Premier LeagueFull time

Predictions graded

Liverpool1Brentford1

HT 0–0Sun 24 May 2026, 15:00 Predictions graded

Predictions2–625%

Edges0–30%

PossPossession 60%–40%ShotsShots 24–11On targetOn target 8–2CornersCorners 14–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 20 May 2026, 18:46 · Europe/Bucharest

Liverpool's perfect Anfield record against Brentford (4 wins, 0 goals conceded) and Brentford's poor away form make a home win and clean sheet the standout plays.

The best value is in Both Teams to Score 'No' at 2.40, with a 13-point edge over the implied probability. Low stakes may dampen intensity, but history strongly favors a controlled Liverpool victory.

Context

Liverpool won all four home league meetings vs Brentford: 3-0, 3-0, 1-0, 2-0.
- Brentford have never scored at Anfield in the Premier League.
- Liverpool kept 5 home clean sheets in 18 league matches this season.
Squawka's final-weekend table confirms Arsenal as champions and top four decided.
- Liverpool are 5th, Brentford 8th; neither can move into European spots or be relegated.
- The only live races on Sunday are for 6th place and the final relegation spot, involving other teams.
Brentford away record: 6 wins, 2 draws, 10 losses.
- They conceded 30 goals in 18 away matches, an average of 1.67 per game.
- Brentford failed to score in 6 of those 18 away games.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 2 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Liverpool's dominant Anfield H2H record against Brentford (4 wins, 0 goals conceded) combined with a strong home season and Brentford's poor away form makes a home win highly likely.
- Liverpool home record this season: 10W-5D-3L, 33 goals scored, 19 conceded in 18 matches.
- Brentford away record this season: 6W-2D-10L, 21 goals scored, 30 conceded in 18 matches.
- H2H at Anfield in Premier League: Liverpool won all 4 meetings with clean sheets (3-0, 3-0, 1-0, 2-0).
- Liverpool last 5 home league matches: W3-1 vs Crystal Palace, W2-0 vs Fulham, D1-1 vs Tottenham, L0-2 vs PSG (UCL), W4-0 vs Galatasaray (UCL) – strong home form.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostLiverpoolEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Liverpool's recent home form shows they often lead at the break, but Brentford's resilience in first halves away from home tempers the confidence, though the Anfield factor gives Liverpool an edge.
- Liverpool led at half-time in 33% of home matches this season.
- Brentford trailed at half-time in only 13% of away matches this season.
- Liverpool last 5 home matches half-time results: W, W, W, L, W – led in 4 of 5.
- Brentford last 5 away matches half-time results: D, L, D, W, D – trailed in only 1.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostLiverpoolEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Liverpool's ability to push for goals in the second half at Anfield, coupled with Brentford's tendency to concede late away from home, gives Liverpool a slight edge to win the second half.
- Liverpool scored 1.5 goals per home match on average, with many coming in second halves.
- Brentford conceded 1.67 goals per away match on average, often in second halves.
- Liverpool last 5 home matches second-half results: W, D, D, L, W – won 2, drew 2, lost 1.
- Brentford last 5 away matches second-half results: L, L, D, W, W – lost 2, won 2, drew 1.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableLiverpoolEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Liverpool's strong record of converting half-time leads into wins at Anfield, combined with Brentford's occasional first-half struggles away, supports a Liverpool/Liverpool HT/FT double, though Brentford's resilience lowers the probability.
- Liverpool led at half-time and won the match in 4 of their last 5 home matches.
- Brentford trailed at half-time and lost the match in only 1 of their last 5 away matches.
- H2H at Anfield: Liverpool led at half-time in 3 of 4 meetings and won all 4.
- Liverpool home record when leading at half-time: won 8, drew 1, lost 0.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableLiverpool/LiverpoolEstimated chance40%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' home/away splits show a tendency for matches with over 2.5 goals, and Liverpool's attacking output at Anfield supports at least a couple of goals, while Brentford's away defense is leaky.
- Liverpool home matches average 2.89 total goals (33 scored, 19 conceded in 18 games).
- Brentford away matches average 2.83 total goals (21 scored, 30 conceded in 18 games).
- Liverpool last 5 home matches: 3-1, 2-0, 1-1, 0-2, 4-0 – 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
- Brentford last 5 away matches: 0-3, 1-2, 0-0, 4-3, 1-0 – 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Brentford's historical struggles to score at Anfield, combined with their occasional away blanks and Liverpool's decent home defensive record, suggest a clean sheet for Liverpool is more likely than both teams scoring.
- Liverpool kept 5 clean sheets in 18 home league matches this season.
- Brentford failed to score in 6 of 18 away league matches this season.
- H2H at Anfield: Brentford scored 0 goals in 4 Premier League visits.
- Brentford last 5 away matches: failed to score in 2 (0-3 vs Man City, 0-0 vs Leeds).
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The strong H2H trend of Liverpool shutting out Brentford at Anfield, along with Brentford's away scoring inconsistency, makes a home clean sheet a solid probability.
- Liverpool kept 5 clean sheets in 18 home league matches this season.
- Brentford failed to score in 6 of 18 away league matches this season.
- H2H at Anfield: Liverpool kept 4 clean sheets in 4 Premier League meetings.
- Brentford last 5 away matches: failed to score in 2.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostBrentford not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to have low-scoring first halves, with Liverpool averaging 0.6 and Brentford 0.7 first-half goals in their respective home/away splits, making under 1.5 first-half goals likely.
- Liverpool average 0.6 first-half goals at home this season.
- Brentford average 0.7 first-half goals away this season.
- Liverpool last 5 home matches first-half goals: 2, 2, 1, 0, 1 – only 1 had over 1.5 first-half goals.
- Brentford last 5 away matches first-half goals: 0, 0, 0, 3, 1 – only 1 had over 1.5 first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
While both teams' corner averages are moderate, recent matches show a tendency for higher corner counts when combining both teams, though the evidence is mixed, leading to low confidence.
- Liverpool average 5.8 corners per match overall, but 6.2 at home in recent matches.
- Brentford average 4.7 corners per match overall, but 5.1 away in recent matches.
- Liverpool last 5 home matches: corners totals of 9, 5, 6, 1, 6 – average 5.4, but 3 of 5 had over 9.5 total corners.
- Brentford last 5 away matches: corners totals of 2, 8, 9, 8, 1 – average 5.6, but 3 of 5 had over 9.5 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Liverpool's home attacking volume and Brentford's occasional high shot-on-target away games suggest a combined total over 8.5 is possible, but inconsistency makes this a low-confidence call.
- Liverpool average 5.6 shots on target per match overall, but 6.1 at home in recent matches.
- Brentford average 3.4 shots on target per match overall, but 3.8 away in recent matches.
- Liverpool last 5 home matches: shots on target totals of 5, 5, 4, 0, 16 – average 6.0, but 3 of 5 had over 8.5 combined.
- Brentford last 5 away matches: shots on target totals of 2, 4, 4, 7, 2 – average 3.8, but 3 of 5 had over 8.5 combined.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance55%

