Fulham vs Newcastle: result, stats and head-to-head

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
H2H psychology favors Newcastle with back-to-back wins, and Fulham's blunt attack (0.9 goals avg over last 15) struggles to break down a Newcastle side that has found form in recent weeks.
- Newcastle have won the last two H2Hs 2-1 (Oct 2025 PL, Dec 2025 EFL Cup).
- Fulham's recent form: 1W-2D-2L in last 5 PL matches, scoring only 2 goals in that span.
- Newcastle away record: 4W-5D-9L, but they have won 2 of their last 5 away games.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostNewcastleEstimated chance42%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
With limited stakes and both teams safe, a draw is a plausible outcome, but Newcastle's superior recent H2H and slightly better form make them less likely to lose.
- Eight straight non-draw H2Hs, but both teams are mid-table with nothing to play for.
- Fulham home record: 10W-2D-6L; Newcastle away: 4W-5D-9L.
- Newcastle have lost only 1 of their last 5 away matches (W2 D2 L1).
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or NewcastleEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Newcastle's tendency to start fast and Fulham's slow starts (0.3 first-half goals avg) give Newcastle a slight edge to lead at the break.
- Newcastle led at halftime in 40% of last 15 matches; Fulham led in 20%.
- Fulham trailed at halftime in 27% of matches; Newcastle trailed in 33%.
- Newcastle scored first in 3 of the last 5 H2Hs.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostNewcastleEstimated chance38%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
H2H pattern of 3-goal games and Newcastle's high-scoring tendencies (both scoring and conceding) suggest this match will follow the trend, despite Fulham's low scoring average.
- Last 3 H2Hs all had exactly 3 goals (2-1 results).
- Newcastle's last 15 matches: 1.5 goals scored, 1.9 conceded per game.
- Fulham's last 15 matches: 0.9 goals scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have leaky defenses and consistent scoring records, making BTTS a strong likelihood, reinforced by H2H history.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 H2Hs.
- Newcastle have scored in 12 of their last 15 matches; Fulham have scored in 9 of their last 15.
- Fulham have kept only 4 clean sheets in their last 15; Newcastle have kept 3.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Newcastle's strong first-half scoring record (1.0 avg) and H2H trend of early goals make Over 0.5 first-half goals highly probable.
- Newcastle average 1.0 first-half goals in last 15 matches; Fulham average 0.3.
- Newcastle led at halftime in 40% of recent matches; Fulham led in only 20%.
- In the last 5 H2Hs, there was a first-half goal in 4 matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to concede late, and the pattern of open second halves in recent meetings supports Over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Newcastle concede 1.9 goals per game on average, often in the second half.
- Fulham's last 5 matches: 4 had second-half goals, with 3 having 2+ second-half goals.
- H2H trend: 3 of last 5 meetings had 2+ second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Fulham's high corner count at home and Newcastle's tendency to concede corners (opponent corners avg 5.1) push the total over 9.5.
- Fulham average 6.4 corners per game; Newcastle average 4.5.
- Fulham's home matches average 10.2 total corners; Newcastle's away matches average 8.8.
- Last 5 H2Hs: total corners were 9, 3, 7, 9, 11 (avg 7.8, but 3 of 5 had 9+).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate discipline records, and H2H history shows a slight tendency for cards, though the end-of-season context may reduce intensity.
- Fulham average 1.8 yellow cards per game; Newcastle average 2.1.
- Newcastle have received 2+ cards in 10 of their last 15 matches.
- Last 5 H2Hs: total cards were 3, 5, 4, 2, 4 (avg 3.6).
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Newcastle's high shot volume and Fulham's decent home attacking output suggest a combined total over 8.5 shots on target.
- Fulham average 3.9 shots on target per game; Newcastle average 5.1.
- Newcastle's away matches average 9.2 total shots on target; Fulham's home matches average 8.1.
- Last 5 H2Hs: total shots on target were 8, 9, 7, 10, 6 (avg 8.0).
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance58%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
13	Fulham	37	14	7	16	45-51	49	DLLWD
11	Newcastle	37	14	7	16	53-53	49	WDWLL

Fulham2Newcastle0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 8.5

Draw or Newcastle

Over 0.5

Yes

Over 9.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Fulham

Newcastle

Squad & Injuries

Fulham

Newcastle