Liga IFull timeFeatured

Predictions graded

Universitatea Craiova5Universitatea Cluj0

HT 2–0Sun 17 May 2026, 17:30 Predictions graded

Predictions4–640%

Edges1–420%

PossPossession 56%–44%ShotsShots 22–5On targetOn target 9–2CornersCorners 5–1

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 May 2026, 22:22 · Europe/Bucharest

Universitatea Cluj have kept three straight clean sheets against Craiova, including a 4-0 rout in April, and the away win at 3.80 offers a 14-point value edge.

The safest play is Draw or Cluj at 1.88, while Under 1.5 first-half goals is the highest-confidence bet given both teams' slow starts.

Context

Craiova lost 4-0 away to Cluj on 13 Apr 2026, managing 23 shots but no goals.
- The two prior H2Hs ended 0-0, leaving Craiova scoreless for 270+ minutes against Cluj.
- Craiova average only 1.2 goals per game over their last 15, and Cluj concede just 0.8.
Cluj's away record in the Championship Round: 2W-0D-2L, with wins over Rapid and Arges, and losses to CFR Cluj and Dinamo.
- They have kept clean sheets in both away wins, but conceded in both losses.
- Overall, Cluj have won 4 of their last 5 matches, with the only loss coming away to CFR Cluj.
Craiova's home Championship Round results: 2-1 vs Dinamo, 1-0 vs Rapid, 2-0 vs CFR Cluj, 0-1 vs Arges.
- They have scored only 5 goals in 4 home games, averaging 1.25 per match.
- Craiova have kept three clean sheets at home, but Cluj's recent H2H dominance suggests they can breach this defense.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Recent H2H dominance (4-0 win, two clean sheets) and Cluj's superior attacking form give them a slight edge, though Craiova's strong home record and top-of-table motivation keep it close.
- Universitatea Cluj won the last Liga I H2H 4-0 on 13 Apr 2026, and Craiova have failed to score in the last two meetings (0-0 on 1 Dec 2025, 4-0 loss).
- Universitatea Cluj's recent form (last 5): WWLLW, including a 4-0 win over Craiova; Craiova's last 5: DWWWL, with a 4-0 loss to Cluj.
- Universitatea Cluj have a strong away record in the Championship Round: 2 wins, 2 losses, goals 4-4; Craiova's home record: 3 wins, 1 loss, goals 5-2.
- Universitatea Cluj average 2.1 goals per game over the last 15, while Craiova concede only 0.7, but Cluj's attack has been potent against Craiova recently.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostUniversitatea ClujEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Craiova's inability to score against Cluj recently and Cluj's strong H2H record make a home win less likely; double chance covers the draw and away win scenarios.
- Craiova have drawn 2 of their last 5 home matches (vs FCSB 2-2, vs Dinamo 2-2 in cup), and Cluj have drawn 0 of their last 5 away.
- H2H last 5: 2 draws, 2 Cluj wins, 1 Craiova win; Craiova have not beaten Cluj in the last 3 meetings.
- Craiova's home form: 3W-0D-1L in Championship Round, but the loss was 0-1 vs Arges Pitesti, showing vulnerability.
- Cluj's away form: 2W-0D-2L, with losses to CFR Cluj and Dinamo, but wins over Rapid and Arges.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or Universitatea ClujEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high draw rates at half-time, and recent H2H first halves have been evenly matched, making a draw at the break the most likely outcome.
- Craiova's half-time results in last 15: 27% leading, 20% trailing, 53% drawing.
- Cluj's half-time results: 40% leading, 13% trailing, 47% drawing.
- H2H last 5 first halves: 3 draws, 1 Cluj lead, 1 Craiova lead.
- Craiova's home first halves: 0.3 goals for, 0.3 against; Cluj's away first halves: 0.5 goals for, 0.5 against.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cluj's stronger second-half performances and the psychological edge from the recent 4-0 win suggest they could edge the second period, but Craiova's home resilience makes it a low-confidence call.
- Cluj have won the second half in 3 of their last 5 matches (vs Rapid 1-0, Arges 1-0, Craiova 4-0).
- Craiova have lost the second half in 2 of their last 5 (vs Cluj 0-4, vs Arges 0-1).
- Cluj's second-half goal difference in last 15: +0.8 (1.1 for, 0.3 against); Craiova's: +0.5 (0.9 for, 0.4 against).
- In the last H2H, Cluj dominated the second half 4-0.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableUniversitatea ClujEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Cluj have shown the ability to win after a drawn first half, the sample size is small, and Craiova's home strength makes this a speculative outcome.
- Craiova have drawn at HT and lost at FT in 1 of their last 15 (vs Arges 0-1).
- Cluj have drawn at HT and won at FT in 2 of their last 15 (vs Rapid 1-0, vs Arges 1-0).
- H2H last meeting: Cluj led 2-0 at HT and won 4-0, but the previous two were 0-0 draws at HT and FT.
- Craiova's home HT-FT pattern: 3 wins when leading at HT, 1 loss when drawing at HT.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Universitatea ClujEstimated chance25%

