Spokane Velocity FC11 – 0Las Vegas Lights0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

With both teams under pressure in a do-or-die cup tie and Spokane hosting for the first time, the match is likely to be tight, and a draw is a plausible outcome given neither side has shown dominant form.

• Spokane Velocity FC have drawn 3 of their last 15 matches (20%), including 2 of the last 5 at home.
• Las Vegas Lights have drawn 3 of their last 15 matches (20%), with 2 draws in their last 5 away games.
• Both teams have shown inconsistent form, with Spokane losing 4-0 in their only USL Cup group match and Las Vegas drawing 1-1 in theirs.
• This is the first meeting at Spokane's home ground, reducing the historical H2H advantage for Las Vegas.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Las Vegas's high frequency of first-half draws and Spokane's mixed halftime results suggest a stalemate at the break is a reasonable outcome.

• Spokane Velocity FC were drawing at halftime in 4 of their last 15 matches (27%), with 5 wins and 6 losses.
• Las Vegas Lights were drawing at halftime in 8 of their last 15 matches (53%), with 2 wins and 5 losses.
• In Spokane's last 5 home matches, halftime results were: W, D, W, W, D (2 draws).
• In Las Vegas's last 5 away matches, halftime results were: D, L, L, D, L (2 draws).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams consistently score and concede, and with the match being an elimination cup tie, an open game with goals at both ends is likely.

• Spokane Velocity FC have scored in 12 of their last 15 matches (80%), conceding in 13 of 15 (87%).
• Las Vegas Lights have scored in 12 of their last 15 matches (80%), conceding in 13 of 15 (87%).
• Both teams have scored in 10 of Spokane's last 15 matches (67%) and 9 of Las Vegas's last 15 (60%).
• In the two previous H2H meetings, both teams scored in one match (2-1 a.e.t.) but not the other (2-0).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The average goals per game for both teams hover around the 2.5 threshold, and the high-stakes cup context could lead to a more open match, pushing the total over.

• Spokane Velocity FC's last 15 matches have averaged 3.0 total goals per game.
• Las Vegas Lights' last 15 matches have averaged 2.7 total goals per game.
• Over 2.5 goals occurred in 8 of Spokane's last 15 matches (53%) and 7 of Las Vegas's last 15 (47%).
• The two H2H meetings produced 3 and 2 goals, with the most recent being a 2-0 result.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Recent first-half goal trends, especially for Las Vegas, suggest a higher likelihood of multiple first-half goals, though overall averages are lower, warranting low confidence.

• Spokane Velocity FC average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 1.0 conceded in their last 15 matches.
• Las Vegas Lights average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded in their last 15 matches.
• In Spokane's last 5 matches, first-half goals totals were: 1, 0, 2, 3, 2 (average 1.6).
• In Las Vegas's last 5 matches, first-half goals totals were: 2, 3, 2, 2, 3 (average 2.4).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

While overall averages suggest second-half goals, recent form shows a decline, making this a borderline call with low confidence.

• Spokane Velocity FC's last 15 matches show an average of 1.3 second-half goals (total goals minus first-half goals).
• Las Vegas Lights' last 15 matches show an average of 1.5 second-half goals.
• In Spokane's last 5 matches, second-half goals totals were: 1, 0, 2, 0, 1 (average 0.8).
• In Las Vegas's last 5 matches, second-half goals totals were: 1, 0, 2, 0, 0 (average 0.6).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Recent first-half scoring patterns show a slight increase in both teams finding the net early, though overall rates are below 50%.

• Spokane Velocity FC have scored in the first half in 8 of their last 15 matches (53%), conceding in 9 (60%).
• Las Vegas Lights have scored in the first half in 7 of their last 15 matches (47%), conceding in 8 (53%).
• Both teams scored in the first half in 5 of Spokane's last 15 matches (33%) and 4 of Las Vegas's last 15 (27%).
• In the last 5 matches for each, both teams scored in the first half in 2 of Spokane's and 3 of Las Vegas's.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Spokane's poor defensive record and Las Vegas's consistent scoring make a home clean sheet highly unlikely.

• Spokane Velocity FC have kept a clean sheet in only 2 of their last 15 matches (13%).
• Las Vegas Lights have failed to score in only 3 of their last 15 matches (20%).
• Spokane have conceded in 13 of their last 15 matches (87%), including in all of their last 5 home matches.
• Las Vegas have scored in 12 of their last 15 matches (80%), including in 4 of their last 5 away matches.

BetBugs · Team to ScorelostLas Vegas Lights to scoreEstimated chance85%