Liga IFull time

Predictions graded

CFR Cluj1Arges Pitesti1

HT 0–0Fri 22 May 2026, 17:30 Predictions graded

Predictions6–460%

Edges3–260%

PossPossession 57%–43%ShotsShots 11–10On targetOn target 4–3CornersCorners 3–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 20 May 2026, 07:20 · Europe/Bucharest

A low-scoring, cagey affair is expected in Cluj.

The best value lies in under 2.5 goals and under 0.5 first-half goals, with both teams consistently producing tight play-off matches. Avoid backing CFR at short odds given the reduced stakes.

Context

CFR's official site announced European qualification after the 0-0 draw with Dinamo on 16 May.
- CFR sit on 42 points, 7 behind leaders Craiova with one round left, so the title is out of reach.
- The club is framing this match as a tribute occasion for a club figure, not a must-win.
Arges lost 4 of their last 5 play-off games (D-L-L-L-L), with the only draw a 2-2 home result against Rapid.
- In those 5 matches, Arges scored just 3 goals and conceded 7.
- Away from home in the play-off, Arges have 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, failing to score in 2 of those 4.
Last 5 H2H results: 1-0 CFR, 3-0 Arges, 2-0 Arges, 2-2 draw, 1-0 CFR.
- In 4 of those 5 matches, at least one team failed to score.
- CFR won the play-off meeting in April 2026 1-0 at Arges, with a goalless first half.
CFR home play-off record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses. Goals: 3 scored, 1 conceded.
- Clean sheets in 2 of 4 home play-off matches.
- 3 of 4 home play-off matches were 0-0 at half-time.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
CFR's strong home form and Arges's poor recent run, combined with CFR's H2H edge in the latest meeting, give them a moderate advantage despite reduced stakes.
- CFR Cluj home record in play-off: 2W-2D-0L, goals 3-1 (last 4 home matches).
- Arges Pitesti away record in play-off: 1W-1D-2L, goals 2-3 (last 4 away matches).
- CFR Cluj last 5 form: D-D-W-W-W (3 wins, 2 draws), Arges Pitesti last 5 form: D-L-L-L-L (4 losses, 1 draw).
- H2H last 5: CFR won 2, Arges won 2, 1 draw; but CFR won most recent meeting 1-0 away.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCFR ClujEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
CFR's solid home defensive record (only 1 goal conceded in 4 home play-off games) and Arges's struggles make a CFR win or draw highly likely.
- CFR Cluj unbeaten at home in play-off (2W-2D-0L).
- Arges Pitesti away record: only 1 win in last 4 away play-off matches.
- CFR Cluj overall play-off form: 4W-3D-2L, Arges: 1W-3D-5L.
- H2H at CFR: last 2 meetings at CFR were 0-2 loss and 1-0 win, but CFR's current home resilience is strong.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCFR Cluj or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The high frequency of level scores at the break in both teams' play-off matches points to a drawn first half.
- CFR Cluj home play-off: 3 of 4 matches were drawn at half-time.
- Arges Pitesti away play-off: 3 of 4 matches were drawn at half-time.
- CFR Cluj overall play-off: 6 of 9 matches drawn at half-time.
- Arges Pitesti overall play-off: 5 of 9 matches drawn at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
CFR's tendency to edge second halves at home and Arges's vulnerability after the break give CFR a slight edge, but the low scoring nature limits confidence.
- CFR Cluj home play-off: won second half in 2 of 4 matches, drew 2.
- Arges Pitesti away play-off: lost second half in 2 of 4 matches, drew 2.
- CFR Cluj overall play-off: won second half in 4 of 9 matches.
- Arges Pitesti overall play-off: lost second half in 4 of 9 matches.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableCFR ClujEstimated chance45%

