Over 4.5
Market 55.6% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams average high card counts, especially Colorado on the road, and recent H2H meetings frequently exceed 4.5 cards.
Major League SoccerFull timeFeatured
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Real Salt Lake’s dominant home form and Colorado’s poor away record point to a home win, but the last five H2Hs were all one-goal games, so expect another tight derby.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals are likely based on season and H2H data, though betting lines offer little value. The best edge is on over 4.5 cards (+4.4 points), reflecting the rivalry’s feisty history and Colorado’s high away card count.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 55.6% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams average high card counts, especially Colorado on the road, and recent H2H meetings frequently exceed 4.5 cards.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 80% · Market 82%
Real Salt Lake's dominant home form (6-0-1) and Colorado's poor away record (2-1-5) make avoiding defeat highly probable.
Real Salt LakeBetBugs 55% · Market 60%
Real Salt Lake's strong home record (6-0-1) contrasts with Colorado's away struggles (2-1-5), and the H2H pattern favors the home side.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Salt LakePromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 23-17 | 22 |
| 9 | Colorado RapidsPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 23-20 | 16 |

