Shelbourne22 – 1Waterford1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Shelbourne's overall form and Waterford's winless season give them the edge, but Shelbourne's poor home record and Waterford's recent H2H competitiveness temper confidence.

• Shelbourne have won 5 of their last 15 matches, with 2 wins in the last 5.
• Waterford are winless in 16 league games this season (0W-7D-9L).
• Shelbourne's away record is strong (5W-2D-1L), but at home they are winless (0W-4D-4L).
• H2H last 5: Shelbourne 2W-2D-1L, with Waterford winning 1-0 at Shelbourne in May 2025.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonShelbourneEstimated chance45%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Waterford's inability to win any league match this season makes Shelbourne not losing highly probable, supported by Shelbourne's low loss rate and H2H pattern.

• Shelbourne have lost only 5 of 16 league matches this season.
• Waterford have won 0 of 16 league matches.
• Shelbourne have drawn 4 of 8 home matches; Waterford have drawn 1 of 8 away matches.
• H2H last 5: 4 of 5 matches ended with Shelbourne avoiding defeat (2W-2D).

BetBugs · Double ChancewonShelbourne or DrawEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams rarely lead at half-time, with Shelbourne drawing most often and Waterford often trailing but not by much; a stalemate at the break is the most likely outcome.

• Shelbourne led at half-time in only 20% of last 15 matches; trailed in 27%; drawn in 53%.
• Waterford led at half-time in 13% of last 15 matches; trailed in 60%; drawn in 27%.
• Shelbourne's first-half goal difference is -0.1; Waterford's is -0.6.
• H2H last 5: 3 draws at half-time, 1 Shelbourne lead, 1 Waterford lead.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Shelbourne's slight second-half edge and Waterford's tendency to fade after the break suggest Shelbourne could win the second period, but low confidence due to Shelbourne's overall inconsistency.

• Shelbourne have a positive second-half goal difference (+0.1 per game) in last 15 matches.
• Waterford have a negative second-half goal difference (-0.7 per game) in last 15 matches.
• Shelbourne won the second half in 5 of last 15 matches; Waterford lost the second half in 8 of last 15.
• Waterford's away second-half record is poor: conceded 14 of 23 away goals after the break.

BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableShelbourneEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The pattern of a tight first half followed by Shelbourne pulling away is plausible given Waterford's second-half struggles, but Shelbourne's home winless run makes it a low-probability specific combo.

• Shelbourne drew at half-time in 53% of matches and won 33% of matches overall.
• Waterford drew at half-time in 27% and lost 56% of matches overall.
• H2H last 5: 2 matches were draw at HT and Shelbourne won at FT.
• Shelbourne's home matches: 4 draws at HT, 0 wins at FT.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / ShelbourneEstimated chance25%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' recent matches and especially Waterford's leaky away defense push the expected total above 2.5 goals, despite Shelbourne's occasional low-scoring games.

• Shelbourne's last 15 matches average 3.0 total goals (1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded).
• Waterford's last 15 matches average 3.1 total goals (0.9 scored, 2.2 conceded).
• Shelbourne's home matches average 3.25 total goals (11 scored, 15 conceded in 8 games).
• Waterford's away matches average 3.75 total goals (7 scored, 23 conceded in 8 games).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams regularly find the net and concede, making BTTS likely, especially given Waterford's defensive frailties and Shelbourne's consistent scoring.

• Shelbourne have scored in 13 of their last 15 matches.
• Waterford have scored in 9 of their last 15 matches.
• Shelbourne have conceded in 12 of their last 15 matches.
• Waterford have conceded in 14 of their last 15 matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

High frequency of first-half goals in both teams' recent matches and H2H suggests at least one goal before the break is probable.

• Shelbourne's last 15 matches: 0.6 first-half goals scored, 0.7 conceded; 67% had a first-half goal.
• Waterford's last 15 matches: 0.4 first-half goals scored, 1.0 conceded; 80% had a first-half goal.
• Waterford trailed at half-time in 60% of matches; Shelbourne led at half-time in only 20%.
• H2H last 5: 4 of 5 matches had at least one first-half goal.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Second-half totals are borderline; Waterford's defensive issues could push it over, but their low scoring and Shelbourne's moderate output make it a coin flip.

• Shelbourne's last 15 matches average 1.9 second-half goals (0.9 scored, 1.0 conceded).
• Waterford's last 15 matches average 1.7 second-half goals (0.5 scored, 1.2 conceded).
• Shelbourne's home matches average 2.1 second-half goals; Waterford's away matches average 2.4 second-half goals.
• Waterford concede heavily in second halves (1.2 per game), but score only 0.5.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Shelbourne's high card count alone often exceeds 3.5, and with Waterford contributing, the total cards line is likely to be surpassed.

• Shelbourne average 3.4 yellow cards per match in last 15.
• Waterford average 1.7 yellow cards per match in last 15.
• Combined average yellow cards: 5.1 per match.
• Shelbourne's home matches average 3.5 yellows; Waterford's away matches average 1.6 yellows.