St Gallen11 – 1Thun1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Strong motivation edge for St Gallen combined with Thun's poor recent away form and post-title letdown makes a home win or draw highly probable.

• St Gallen home form: unbeaten in 4 of last 5 home matches (3W-1D-1L).
• Thun away form: lost last 3 away matches, conceding 13 goals.
• H2H last 3 meetings: St Gallen unbeaten (1W-2D).
• Thun post-title motivation likely reduced, confirmed by intelligence report.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonSt Gallen or DrawEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

While St Gallen are favorites, their tendency to not lead at half-time reduces the chance of a HT/FT double, though Thun's poor form makes it possible.

• St Gallen home win rate: 59%, but only led at half-time in 33% of matches.
• Thun away loss rate: 25%, but recent form is 4 straight losses.
• H2H: St Gallen won 1 of last 3, with no HT/FT double.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableSt Gallen/St GallenEstimated chance25%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both sides have consistent scoring records in their respective home/away contexts, and Thun's recent defensive struggles increase the likelihood of both teams finding the net.

• St Gallen scored in 14 of 17 home matches this season.
• Thun scored in 13 of 16 away matches this season.
• Both teams scored in 2 of last 3 H2Hs.
• Thun conceded in 4 of last 5 matches, St Gallen scored in 4 of last 5.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to score or concede in the first half based on season averages and recent H2H, making a first-half goal highly likely.

• St Gallen first half goals at home: 0.7 avg, conceded 0.4 avg.
• Thun first half goals away: 0.9 avg, conceded 0.8 avg.
• Last 3 H2Hs: first half goals in all (1, 1, 2).
• Thun's last 5 matches: first half goals in 4 of 5.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second-half scoring tends to be higher for both teams, and with Thun's recent defensive issues, the second half could see multiple goals.

• St Gallen home second half goals: 1.2 avg scored, 0.7 conceded.
• Thun away second half goals: 1.2 avg scored, 0.3 conceded.
• Last 3 H2Hs: second half goals of 3, 1, 1.
• Thun's last 5 matches: second half over 1.5 in 3 of 5.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams generate high corner counts in their respective splits, and recent H2Hs consistently exceed 9.5 corners, supporting an over.

• St Gallen home corners average: 6.9 for, opponent corners 5.5 against.
• Thun away corners average: 6.1 for, opponent corners 5.1 against.
• Last 3 H2Hs: total corners 12, 10, 10 (all over 9.5).
• St Gallen's last 5 home matches: average total corners 11.2.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Combined card averages suggest a total around 5.8, and recent matches show disciplinary action is common, especially with Thun's frustration post-title.

• St Gallen home yellow cards average: 3.1 per match.
• Thun away yellow cards average: 2.7 per match.
• Last H2H: 7 total cards (5 for Thun, 2 for St Gallen).
• St Gallen's last 5 matches: average 4.2 cards per match.