form: only 1 loss in 5 away games, with 3 clean sheets.

BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or Lillestrom SKEstimated chance65%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams have mixed first-half performances, and H2H shows a tendency for tight first halves, making a draw at half-time plausible.

• HamKam's last 5 league games: led at half-time in 2, trailed in 2, drew 1.
• Lillestrom's last 5 league games: led at half-time in 2, trailed in 3.
• H2H: In the last 5 meetings, half-time results were 2 draws, 2 Lillestrom leads, 1 HamKam lead.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' recent league matches and HamKam's home games trend towards higher-scoring affairs, supporting over 2.5 goals.

• HamKam's last 5 league games: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals, with an average of 3.0 total goals per game.
• Lillestrom's last 5 league games: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals, with an average of 2.8 total goals per game.
• HamKam home league games this season: 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals (total goals: 17 in 5 games).
• H2H: 3 of last 5 meetings had over 2.5 goals, including the 5-0 and 2-0 results.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have been consistently scoring and conceding in recent league matches, making both teams to score likely despite historical H2H trends.

• HamKam scored in 4 of their last 5 league games, and in all 5 home league games this season.
• Lillestrom scored in 4 of their last 5 league games, and in 4 of 5 away league games this season.
• HamKam conceded in 4 of 5 home league games; Lillestrom conceded in 3 of 5 away league games.
• H2H: Both teams scored in only 1 of last 5 meetings, but current form suggests a shift.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Lillestrom's away games see more cards, but HamKam's home games are low, making over 3.5 cards a marginal call.

• HamKam average 1.4 yellow cards per game, but at home in last 5 league games: 1.0 yellow cards for, 2.0 against, total 3.0.
• Lillestrom average 2.2 yellow cards per game, away in last 5 league games: 2.4 yellow cards for, 2.2 against, total 4.6.
• H2H: In the last 5 meetings with card data, total cards were 3, 3, 2, 4, 2 (average 2.8).