EliteserienFull time

Predictions graded

IK Start1Bodo/Glimt4

HT 1–2Wed 20 May 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–367%

Edges5–183%

PossPossession 23%–77%ShotsShots 9–16On targetOn target 2–8CornersCorners 1–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 15 May 2026, 23:49 · Europe/Bucharest

Bodo/Glimt are heavy favorites against a winless Start side, but the best value lies in ‘Both Teams to Score: No’ at 2.05, where our 60% probability estimate gives an 11-point edge over the implied 48.8%.

Start’s attack is toothless, and Bodo/Glimt’s defense should keep a clean sheet.

Context

Start's record is 0W 4D 4L, with only six goals scored in eight matches.
- They failed to score in three of their last five league games.
- At home, they average 0.75 goals and have drawn all three matches against weaker sides than Bodo/Glimt.
Bodo/Glimt won 4 of their last 5 Eliteserien matches, including a 5-0 home win over Start on 30 April.
- They average 2.5 goals scored per game and have kept three clean sheets in seven matches.
- The 5-0 loss at Viking is an outlier; they bounced back with a 2-0 win at Lillestrom.
Bodo/Glimt have led at half-time in 60% of league matches this season.
- Start have trailed at half-time in 40% of their games.
- In the 30 April meeting, Bodo/Glimt led 2-0 at half-time and won 5-0.
Azar Karadas has been Start's manager since 8 February 2024, per Soccerbase.
- A coaching staff addition in January 2026 did not alter the team's trajectory.
- Start's winless run has continued under the same leadership.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 6

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Bodo/Glimt

1.22fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 82%

0.0ppshort

Bodo/Glimt's dominant H2H record (5-0 and 6-0 wins) and Start's winless league campaign (0W 4D 4L) make an away win highly likely, but the odds are already very short.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Bodo/Glimt

1.05fair 1.14

BetBugs 88% · Market 95%

0.0ppshort

Start's inability to win combined with Bodo/Glimt's quality makes a double chance on the away side a very safe outcome, but the market has priced it almost as a certainty.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 2.5

1.33fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 75.2%

0.0ppshort

Bodo/Glimt's attacking firepower and Start's defensive frailties point to a high-scoring game, though Start's low scoring output tempers confidence slightly.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 3.5

1.80fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 55.6%

−1.0ppshort

Bodo/Glimt's tendency to start fast and Start's vulnerability early in games make multiple first-half goals likely.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Bodo/Glimt's superior form, dominant H2H record, and Start's relegation struggles make an away win highly likely.
- Bodo/Glimt won 5-0 in the most recent H2H (2026-04-30) and 6-0 in the 2020 meeting at home.
- Start are winless in 8 league matches (0W 4D 4L) and sit 15th in relegation zone.
- Bodo/Glimt average 2.5 goals scored per game vs Start's 1.9 goals conceded per game.
- Bodo/Glimt have 4 wins in last 5 league matches; Start have 0 wins in last 5.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBodo/GlimtEstimated chance72%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Start's inability to win combined with Bodo/Glimt's quality makes a double chance on the away side a very safe outcome.
- Start have not won any of their 8 league games this season (0W 4D 4L).
- Bodo/Glimt have lost only 2 of 7 league matches, both against top-5 sides.
- H2H last 5: Bodo/Glimt 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 Start win (2018).
- Start's home record: 0W 3D 0L, but against weaker opposition than Bodo/Glimt.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Bodo/GlimtEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Bodo/Glimt's strong first-half performances and Start's slow starts give the visitors a clear edge at the break.
- Bodo/Glimt lead at half-time in 60% of matches; Start lead in only 20%.
- Start have trailed at half-time in 40% of matches, including against weaker sides.
- Bodo/Glimt scored first-half goals in 5 of last 7 league games.
- Last H2H: Bodo/Glimt led 2-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonBodo/GlimtEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Bodo/Glimt's ability to control games from the start and Start's lack of resilience support a half-time/full-time double for the visitors.
- Bodo/Glimt led at half-time and won full-time in 4 of their 7 league matches.
- Start have not won a single match this season, making a comeback unlikely.
- In the last H2H, Bodo/Glimt led at half-time and won comfortably.
- Bodo/Glimt's goal difference is +7; Start's is -10.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableBodo/Glimt / Bodo/GlimtEstimated chance50%