Goals2 of 5 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams consistently produce low-scoring games in the play-off phase, with strong defensive records and limited attacking output, making under 2.5 goals the clear expectation.
- CFR Cluj home play-off matches: 3 of 4 had under 2.5 goals (0-0, 1-0, 1-1, 3-2).
- Arges Pitesti away play-off matches: 3 of 4 had under 2.5 goals (0-1, 1-2, 0-0, 1-0).
- CFR Cluj overall play-off: 7 of 9 matches under 2.5 goals.
- Arges Pitesti overall play-off: 7 of 9 matches under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The H2H pattern of clean sheets and both teams' low-scoring tendencies in the play-off suggest at least one side will fail to score.
- CFR Cluj home play-off: kept clean sheet in 2 of 4 matches.
- Arges Pitesti away play-off: failed to score in 2 of 4 matches.
- H2H last 5: 4 of 5 matches saw at least one team fail to score.
- CFR Cluj overall play-off: 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
CFR's defensive solidity at home and Arges's attacking struggles give a moderate chance of a home clean sheet, but CFR's occasional defensive lapses keep confidence low.
- CFR Cluj home play-off: 2 clean sheets in 4 matches.
- Arges Pitesti away play-off: failed to score in 2 of 4 matches.
- CFR Cluj overall play-off: 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Arges Pitesti overall play-off: only 5 goals in 9 matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostArges Pitesti not to scoreEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly in play-off matches, with a high frequency of goalless first halves, making under 0.5 first-half goals a strong possibility.
- CFR Cluj home play-off: 3 of 4 matches had 0-0 at half-time.
- Arges Pitesti away play-off: 3 of 4 matches had 0-0 at half-time.
- CFR Cluj overall play-off: 6 of 9 matches had 0-0 at half-time.
- Arges Pitesti overall play-off: 5 of 9 matches had 0-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Matches tend to open up after the break, with the majority of play-off games for both teams featuring second-half goals.
- CFR Cluj home play-off: all 4 matches had at least one second-half goal.
- Arges Pitesti away play-off: 3 of 4 matches had at least one second-half goal.
- CFR Cluj overall play-off: 7 of 9 matches had at least one second-half goal.
- Arges Pitesti overall play-off: 6 of 9 matches had at least one second-half goal.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance70%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' play-off matches tend to produce moderate corner counts, with the majority falling under 9.5 total corners.
- CFR Cluj home play-off: average corners per match = 4.5 (CFR) + 3.5 (opponent) = 8.0 total.
- Arges Pitesti away play-off: average corners per match = 4.0 (Arges) + 5.5 (opponent) = 9.5 total.
- CFR Cluj overall play-off: 7 of 9 matches had under 9.5 corners.
- Arges Pitesti overall play-off: 5 of 9 matches had under 9.5 corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency to accumulate cards in play-off matches, with Arges particularly prone to bookings, pushing the total over 4.5.
- CFR Cluj home play-off: average yellow cards per match = 2.0 (CFR) + 2.5 (opponent) = 4.5 total.
- Arges Pitesti away play-off: average yellow cards per match = 3.3 (Arges) + 2.3 (opponent) = 5.6 total.
- CFR Cluj overall play-off: 6 of 9 matches had over 4.5 cards.
- Arges Pitesti overall play-off: 7 of 9 matches had over 4.5 cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

W0-1Arges PitestivCFR 1907 ClujApr 17, 2026LIG

L3-0Arges PitestivCFR 1907 ClujNov 29, 2025LIG

W0-2CFR 1907 ClujvArges PitestiJul 27, 2025LIG

D2-2Arges PitestivCFR 1907 ClujOct 29, 2024CUP

L1-0CFR 1907 ClujvArges PitestiApr 6, 2023CUP

CFR Cluj: 2 clean sheetsArges Pitesti: 2 clean sheets2.2 goals/game avg

League Table

Liga I 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
3	CFR Cluj Conference League Qualification	9	4	3	2	7-6	42	DDWWW
6	Arges Pitesti	9	1	3	5	5-9	31	DLLLL

11pt gap between teams

Recent Form

CFR Cluj

D0-0Dinamo BucurestiMay 16LIG

D0-0Universitatea CraiovaMay 8LIG

W2-1RapidMay 4LIG

W1-0Universitatea ClujApr 25LIG

W1-0Arges PitestiApr 17LIG

D1-1Dinamo BucurestiApr 12LIG

L0-2Universitatea CraiovaApr 6LIG

W3-2ASA Targu MuresMar 28FRI

W1-0RapidMar 20LIG

L1-2Universitatea ClujMar 16LIG

W2-0Dinamo BucurestiMar 9LIG

W2-1Farul ConstantaFeb 28LIG

W2-1Petrolul PloiestiFeb 21LIG

W1-0AFC HermannstadtFeb 16LIG

D1-1RapidFeb 10CUP

Arges Pitesti

D2-2RapidMay 15LIG

L1-2Dinamo BucurestiMay 10LIG

L0-1Universitatea ClujMay 2LIG

L0-1Universitatea CraiovaApr 27LIG

L0-1CFR 1907 ClujApr 17LIG

D0-0RapidApr 13LIG

D1-1Dinamo BucurestiApr 4LIG

L0-1Universitatea ClujMar 21LIG

W1-0Universitatea CraiovaMar 13LIG

D0-0Unirea SloboziaMar 8LIG

W1-0Dinamo BucurestiMar 1LIG

W1-0Farul ConstantaFeb 22LIG

L1-2Petrolul PloiestiFeb 13LIG

W2-1DumbrăviţaFeb 10CUP

W3-1AFC HermannstadtFeb 6LIG

Squad & Injuries

CFR Cluj

29 available

Attackers4

Midfielders14

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Arges Pitesti

29 available

Attackers7

Midfielders9

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 2.5

No

Under 0.5

Over 4.5

CFR Cluj or Draw

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 5 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

CFR Cluj

Arges Pitesti

Squad & Injuries

CFR Cluj

Arges Pitesti