Goals2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent H2H shows Craiova struggling to score against Cluj, and Cluj's defensive record suggests a clean sheet is plausible, making BTTS No likely.
- Craiova have failed to score in their last two H2H meetings vs Cluj (0-0, 0-4).
- Craiova average only 1.2 goals per game over the last 15, and Cluj concede just 0.8 goals per game.
- Cluj have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 matches (vs Rapid 1-0, Arges 1-0, Craiova 4-0).
- Craiova have scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches, but Cluj's defense has been solid, conceding only 1 goal in their last 3.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Despite Cluj's high-scoring reputation, recent H2H and Craiova's low-scoring home trend point to a tight, low-scoring affair, supporting Under 2.5 goals.
- Craiova's last 15 matches average 1.9 total goals (1.2 for, 0.7 against); Cluj's average 2.9 total goals (2.1 for, 0.8 against).
- H2H last 5: 0-0, 4-0, 0-0, 2-1, 2-1; three of five had under 2.5 goals.
- Craiova's home matches in Championship Round: 5 goals for, 2 against in 4 games (1.75 total per game).
- Cluj's away matches in Championship Round: 4 goals for, 4 against in 4 games (2.0 total per game).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with Craiova's first-half goals being extremely low and H2H history showing mostly 0-0 or 1-0 at half-time, making Under 1.5 first-half goals highly probable.
- Craiova average 0.3 first-half goals for and 0.3 against over the last 15 matches.
- Cluj average 1.0 first-half goals for and 0.5 against, but in away matches, they've scored 0 first-half goals in 2 of 4 Championship Round games.
- H2H last 5 first halves: 0-0, 2-0, 0-0, 1-0, 0-0; only one match had over 1.5 first-half goals.
- Craiova have led at half-time in only 27% of recent matches, and Cluj in 40%, but the H2H trend is low-scoring first halves.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While overall trends suggest low scoring, Cluj's ability to score late and the 4-0 second-half explosion in the last H2H hint at potential second-half action, but evidence is mixed, so confidence is low.
- Craiova's second-half goals: 0.9 per game (1.2 total - 0.3 first half); Cluj's second-half goals: 1.1 per game (2.1 total - 1.0 first half).
- In the last H2H, Cluj scored all 4 goals in the second half; the 0-0 draw had no second-half goals.
- Craiova have conceded 0.4 second-half goals per game on average; Cluj concede 0.3 second-half goals.
- Cluj's away matches in Championship Round: 3 of 4 had over 1.5 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cluj's recent defensive solidity and Craiova's struggles to score against them make an away clean sheet possible, but Craiova's overall home scoring record keeps confidence low.
- Cluj have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 matches (vs Rapid, Arges, Craiova).
- Craiova have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 home matches (vs Arges 0-1, vs Cluj 0-4).
- Cluj's away clean sheet rate in Championship Round: 2 out of 4 (vs Rapid 1-0, vs Arges 1-0).
- Craiova's home scoring rate: 3 goals in 4 Championship Round matches, but 0 in the last H2H.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostUniversitatea Craiova not to scoreEstimated chance35%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate corner counts, and recent H2H matches have consistently stayed under 10 corners, supporting an Under 9.5 corners bet.
- Craiova average 4.3 corners per game, concede 3.5 corners per game (total 7.8).
- Cluj average 4.6 corners per game, concede 5.1 corners per game (total 9.7).
- H2H last 5 corner totals: 5, 9, 5, 7, 8 (average 6.8).
- Craiova's home corners: 4.3 for, 3.3 against; Cluj's away corners: 4.5 for, 5.5 against.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The combined average is exactly 4.5, and with the intensity of a top-of-table clash, cards are likely to exceed the line, though the last H2H was an outlier with only 1 card.
- Craiova average 2.4 yellow cards per game, Cluj average 2.1 yellow cards per game (combined 4.5).
- In the last H2H (4-0 Cluj), there were 1 yellow card for Cluj and 0 for Craiova, but the previous H2H (0-0) had 3 yellows for Craiova and 2 for Cluj.
- Craiova's recent home matches: 2.5 yellows per game; Cluj's away matches: 2.0 yellows per game.
- Referee data unavailable, but Liga I matches average around 4.5 cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