Head-to-Head

4W · 0D · 1W

L3-2BrentfordvLiverpoolOct 25, 2025PL

W0-2BrentfordvLiverpoolJan 18, 2025PL

W2-0LiverpoolvBrentfordAug 25, 2024PL

W1-4BrentfordvLiverpoolFeb 17, 2024PL

W3-0LiverpoolvBrentfordNov 12, 2023PL

Liverpool: 3 clean sheets3.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Premier League 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
5	Liverpool Promotion - Champions League (League phase)	37	17	8	12	62-52	59	LDLWW
9	Brentford	37	14	10	13	54-51	52	DLWLD

7pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Liverpool

L2-4Aston VillaMay 15PL

D1-1ChelseaMay 9PL

L2-3Manchester UnitedMay 3PL

W3-1Crystal PalaceApr 25PL

W2-1EvertonApr 19PL

L0-2Paris Saint GermainApr 14UEF

W2-0FulhamApr 11PL

L0-2Paris Saint GermainApr 8UEF

L0-4Manchester CityApr 4FAC

L1-2BrightonMar 21PL

W4-0GalatasarayMar 18UEF

D1-1TottenhamMar 15PL

L0-1GalatasarayMar 10UEF

W3-1WolvesMar 6FAC

L1-2WolvesMar 3PL

Brentford

D2-2Crystal PalaceMay 17PL

L0-3Manchester CityMay 9PL

W3-0West HamMay 2PL

L1-2Manchester UnitedApr 27PL

D0-0FulhamApr 18PL

D2-2EvertonApr 11PL

D0-0LeedsMar 21PL

D2-2WolvesMar 16PL

D0-0BournemouthMar 3PL

W4-3BurnleyFeb 28PL

L0-2BrightonFeb 21PL

W1-0MacclesfieldFeb 16FAC

D1-1ArsenalFeb 12PL

W3-2NewcastleFeb 7PL

W1-0Aston VillaFeb 1PL

Squad & Injuries

Liverpool

32 available

Attackers6

Midfielders12

Defenders9

Goalkeeper5

Brentford

28 available

Attackers5

Midfielders10

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Liverpool

Liverpool at half-time / Liverpool at full-time

No

Under 1.5

Result0 of 2 landed

Goals0 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Liverpool

Brentford

Squad & Injuries

Liverpool

Brentford