Nashville vs New York City: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nashville's dominant home form and NYCFC's weak away scoring, combined with Nashville's strong H2H home record, make a home win highly likely.
- Nashville home record this season: 5W-1D-0L, 21 goals scored, 8 conceded in 6 matches.
- Nashville overall form: 9W-3D-1L in last 13 MLS matches, top of Eastern Conference.
- NYCFC away record: 2W-2D-2L, only 5 goals scored in 6 away matches.
- H2H at Nashville: 3W-1D-0L, including a 1-0 win in 2024 and a 2-2 draw in 2025.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonNashvilleEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nashville's strong home form and overall consistency make them unlikely to lose, supporting a double chance of Nashville or Draw.
- Nashville unbeaten at home this season (5W-1D).
- NYCFC has only 2 away wins in 6 attempts.
- Nashville has lost only 1 of last 13 MLS matches overall.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonNashville or DrawEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Nashville's tendency to start fast at home, combined with NYCFC's occasional slow starts on the road, gives Nashville an edge in the first half.
- Nashville leads at halftime in 33% of matches overall, but at home they often start strong.
- NYCFC trails at halftime in 27% of matches, but away they have been level or behind in most first halves.
- Nashville scored first-half goals in 4 of last 5 home matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostNashvilleEstimated chance45%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Nashville's high-scoring home games and the recent 2-2 H2H suggest goals, though NYCFC's away scoring is low, keeping confidence at medium.
- Nashville home matches average 4.8 total goals (21 scored, 8 conceded in 6 games).
- NYCFC away matches average 1.8 total goals, but Nashville's home attack is prolific.
- Last H2H at Nashville ended 2-2.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Nashville's occasional defensive lapses at home and NYCFC's ability to score on the road make both teams scoring a reasonable outcome.
- Nashville has conceded in 4 of 6 home matches this season.
- NYCFC has scored in 4 of 6 away matches.
- Both teams scored in the last H2H meeting at Nashville (2-2).
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a high frequency of first-half goals in their respective home/away splits, making over 0.5 first-half goals very likely.
- Nashville home matches have seen a first-half goal in 5 of 6 games this season.
- NYCFC away matches have had a first-half goal in 5 of 6 games.
- Nashville averages 0.6 first-half goals at home, NYCFC concedes 0.6 first-half goals away.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Nashville's strong second-half performances at home, often pushing for goals, support over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Nashville home matches average 2.5 second-half goals (based on total goals minus first-half goals).
- NYCFC away matches average 1.2 second-half goals.
- Nashville has scored in the second half in 5 of 6 home games.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner averages hover around 9.5, making this a borderline call with low confidence.
- Nashville home matches average 9.3 total corners (4.7 for, 4.6 against).
- NYCFC away matches average 9.2 total corners (3.8 for, 5.4 against).
- Recent H2H at Nashville had 10 corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Nashville's home corner average is right at the line, and NYCFC's away concession rate is slightly above, but variance is high.
- Nashville averages 4.7 corners per home match.
- NYCFC concedes 5.4 corners per away match.
- Nashville had 5 corners in the last H2H at home.
BetBugs · Home CornerswonNashville over 4.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined card averages are near the line, with a slight lean toward over based on Nashville's home discipline and H2H history.
- Nashville home matches average 3.8 total cards (1.9 for, 1.9 against).
- NYCFC away matches average 3.2 total cards (1.6 for, 1.6 against).
- Recent H2H had 4 cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
1	Nashville Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)	13	9	3	1	29-10	30	WWDDW
5	New York City Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)	14	5	4	5	24-19	19	DWWLL

Nashville2New York City1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Nashville

Nashville or Draw

Over 2.5

Nashville

Over 0.5

Yes

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals4 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Nashville

New York City

Squad & Injuries

Nashville

New York City