2. BundesligaFull time

Predictions graded

Schalke 041Eintracht Braunschweig0

HT 1–0Sun 17 May 2026, 13:30 Predictions graded

Predictions4–544%

Edges2–340%

PossPossession 69%–31%ShotsShots 13–6On targetOn target 4–1CornersCorners 3–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 May 2026, 18:20 · Europe/Bucharest

Schalke’s dominant home form (12-3-1) and Braunschweig’s poor away record (4-2-10) make a home win highly likely, with a 15-point value edge at 1.88.

The first-half over 1.5 goals at 2.30 also offers strong value given Schalke’s fast starts. Avoid both teams to score and handicap markets due to negative edges.

Context

Schalke have won 4 of their last 5 home league matches, keeping 2 clean sheets.
- They average 1.75 goals scored per home game and have scored in 14 of 16 home matches.
- Only one home defeat all season shows consistent venue strength.
Braunschweig have won only 4 away games all season, with 2 draws.
- They have failed to score in 5 away matches and conceded 2+ goals in 9 of 16.
- In their last 5 away league matches, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses.
Sporting director Benjamin Kessel stated the team had not developed, with 14 January transfers part of the backdrop.
- Since the coaching change, Braunschweig have won 2, drawn 2, and lost 2 in the league, showing mixed results.
- The new manager bounce has not clearly materialized, and away form remains poor.
The most recent home H2H in August 2024 ended 5-1 to Schalke.
- Braunschweig have scored only 2 goals across those three away H2Hs.
- Schalke have led at half-time in all three home H2H wins.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Schalke's dominant home form and Braunschweig's poor away record, combined with a strong home H2H edge, make a home win highly likely.
- Schalke 04 home record this season: 12W-3D-1L, 28 goals scored, 14 conceded in 16 matches.
- Schalke 04 last 5 league matches: 4 wins, 1 loss, scoring 10 goals.
- Eintracht Braunschweig away record: 4W-2D-10L, 16 goals scored, 27 conceded in 16 matches.
- H2H at Schalke: Schalke won all 3 listed home meetings (5-1, 1-0, 3-1).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSchalke 04Estimated chance68%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Schalke's near-perfect home resilience and Braunschweig's struggles on the road make a home win or draw extremely probable.
- Schalke 04 home record: only 1 loss in 16 home matches this season.
- Eintracht Braunschweig away record: 10 losses in 16 away matches.
- Schalke 04 last 5 home matches: 4 wins, 1 draw.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonSchalke 04 or DrawEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Schalke's tendency to start strong at home and Braunschweig's poor first halves on the road point to a home lead at the break.
- Schalke 04 leading at half-time in 40% of matches overall; at home likely higher.
- Eintracht Braunschweig trailing at half-time in 47% of matches overall; away likely worse.
- Schalke 04 last 5 matches: led at half-time in 3.
- H2H at Schalke: Schalke led at half-time in all 3 home wins.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonSchalke 04Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Schalke's overall superiority and Braunschweig's defensive frailties could lead to a stronger second half for the home side, but data is less conclusive.
- Schalke 04 second half goal difference at home: +0.5 per match (estimated from totals).
- Eintracht Braunschweig second half goal difference away: -0.6 per match (estimated).
- Schalke 04 last 5 matches: won second half in 3.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableSchalke 04Estimated chance45%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' match averages and recent H2H trends support a relatively high-scoring game, though Braunschweig's low scoring output tempers confidence.
- Schalke 04 home matches average 2.63 total goals (28 scored, 14 conceded in 16).
- Eintracht Braunschweig away matches average 2.69 total goals (16 scored, 27 conceded in 16).
- Last 5 H2H meetings: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
- Schalke 04 last 5 matches: 4 had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a moderate tendency to concede at home/away respectively, and recent form shows goals at both ends in the majority of matches.
- Schalke 04 home matches: both teams scored in 9 of 16 (56%).
- Eintracht Braunschweig away matches: both teams scored in 9 of 16 (56%).
- Schalke 04 last 5 matches: both teams scored in 3.
- Eintracht Braunschweig last 5 matches: both teams scored in 3.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Schalke's defensive record at home is decent but not dominant, and Braunschweig often finds the net on the road, making a home clean sheet less likely.
- Schalke 04 home clean sheets: 6 in 16 matches (37.5%).
- Eintracht Braunschweig failed to score in 5 of 16 away matches (31%).
- Schalke 04 last 5 home matches: 2 clean sheets.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonEintracht Braunschweig not to scoreEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Schalke's aggressive starts at home and Braunschweig's vulnerability early in away games suggest a lively first half, supported by recent H2H.
- Schalke 04 first half goals at home: 0.9 per match average; conceded 0.7.
- Eintracht Braunschweig first half goals away: 0.5 per match average; conceded 0.9.
- Schalke 04 last 5 matches: 4 had over 1.5 first half goals.
- H2H at Schalke: last meeting had 3 first half goals (5-1 win).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Corner averages hover around the 9.5 line, with Braunschweig's away games tending higher, but the evidence is not strong enough for high confidence.
- Schalke 04 home corners average: 4.7 per match; opponent corners: 4.5 (estimated).
- Eintracht Braunschweig away corners average: 4.9 per match; opponent corners: 5.8 (estimated).
- Combined average corners in Schalke home games: ~9.2; in Braunschweig away games: ~10.7.
- Last H2H at Schalke: 9 corners total (5-1 win).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance48%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Card averages are slightly below the line, but the match stakes (Schalke's title push, Braunschweig's relegation fight) could lead to a more physical contest, pushing cards over.
- Schalke 04 average yellow cards: 1.7 per match; opponent average: 1.9 (estimated).
- Eintracht Braunschweig average yellow cards: 2.1 per match; opponent average: 2.3 (estimated).
- Combined average cards: ~4.0, but recent matches show higher counts.
- Last 5 H2H: card data unavailable, but competitive context may increase discipline issues.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance50%

