Chelsea vs Tottenham: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Chelsea's strong H2H dominance and Tottenham's attacking injuries give the hosts an edge, despite their own poor recent form.
- Chelsea have won the last 4 H2H league meetings, keeping clean sheets in 3 of those 4.
- Tottenham away record: 7W-5D-6L, but only 2 wins in last 10 away league games.
- Chelsea home record: 6W-5D-7L, but recent home form is poor (last 5 home: 1W-1D-3L).
- Tottenham missing Solanke, Maddison not fit for 90 minutes, multiple key injuries.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonChelseaEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tottenham's poor away form and historical struggles at Stamford Bridge make a Chelsea win or draw highly likely.
- Tottenham have won only 2 of their last 10 away league matches.
- Chelsea have lost only 1 of the last 5 H2H meetings at home (W3 D1 L1).
- Tottenham's away goals scored average is 1.39, but they face a Chelsea side that has kept 3 clean sheets in last 4 H2H.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonChelsea or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have poor first-half records, making a stalemate at the break the most likely outcome.
- Chelsea led at halftime in only 33% of recent matches, trailing in 47%.
- Tottenham led at halftime in only 13% of recent matches, trailing in 53%.
- Last 2 H2H meetings were 0-0 at halftime.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A tight first half followed by Chelsea's superior quality and H2H edge could produce a home win after the break.
- Chelsea have won 4 of last 5 H2H, with 2 of those wins coming after a level first half.
- Tottenham have lost 6 of 18 away games, often conceding late.
- Chelsea's home record shows they score 55% of goals in second half.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/ChelseaEstimated chance25%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Tottenham's attacking absences and Chelsea's recent H2H defensive record suggest at least one team may fail to score.
- Tottenham failed to score in 3 of the last 4 H2H meetings.
- Chelsea kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5 home matches across all competitions.
- Tottenham without Solanke (top scorer) and Maddison managed; they scored only 1 goal in last 2 away league games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Recent H2H trend and both teams' low-scoring form point to a tight, low-scoring affair.
- Last 3 H2H meetings had under 2.5 goals (1-0, 1-0, 2-0).
- Chelsea's last 5 home league games: 1.2 goals scored on average, 1.6 conceded.
- Tottenham's last 5 away league games: 1.0 goals scored on average, 1.4 conceded.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
H2H history suggests a Chelsea clean sheet is possible, but their overall defensive inconsistency lowers confidence.
- Chelsea kept clean sheets in 3 of last 4 H2H meetings.
- Tottenham failed to score in 2 of last 3 away league games.
- Chelsea have only 2 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostTottenham not to scoreEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Low first-half scoring averages and recent H2H trend support a goalless first half.
- Chelsea average 0.7 first-half goals, Tottenham average 0.5.
- Last 2 H2H meetings had 0 first-half goals.
- Tottenham's last 5 away league games: only 1 first-half goal scored in total.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner averages and H2H history suggest a high corner count.
- Chelsea average 6.8 corners per game, Tottenham 5.6.
- Last 5 H2H meetings averaged 10.2 corners.
- Chelsea's last 5 home games averaged 11.2 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
High card averages for both teams, especially Tottenham, make over 4.5 cards likely in a tense London derby.
- Chelsea average 2.3 yellow cards, Tottenham 3.1.
- Last 5 H2H meetings averaged 4.8 cards.
- Tottenham's away games average 5.2 cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance65%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	Chelsea	36	13	10	13	55-49	49	DLLLL
17	Tottenham	36	9	11	16	46-55	38	DWWDL

Chelsea2Tottenham1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

No

Under 2.5

Under 0.5

Chelsea or Draw

Over 9.5

Over 4.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals0 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Chelsea

Tottenham

Squad & Injuries

Chelsea

Tottenham