Mirassol11 – 0Fluminense RJ0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Mirassol's home resilience and Fluminense's poor away record, combined with the visitors' likely rotation, make Mirassol or Draw a solid double chance.

• Mirassol have avoided defeat in 5 of 8 home games this season.
• Fluminense have failed to win in 5 of 7 away matches.
• Mirassol's last 5 home form: W-D-W-L-D, showing resilience.
• Fluminense's away form: only 2 wins, both against bottom-half teams.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonMirassol or DrawEstimated chance60%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

While a full draw is plausible, the low probability reflects the rarity of this exact sequence, though the conditions are favorable.

• Mirassol have drawn at halftime and fulltime in 2 of 8 home games.
• Fluminense have drawn at halftime and fulltime in 1 of 7 away games.
• Overall, both teams have a moderate draw rate: Mirassol 27%, Fluminense 19%.
• The match context suggests a tight, low-scoring affair.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

With both teams managing heavy schedules and Mirassol's home games trending low-scoring, under 2.5 goals is likely.

• Mirassol home matches average 2.6 total goals, but 5 of 8 home games had under 2.5 goals.
• Fluminense away matches average 3.0 total goals, but 4 of 7 away games had under 2.5 goals.
• Both teams have scored and conceded at moderate rates, but fatigue from travel may reduce attacking intensity.
• H2H: both matches had under 2.5 goals (2-1 and 1-0).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Low first-half scoring averages for both teams, combined with potential fatigue, point to a quiet opening period.

• Mirassol average 0.7 first-half goals at home, with 5 of 8 home games having under 1.5 first-half goals.
• Fluminense average 0.7 first-half goals away, with 5 of 7 away games having under 1.5 first-half goals.
• Both teams tend to start cautiously: Mirassol led at halftime in only 33% of matches, Fluminense in 27%.
• Fatigue from midweek travel may lead to a slow start.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have moderate corner numbers, and the expected cautious play may limit set-piece opportunities, keeping total corners under 9.5.

• Mirassol average 5.2 corners per game, but at home they average 5.4 with opponents averaging 4.6, total ~10.0.
• Fluminense average 4.8 corners per game, away they average 4.3 with opponents averaging 3.7, total ~8.0.
• In Mirassol's last 5 home games, total corners averaged 9.2.
• Fluminense's last 5 away games averaged 7.8 total corners.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Mirassol's aggressive style and the high-stakes context could push the card count over 4.5, though Fluminense's discipline keeps confidence low.

• Mirassol average 3.0 yellow cards per game, with 0.8 red cards, indicating high card frequency.
• Fluminense average 2.3 yellow cards, but away games see an increase to 2.7.
• In Mirassol's last 5 home games, total cards (yellow+red) averaged 5.2.
• The match has relegation stakes for Mirassol, which may increase intensity and fouls.