Goals3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Bodo/Glimt's attacking firepower and Start's defensive frailties point to a high-scoring game, though Start's low scoring output tempers confidence slightly.
- Bodo/Glimt's league matches average 3.0 total goals (14 scored, 7 conceded in 7 games).
- Start's league matches average 2.75 total goals (6 scored, 16 conceded in 8 games).
- Last H2H ended 5-0; 3 of last 5 H2H had over 2.5 goals.
- Bodo/Glimt scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 7 league matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Start's offensive struggles against a solid Bodo/Glimt defense suggest at least one team will fail to score, likely the hosts.
- Start failed to score in 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- Bodo/Glimt kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 7 league matches.
- In the last 5 H2H, Start scored only 2 goals total (both in one match in 2018).
- Start average just 0.75 goals per home game this season.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Bodo/Glimt have defensive quality, their away clean sheet rate is not dominant enough for high confidence, but Start's weak attack makes it a plausible outcome.
- Bodo/Glimt kept 3 clean sheets in 7 league matches this season.
- Start scored only 6 goals in 8 league matches, with 3 of those at home.
- Last H2H: Bodo/Glimt won 5-0 away at Start.
- Bodo/Glimt's away record: 2W 1D 1L, conceding 6 goals in 4 games (1.5 per game).
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostIK Start not to scoreEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Bodo/Glimt's tendency to start fast and Start's vulnerability early in games make multiple first-half goals likely.
- Bodo/Glimt average 1.2 first-half goals per game; Start concede 0.9 first-half goals per game.
- In the last H2H, Bodo/Glimt led 2-0 at half-time.
- Start trail at half-time in 40% of matches; Bodo/Glimt lead at half-time in 60%.
- Bodo/Glimt scored in the first half in 5 of their last 7 league matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half goals are plausible given Bodo/Glimt's sustained pressure and Start's defensive fatigue, but the exact threshold is uncertain.
- Bodo/Glimt score 1.3 second-half goals on average (2.5 total - 1.2 first half).
- Start concede 1.0 second-half goals on average (1.9 total - 0.9 first half).
- In the last H2H, 3 of 5 goals came in the second half.
- Bodo/Glimt's matches average 1.8 second-half goals (3.0 total - 1.2 first half).
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance48%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Bodo/Glimt's high corner count and Start's tendency to concede corners suggest a total above 9.5, but limited data on Start's opponent corners reduces confidence.
- Bodo/Glimt average 5.8 corners per game; Start average 3.8 corners per game.
- Combined average corners in Bodo/Glimt matches: 5.8 + opponent corners (estimated ~4.5) = ~10.3.
- Start's home matches average 3.8 corners for, but opponent corners data is limited.
- Last H2H: Bodo/Glimt had 13 corners, Start had 4 (total 17).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 3W

L5-0Bodo/GlimtvStartApr 30, 2026ELI

D1-1StartvBodo/GlimtDec 2, 2020ELI

L6-0Bodo/GlimtvStartAug 22, 2020ELI

W1-2Bodo/GlimtvStartSep 23, 2018ELI

L1-0StartvBodo/GlimtMay 21, 2018ELI

Bodo/Glimt: 3 clean sheets3.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Eliteserien 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
15	IK Start Relegation - OBOS-ligaen	8	0	4	4	6-16	4	DLLDL
4	Bodo/Glimt Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	7	4	1	2	14-7	13	LWWWD

9pt gap between teamsIK Start in relegation zone

Recent Form

IK Start

D1-1TromsoMay 3ELI

L0-5Bodo/GlimtApr 30ELI

L1-2Ham-KamApr 26ELI

D1-1MoldeApr 19ELI

L1-3LillestromApr 11ELI

D1-1Sarpsborg 08 FFApr 6ELI

L0-1TromsoMar 27FRI

D1-1AalesundMar 21ELI

L0-2KFUM OsloMar 15ELI

L2-3SandefjordMar 8FRI

D2-2BryneFeb 28FRI

L1-2RosenborgFeb 24FRI

W2-0DonnFeb 17FRI

W2-0LynFeb 13FRI

L0-4VikingFeb 6FRI

Bodo/Glimt

L0-1MoldeMay 4ELI

W5-0StartApr 30ELI

W2-0LillestromApr 26ELI

W3-0AalesundApr 18ELI

D1-1Sarpsborg 08 FFApr 15ELI

L0-5VikingApr 11ELI

W3-0Kristiansund BKApr 6ELI

W4-0LillestromMar 22NM

W3-0Sporting CPMar 11UEF

W2-1MoldeMar 5NM

W2-1InterFeb 24UEF

W3-1InterFeb 18UEF

W2-1Atletico MadridJan 28UEF

W3-1Manchester CityJan 20UEF

W4-1Diosgyori VTKJan 13FRI

Squad & Injuries

IK Start

27 available

Attackers3

Midfielders11

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Bodo/Glimt

26 available

Attackers9

Midfielders9

Defenders5

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

No

Over 1.5

Bodo/Glimt

Draw or Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt / Bodo/Glimt

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Result3 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

IK Start

Bodo/Glimt

Squad & Injuries

IK Start

Bodo/Glimt