Head-to-Head

1W · 2D · 2W

D0-0Universitatea ClujvUniversitatea CraiovaMay 13, 2026CUP

L4-0Universitatea ClujvUniversitatea CraiovaApr 13, 2026LIG

D0-0Universitatea ClujvUniversitatea CraiovaDec 1, 2025LIG

W2-1Universitatea CraiovavUniversitatea ClujJul 28, 2025LIG

L2-1Universitatea ClujvUniversitatea CraiovaApr 26, 2025LIG

Universitatea Craiova: 2 clean sheetsUniversitatea Cluj: 3 clean sheets2 goals/game avg

League Table

Liga I 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
1	Universitatea Craiova Champions League Qualification	8	5	1	2	7-6	46	DWWWL
2	Universitatea Cluj Conference League Qualification	8	6	0	2	12-5	45	WWLLW

1pt gap between teamsUniversitatea Craiova leads the league

Recent Form

Universitatea Craiova

D0-0CFR 1907 ClujMay 8LIG

W2-1Dinamo BucurestiMay 3LIG

W1-0Arges PitestiApr 27LIG

W1-0RapidApr 19LIG

L0-4Universitatea ClujApr 13LIG

W2-0CFR 1907 ClujApr 6LIG

W1-0Dinamo BucurestiMar 19LIG

L0-1Arges PitestiMar 13LIG

D1-1RapidMar 8LIG

W2-1MetaloglobusFeb 28LIG

W3-0Unirea SloboziaFeb 22LIG

W1-0FCSBFeb 15LIG

D2-2FCSBFeb 12CUP

D1-1Dinamo BucurestiFeb 9LIG

W1-0OţelulFeb 5LIG

Universitatea Cluj

W1-0RapidMay 9LIG

W1-0Arges PitestiMay 2LIG

L0-1CFR 1907 ClujApr 25LIG

L1-2Dinamo BucurestiApr 18LIG

W4-0Universitatea CraiovaApr 13LIG

W2-1RapidApr 5LIG

W1-0Arges PitestiMar 21LIG

W2-1CFR 1907 ClujMar 16LIG

W3-1FCSBMar 7LIG

W2-1AFC HermannstadtMar 3CUP

W4-0OţelulFeb 27LIG

W3-1FC BotosaniFeb 20LIG

W4-1CsikszeredaFeb 14LIG

W2-0OţelulFeb 11CUP

L2-3CFR 1907 ClujFeb 7LIG

Squad & Injuries

Universitatea Craiova

32 available

Attackers6

Midfielders12

Defenders8

Goalkeeper6

Universitatea Cluj

31 available

Attackers8

Midfielders11

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Universitatea Cluj

Draw or Universitatea Cluj

Draw

Under 1.5

Under 2.5

No

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 5 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Universitatea Craiova

Universitatea Cluj

Squad & Injuries

Universitatea Craiova

Universitatea Cluj