Head-to-Head

0W · 1D · 4W

L2-1Eintracht BraunschweigvFC Schalke 04Dec 21, 20252.

D0-0Eintracht BraunschweigvFC Schalke 04Jan 18, 20252.

L5-1FC Schalke 04vEintracht BraunschweigAug 3, 20242.

L1-0FC Schalke 04vEintracht BraunschweigFeb 3, 20242.

L1-0Eintracht BraunschweigvFC Schalke 04Aug 20, 20232.

Eintracht Braunschweig unbeaten in 5 meetingsEintracht Braunschweig: 3 clean sheets2.2 goals/game avg

League Table

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
1	Schalke 04 Promotion - Bundesliga	33	20	7	6	49-31	67	LWWWW
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	33	10	7	16	36-53	37	WLWDL

30pt gap between teamsSchalke 04 leads the league

Recent Form

Schalke 04

L0-31. FC NürnbergMay 92.

W1-0Fortuna DüsseldorfMay 22.

W3-2SC Paderborn 07Apr 262.

W4-1Preußen MünsterApr 192.

W2-1SV ElversbergApr 122.

W1-0Karlsruher SCApr 52.

L0-2FC Schweinfurt 05Mar 26FRI

D1-1SV Darmstadt 98Mar 212.

D2-2Hannover 96Mar 152.

W1-0Arminia BielefeldMar 62.

D1-1SpVgg Greuther FürthFeb 282.

W5-31. FC MagdeburgFeb 212.

W2-1Holstein KielFeb 152.

D2-2Dynamo DresdenFeb 72.

L0-2VfL BochumJan 312.

Eintracht Braunschweig

W2-1Dynamo DresdenMay 92.

L0-2Holstein KielMay 22.

W2-01. FC KaiserslauternApr 242.

D1-1Hertha BSCApr 192.

L1-4VfL BochumApr 122.

D1-11. FC NürnbergApr 52.

L1-4Arminia BielefeldMar 25FRI

L0-1Hannover 96Mar 202.

W1-0Fortuna DüsseldorfMar 142.

D1-1SC Paderborn 07Mar 72.

L1-2Preußen MünsterMar 12.

L1-3SV ElversbergFeb 212.

D2-2SV Darmstadt 98Feb 142.

L2-3Arminia BielefeldFeb 82.

W1-0Karlsruher SCJan 312.

Squad & Injuries

Schalke 04

36 available

Attackers8

Midfielders11

Defenders13

Goalkeeper4

Eintracht Braunschweig

28 available

Attackers8

Midfielders8

Defenders8

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Schalke 04

Schalke 04 or Draw

Schalke 04

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Yes

Result3 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Schalke 04

Eintracht Braunschweig

Squad & Injuries

Schalke 04

Eintracht Braunschweig